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In environments with increasing uncertainty, such as smart grid applications based on renewable energy, planning can benefit from incorporating forecasts about the uncertainty and from systematically evaluating the utility of the forecast…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-03-16 Konstantinos Gatsis , Ufuk Topcu , George J. Pappas

The increasing penetration level of energy generation from renewable sources is demanding for more accurate and reliable forecasting tools to support classic power grid operations (e.g., unit commitment, electricity market clearing or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-17 Michela Moschella , Mauro Tucci , Emanuele Crisostomi , Alessandro Betti

Electricity price forecasting is a critical tool for the efficient operation of power systems and for supporting informed decision-making by market participants. This paper explores a novel methodology aimed at improving the accuracy of…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-13 Bartosz Uniejewski , Florian Ziel

Fluctuating wind energy makes a stable grid operation challenging. Due to the direct contact with atmospheric turbulence, intermittent short-term variations in the wind speed are converted to power fluctuations that cause transient…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-03-29 Hauke Haehne , Jannik Schottler , Matthias Waechter , Joachim Peinke , Oliver Kamps

The forecasting of large ramps in wind power output known as ramp events is crucial for the incorporation of large volumes of wind energy into national electricity grids. Large variations in wind power supply must be compensated by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-01 Russell Sharp , Hisham Ihshaish , J. Ignacio Deza

The operation and planning of large-scale power systems are becoming more challenging with the increasing penetration of stochastic renewable generation. In order to minimize the decision risks in power systems with large amount of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-14 Congmei Jiang , Yize Chen , Yongfang Mao , Yi Chai , Mingbiao Yu

Continuous integration of renewable energy sources into power networks is causing a paradigm shift in energy generation and distribution with regards to trading and control; the intermittent nature of renewable sources affects pricing of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-19 Pablo R. Baldivieso Monasterios , Nandor Verba , Euan A Morris , Thomas Morstyn , George. C , . Konstantopoulos , Elena Gaura , Stephen McArthur

The objective of the GreenPAD project is to use green energy (wind, solar and biomass) for powering data-centers that are used to run HPC jobs. As a part of this it is important to predict the Renewable (Wind) energy for efficient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-02-27 Ankur Sahai

Accurate power forecasting from renewable energy sources (RES) is crucial for integrating additional RES capacity into the power system and realizing sustainability goals. This work emphasizes the importance of integrating decentralized…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-23 Carla Goncalves , Ricardo J. Bessa , Tiago Teixeira , Joao Vinagre

Accurate production forecasts are essential to continue facilitating the integration of renewable energy sources into the power grid. This paper illustrates how to obtain probabilistic day-ahead forecasts of wind power generation via…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-16 Max Bruninx , Diederik van Binsbergen , Timothy Verstraeten , Ann Nowé , Jan Helsen

In this study, we present an improved formulation for the wake-added turbulence to enhance the accuracy of intra-farm and farm-to-farm wake modeling through analytical frameworks. Our goal is to address the tendency of a commonly used…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-12-11 Navid Zehtabiyan-Rezaie , Josephine Perto Justsen , Mahdi Abkar

To address the environmental concern and improve the economic efficiency, the wind power is rapidly integrated into smart grids. However, the inherent uncertainty of wind energy raises operational challenges. To ensure the cost-efficient,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-10 Wei Xie , Yuan Yi , Zhi Zhou , Keqi Wang

Real-time dispatch practices for operating the electric grid in an economic and reliable manner are evolving to accommodate higher levels of renewable energy generation. In particular, stochastic optimization is receiving increased…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-06-28 Ryan N. King , Matthew Reynolds , Devon Sigler , Wesley Jones

Each year a growing number of wind farms are being added to power grids to generate electricity. The power curve of a wind turbine, which exhibits the relationship between generated power and wind speed, plays a major role in assessing the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-06-10 Farzad Karami , Nasser Kehtarnavaz , Mario Rotea

Increased penetration of wind energy will make electricity market prices more volatile. As a result, market participants will bear increased financial risks, which impact investment decisions and in turn, makes it harder to achieve…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-04-16 Khaled Alshehri , Subhonmesh Bose , Tamer Başar

This paper analyzes the impact of production forecast errors on the expansion planning of a power system and investigates the influence of market design to facilitate the integration of renewable generation. For this purpose, we propose a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-03-03 Salvador Pineda , Juan Miguel Morales , Trine Krogh Boomsma

In the last decades wind power became the second largest energy source in the EU covering 16% of its electricity demand. However, due to its volatility, accurate short range wind power predictions are required for successful integration of…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-22 Sándor Baran , Ágnes Baran

Wind energy is a widely distributed, renewable, and environmentally friendly energy source that plays a crucial role in mitigating global warming and addressing energy shortages. Nevertheless, wind power generation is characterized by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Meiyu Jiang , Jun Shen , Xuetao Jiang , Lihui Luo , Rui Zhou , Qingguo Zhou

Offshore wind power in the North Sea is considered a main pillar in Europe's future energy system. A key challenge lies in determining the optimal spatial capacity allocation of offshore wind parks in combination with the dimensioning and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-01 David Kröger , Jan Peper , Nils Offermann , Christian Rehtanz

This paper analyses an emerging real-world phenomena in inverter-based renewable-dominated power systems, namely, asymmetry of frequency distribution. The paper first provides a rationale on why asymmetry reduces the "quality" of the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-22 Taulant Kerci , Federico Milano