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When prospectively developing a new clinical prediction model (CPM), fixed sample size calculations are typically conducted before data collection based on sensible assumptions. But if the assumptions are inaccurate the actual sample size…

We prove, under mild conditions on fixed points and two cycles, the asymptotic normality of vincular pattern counts for a permutation chosen uniformly at random in a conjugacy class.Additionally, we prove that the limiting variance is…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2024-03-12 Valentin Féray , Mohamed Slim Kammoun

We consider the \mnk{classical} problem of a controller activating (or sampling) sequentially from a finite number of $N \geq 2$ populations, specified by unknown distributions. Over some time horizon, at each time $n = 1, 2, \ldots$, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-12-18 Wesley Cowan , Michael N. Katehakis

In order to understand the cost of a potentially high infectiousness of symptomatic individuals or, on the contrary, the benefit of social distancing, quarantine, etc. in the course of an infectious disease, this paper considers a natural…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-29 Lamia Belhadji , Nicolas Lanchier , Max Mercer

For a set of dependent random variables, without stationary or the strong mixing assumptions, we derive the asymptotic independence between their sums and maxima. Then we apply this result to high-dimensional testing problems, where we…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-12 Long Feng , Tiefeng Jiang , Xiaoyun Li , Binghui Liu

In this manuscript, we investigate the concept of the mean response for a treatment group mean as well as its estimation and prediction for generalized linear models with a subject-wise random effect. Generalized linear models are commonly…

Applications · Statistics 2019-11-05 Jiexin Duan , Michael Levine , Junxiang Luo , Yongming Qu

Consider a finite sample from an unknown distribution over a countable alphabet. Unobserved events are alphabet symbols which do not appear in the sample. Estimating the probabilities of unobserved events is a basic problem in statistics…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-08 Amichai Painsky

We consider estimation and inference on average treatment effects under unconfoundedness conditional on the realizations of the treatment variable and covariates. Given nonparametric smoothness and/or shape restrictions on the conditional…

Applications · Statistics 2022-10-04 Timothy B. Armstrong , Michal Kolesár

In this paper an easy to implement method of stochastically weighing short and long memory linear processes is introduced. The method renders asymptotically exact size confidence intervals for the population mean which are significantly…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-15 Masoud M Nasari , Mohamedou Ould-Haye

In this paper we compare and contrast the behavior of the posterior predictive distribution to the risk of the maximum a posteriori estimator for the random features regression model in the overparameterized regime. We will focus on the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-30 Youngsoo Baek , Samuel I. Berchuck , Sayan Mukherjee

For the important classical problem of inference on a sparse high-dimensional normal mean vector, we propose a novel empirical Bayes model that admits a posterior distribution with desirable properties under mild conditions. In particular,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-31 Ryan Martin , Stephen G. Walker

I introduce a generic method for inference on entire quantile and regression quantile processes in the presence of a finite number of large and arbitrarily heterogeneous clusters. The method asymptotically controls size by generating…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-06-16 Andreas Hagemann

Nonlinear panel data models with fixed individual effects provide an important set of tools for describing microeconometric data. In a large class of such models (including probit, proportional hazard and quantile regression to name just a…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-02-07 Antonio F. Galvao , Jiaying Gu , Stanislav Volgushev

Analyses of randomised trials are often based on regression models which adjust for baseline covariates, in addition to randomised group. Based on such models, one can obtain estimates of the marginal mean outcome for the population under…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-17 Jonathan W. Bartlett

Statistical models incorporating change points are common in practice, especially in the area of biomedicine. This approach is appealing in that a specific parameter is introduced to account for the abrupt change in the response variable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Hongling Zhou , Kung-Yee Liang

The problem of estimating a parameter of a quantum system through a series of measurements performed sequentially on a quantum probe is analyzed in the general setting where the underlying statistics is explicitly non-i.i.d. We present a…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-12-01 Daniel Burgarth , Vittorio Giovannetti , Airi N. Kato , Kazuya Yuasa

Estimation using pooled sampling has long been an area of interest in the group testing literature. Such research has focused primarily on the assumed use of fixed sampling plans (i), although some recent papers have suggested alternative…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-27 Gregory Haber , Yaakov Malinovsky , Paul Albert

We prove that the number of copies of any given permutation pattern $q$ has an asymptotically normal distribution in random permutations.

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2007-12-18 Miklos Bona

In this paper we propose a new approach for sequential monitoring of a parameter of a $d$-dimensional time series, which can be estimated by approximately linear functionals of the empirical distribution function. We consider a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-26 Holger Dette , Josua Gösmann

Many statistical applications involve models for which it is difficult to evaluate the likelihood, but from which it is relatively easy to sample. Approximate Bayesian computation is a likelihood-free method for implementing Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-29 Wentao Li , Paul Fearnhead