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We show how bad and good volatility propagate through forex markets, i.e., we provide evidence for asymmetric volatility connectedness on forex markets. Using high-frequency, intra-day data of the most actively traded currencies over 2007 -…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-07-28 Jozef Barunik , Evzen Kocenda , Lukas Vacha

We propose a new framework for measuring connectedness among financial variables that arises due to heterogeneous frequency responses to shocks. To estimate connectedness in short-, medium-, and long-term financial cycles, we introduce a…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-20 Jozef Barunik , Tomas Krehlik

We detect and quantify asymmetries in volatility spillovers using the realized semivariances of petroleum commodities: crude oil, gasoline, and heating oil. During the 1987--2014 period we document increasing spillovers from volatility…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-05-13 Jozef Barunik , Evzen Kocenda , Lukas Vacha

Asymmetries in volatility spillovers are highly relevant to risk valuation and portfolio diversification strategies in financial markets. Yet, the large literature studying information transmission mechanisms ignores the fact that bad and…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-07-29 Jozef Barunik , Evzen Kocenda , Lukas Vacha

Oil markets profoundly influence world economies through determination of prices of energy and transports. Using novel methodology devised in frequency domain, we study the information transmission mechanisms in oil-based commodity markets.…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-02 Tomas Krehlik , Jozef Barunik

Connectedness measures the degree at which a time-series variable spills over volatility to other variables compared to the rate that it is receiving. The idea is based on the percentage of variance decomposition from one variable to the…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-05-07 Abdulnasser Hatemi-J

With escalating macroeconomic uncertainty, the risk interlinkages between energy and food markets have become increasingly complex, posing serious challenges to global energy and food security. This paper proposes an integrated framework…

General Economics · Economics 2025-10-29 Yun-Shi Dai , Peng-Fei Dai , Stéphane Goutte , Duc Khuong Nguyen , Wei-Xing Zhou

This paper introduces a novel multi-moment connectedness network approach for analyzing the interconnectedness of green financial market. Focusing on the impact of monetary policy shocks, our study reveals that connectedness within the…

General Economics · Economics 2024-10-23 Tingguo Zheng , Hongyin Zhang , Shiqi Ye

We employ a wavelet approach and conduct a time-frequency analysis of dynamic correlations between pairs of key traded assets (gold, oil, and stocks) covering the period from 1987 to 2012. The analysis is performed on both intra-day and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-25 Jozef Barunik , Evzen Kocenda , Lukas Vacha

Statistical and multiscaling characteristics of WTI Crude Oil prices expressed in US dollar in relation to the most traded currencies as well as to gold futures and to the E-mini S$\&$P500 futures prices on 5 min intra-day recordings in the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-24 Marcin Wątorek , Stanisław Drożdż , Paweł Oświȩcimka , Marek Stanuszek

The study examines the return connectedness between climate policy uncertainty (CPU), clean energy, fossil energy, and food markets. Using the time-domain method of Diebold and Yilmaz (2012) and frequency-domain methods of Barun{\'{i}}k and…

General Economics · Economics 2025-03-11 Ting Zhang , Peng-Fei Li , Wei-Xing Zhou

This paper characterises dynamic linkages arising from shocks with heterogeneous degrees of persistence. Using frequency domain techniques, we introduce measures that identify smoothly varying links of a transitory and persistent nature.…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-21 Jozef Barunik , Michael Ellington

We report on time-varying network connectedness within three banking systems: North America, the EU, and ASEAN. The original method by Diebold and Yilmaz is improved by using exponentially weighted daily returns and ridge regularization on…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-21 Sachapon Tungsong , Fabio Caccioli , Tomaso Aste

We investigate quotation and transaction activities in the foreign exchange market for every week during the period of June 2007 to December 2010. A scaling relationship between the mean values of number of quotations (or number of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-04-03 Aki-Hiro Sato , Takaki Hayashi , Janusz A. Hołyst

Network theory proved recently to be useful in the quantification of many properties of financial systems. The analysis of the structure of investment portfolios is a major application since their eventual correlation and overlap impact the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-01-09 Danilo Delpini , Stefano Battiston , Guido Caldarelli , Massimo Riccaboni

We study the impact of oil price shocks on the U.S. stock market volatility. We jointly analyze three different structural oil market shocks (i.e., aggregate demand, oil supply, and oil-specific demand shocks) and stock market volatility…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-11-15 Andrea Bastianin , Matteo Manera

This paper examines how shocks to currency volatilities predict exchange rates. Using option-implied volatilities, we construct a dynamic, directed network of volatility connections. Currencies that transmit more volatility shocks, which…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-12 Mykola Babiak , Jozef Barunik

This paper discusses a novel explanation for asymmetric volatility based on the anchoring behavioral pattern. Anchoring as a heuristic bias causes investors focusing on recent price changes and price levels, which two lead to a belief in…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-06-14 Mihaly Ormos , Dusan Timotity

The global financial system is highly complex, with cross-border interconnections and interdependencies. In this highly interconnected environment, local financial shocks and events can be easily amplified and turned into global events.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-22 Matthias Raddant , Dror Y. Kenett

This paper introduces forward-looking measures of the network connectedness of fears in the financial system, arising due to the good and bad beliefs of market participants about uncertainty that spreads unequally across a network of banks.…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-27 Jozef Barunik , Mattia Bevilacqua , Radu Tunaru
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