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In the last decade, stochastic models have shown to be very useful for quantitative modelling of social processes. Here, a configurational master equation for the description of behavioral changes by pair interactions of individuals is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Dirk Helbing

Generative models that can model and predict sequences of future events can, in principle, learn to capture complex real-world phenomena, such as physical interactions. However, a central challenge in video prediction is that the future is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-02-13 Manoj Kumar , Mohammad Babaeizadeh , Dumitru Erhan , Chelsea Finn , Sergey Levine , Laurent Dinh , Durk Kingma

Stochastic processes offer a flexible mathematical formalism to model and reason about systems. Most analysis tools, however, start from the premises that models are fully specified, so that any parameters controlling the system's dynamics…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-01-11 Luca Bortolussi , Guido Sanguinetti

In this article we discuss several aspects of the stochastic dynamics of spin models. The paper has two independent parts. Firstly, we explore a few properties of the multi-point correlations and responses of generic systems evolving in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Guilhem Semerjian , Leticia F. Cugliandolo , Andrea Montanari

Urban street networks of unplanned or self-organized cities typically exhibit astonishing scale-free patterns. This scale-freeness can be shown, within the maximum entropy formalism (MaxEnt), as the manifestation of a fluctuating system…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-05-04 Jerome Benoit , Saif Eddin Jabari

In the study of dynamical processes on networks, there has been intense focus on network structure -- i.e., the arrangement of edges and their associated weights -- but the effects of the temporal patterns of edges remains poorly…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-16 Till Hoffmann , Mason A. Porter , Renaud Lambiotte

Structural causal models describe how the components of a robotic system interact. They provide both structural and functional information about the relationships that are present in the system. The structural information outlines the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Alejandro Murillo-Gonzalez , Junhong Xu , Lantao Liu

Complex chaotic dynamics, seen in natural and industrial systems like turbulent flows and weather patterns, often span vast spatial domains with interactions across scales. Accurately capturing these features requires a high-dimensional…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2024-10-03 C. Ricardo Constante-Amores , Alec J. Linot , Michael D. Graham

Standard geostatistical models assume stationarity and rely on a variogram model to account for the spatial dependence in the observed data. In some instances, this assumption that the spatial dependence structure is constant throughout the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-16 Dave Higdon , Jenise Swall , John Kern

Urban structures encompass settlements, characterized by the spatial distribution of built-up areas, but also transportation structures, to connect these built-up areas. These two structures are very different in their origin and function,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-06-20 Frank Schweitzer , Vahan Nanumyan

Dynamical systems theory provides powerful methods to extract effective macroscopic dynamics from complex systems with slow modes and fast modes. Here we derive and theoretically support a macroscopic, spatially discrete, model for a class…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2010-03-12 Wei Wang , A. J. Roberts

We develop a supervised-learning-based approach for monitoring and diagnosing texture-related defects in manufactured products characterized by stochastic textured surfaces that satisfy the locality and stationarity properties of Markov…

Applications · Statistics 2017-07-24 Anh Tuan Bui , Daniel W. Apley

When analyzing animal movement, it is important to account for interactions between individuals. However, statistical models for incorporating interaction behavior in movement models are limited. We propose an approach that models dependent…

Applications · Statistics 2015-08-04 James C. Russell , Ephraim M. Hanks , Murali Haran

The emergence of organized multiscale patterns resulting from convection is ubiquitous, observed throughout different cloud types. The reproduction of such patterns by general circulation models remains a challenge due to the complex nature…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-05-09 Mickael D. Chekroun , Tom Dror , Orit Altaratz , Ilan Koren

Heterogeneity of many building materials complicates numerical modelling of structural behaviour. The material randomicity can be manifested by different values of material parameters of each material specimen. To capture inherent…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Eliška Kočková , Anna Kučerová

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithms represent a suite of robust computational methodologies utilized for state estimation and parameter inference within dynamical systems, particularly in real-time or online environments where data…

Random walks and related spatial stochastic models have been used in a range of application areas including animal and plant ecology, infectious disease epidemiology, developmental biology, wound healing, and oncology. Classical random walk…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-08-22 Michael J. Plank , Matthew J. Simpson , Ruth E. Baker

Urban systems, as dynamic complex systems, continuously generate spatio-temporal data streams that encode the fundamental laws of human mobility and city evolution. While AI for Science has witnessed the transformative power of foundation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Wei Chen , Yuqian Wu , Junle Chen , Xiaofang Zhou , Yuxuan Liang

We develop a general theory dealing with stochastic models for dynamical systems that are governed by various nonlinear, ordinary or partial differential, equations. In particular, we address the problem how flows in the random medium…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 Piotr Garbaczewski

This paper considers the problem of learning, from samples, the dependency structure of a system of linear stochastic differential equations, when some of the variables are latent. In particular, we observe the time evolution of some…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-05-02 Ali Jalali , Sujay Sanghavi