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The high penetration of volatile renewable energy sources such as solar make methods for coping with the uncertainty associated with them of paramount importance. Probabilistic forecasts are an example of these methods, as they assist…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-21 Vinayak Sharma , Jorge Angel Gonzalez Ordiano , Ralf Mikut , Umit Cali

We propose a three-stage framework for forecasting high-dimensional time-series data. Our method first estimates parameters for each univariate time series. Next, we use these parameters to cluster the time series. These clusters can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-28 Reese Pathak , Rajat Sen , Nikhil Rao , N. Benjamin Erichson , Michael I. Jordan , Inderjit S. Dhillon

Traditionally, weather predictions are performed with the help of large complex models of physics, which utilize different atmospheric conditions over a long period of time. These conditions are often unstable because of perturbations of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-26 A H M Jakaria , Md Mosharaf Hossain , Mohammad Ashiqur Rahman

Reliable short horizon forecasting of solar and wind generation is a structural prerequisite of any modern power system yet most published forecasters are tuned and evaluated on a single climatic regime and most algorithmic novelty has been…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Pavan Manjunath , Thomas Prufer

We present a new method for forecasting systems of multiple interrelated time series. The method learns the forecast models together with discovering leading indicators from within the system that serve as good predictors improving the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-03 Magda Gregorova , Alexandros Kalousis , Stephane Marchand-Maillet

Climate change is a critical issue that will be in the political agenda for the next decades. While it is important for this topic to be discussed at higher levels, it is also of paramount importance that the populations became aware of the…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-20 Gianpaolo Zammarchi , Paolo Maranzano

Classification and clustering algorithms have been proved to be successful individually in different contexts. Both of them have their own advantages and limitations. For instance, although classification algorithms are more powerful than…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-30 Tanmoy Chakraborty

Utilizing solar energy to meet space heating and domestic hot water demand is very efficient (in terms of environmental footprint as well as cost), but in order to ensure that user demand is entirely covered throughout the year needs to be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-17 Tatiana Boura , Natalia Koliou , George Meramveliotakis , Stasinos Konstantopoulos , George Kosmadakis

Cluster analysis methods seek to partition a data set into homogeneous subgroups. It is useful in a wide variety of applications, including document processing and modern genetics. Conventional clustering methods are unsupervised, meaning…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-11 Eric Bair

Ensemble weather forecasts based on multiple runs of numerical weather prediction models typically show systematic errors and require post-processing to obtain reliable forecasts. Accurately modeling multivariate dependencies is crucial in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-02-02 Jieyu Chen , Tim Janke , Florian Steinke , Sebastian Lerch

To be able to produce accurate and reliable predictions of visibility has crucial importance in aviation meteorology, as well as in water- and road transportation. Nowadays, several meteorological services provide ensemble forecasts of…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-25 Sándor Baran , Mária Lakatos

Machine learning techniques can reveal hidden structure in large data amounts and can potentially extent or even replace analytical scientific methods. In nanophotonics, modes can increase the light yield from emitters located inside the…

Optics · Physics 2018-10-02 Carlo Barth , Christiane Becker

Unsupervised machine learning, and in particular data clustering, is a powerful approach for the analysis of datasets and identification of characteristic features occurring throughout a dataset. It is gaining popularity across scientific…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2021-03-23 Maria El Abbassi , Jan Overbeck , Oliver Braun , Michel Calame , Herre S. J. van der Zant , Mickael L. Perrin

We investigate the use of Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Decomposition-LSTM (DLSTM) networks, combined with an ensemble algorithm, to predict solar flare occurrences using time-series data from the GOES catalog. The dataset spans from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-18 Zeinab Hassani , Davud Mohammadpur , Hossein Safari

Time series clustering is the process of grouping time series with respect to their similarity or characteristics. Previous approaches usually combine a specific distance measure for time series and a standard clustering method. However,…

For better clustering performance, appropriate representations are critical. Although many neural network-based metric learning methods have been proposed, they do not directly train neural networks to improve clustering performance. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-02 Tomoharu Iwata

Precipitation nowcasting, which predicts rainfall up to a few hours ahead, is a critical tool for vulnerable communities in the Global South frequently exposed to intense, rapidly developing storms. Timely forecasts provide a crucial window…

Multi-view data analysis has gained increasing popularity because multi-view data are frequently encountered in machine learning applications. A simple but promising approach for clustering of multi-view data is multi-view clustering (MVC),…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-01 Mitsuhiko Horie , Hiroyuki Kasai

Accurate 24-hour solar irradiance forecasting is essential for the safe and economic operation of solar photovoltaic systems. Traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) models represent the state-of-the-art in forecasting performance…

Accurate drug-target interaction (DTI) prediction with machine learning models is essential for drug discovery. Such models should also provide a credible representation of their uncertainty, but applying classical marginal conformal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Morteza Rakhshaninejad , Mira Jurgens , Nicolas Dewolf , Willem Waegeman