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Related papers: Deep Flare Net (DeFN) model for solar flare predic…

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A convolutional neural network (CNN) is used to construct a new catalog for solar flares based on high resolution (1-s cadence) Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellites (GOES) soft X-ray data. The CNN is trained to identify flare…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-04-13 Nastaran Farhang , Michael. S. Wheatland , Andrew Melatos

Recently, there has been growing interest in the use of machine-learning methods for predicting solar flares. Initial efforts along these lines employed comparatively simple models, correlating features extracted from observations of…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-06-21 Varad Deshmukh , Srinivas Baskar , Elizabeth Bradley , Thomas Berger , James D. Meiss

We present a long short-term memory (LSTM) network for predicting whether an active region (AR) would produce a gamma-class flare within the next 24 hours. We consider three gamma classes, namely >=M5.0 class, >=M class, and >=C class, and…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-06-06 Hao Liu , Chang Liu , Jason T. L. Wang , Haimin Wang

Given the rarity of significant solar flares compared to smaller ones, training effective machine learning models for solar activity forecasting is challenging due to insufficient data. This study proposes using generative deep learning…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-04-04 Francesco P. Ramunno , S. Hackstein , V. Kinakh , M. Drozdova , G. Quetant , A. Csillaghy , S. Voloshynovskiy

We present several methods towards construction of precursors, which show great promise towards early predictions, of solar flare events in this paper. A data pre-processing pipeline is built to extract useful data from multiple sources,…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-01-08 Yang Chen , Ward B. Manchester , Alfred O. Hero , Gabor Toth , Benoit DuFumier , Tian Zhou , Xiantong Wang , Haonan Zhu , Zeyu Sun , Tamas I. Gombosi

Current operational forecasts of solar eruptions are made by human experts using a combination of qualitative shape-based classification systems and historical data about flaring frequencies. In the past decade, there has been a great deal…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-06-02 V. Deshmukh , T. E. Berger , E. Bradley , J. D. Meiss

The Space-Weather ANalytics for Solar Flares (SWAN-SF) is a multivariate time series benchmark dataset recently created to serve the heliophysics community as a testbed for solar flare forecasting models. SWAN-SF contains 54 unique…

We attempt to forecast M-and X-class solar flares using a machine-learning algorithm, called Support Vector Machine (SVM), and four years of data from the Solar Dynamics Observatory's Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager, the first instrument…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-01-09 Monica G. Bobra , Sebastien Couvidat

A deep learning model is often considered a black-box model, as its internal workings tend to be opaque to the user. Because of the lack of transparency, it is challenging to understand the reasoning behind the model's predictions. Here, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-25 Adam O. Rawashdeh , Jason T. L. Wang , Katherine G. Herbert

During a solar flare, it is believed that reconnection takes place in the corona followed by fast energy transport to the chromosphere. The resulting intense heating strongly disturbs the chromospheric structure, and induces complex…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-04-30 Christopher M. J. Osborne , John A. Armstrong , Lyndsay Fletcher

The volume of data being collected in solar physics has exponentially increased over the past decade and with the introduction of the $\textit{Daniel K. Inouye Solar Telescope}$ (DKIST) we will be entering the age of petabyte solar data.…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-07-10 John A. Armstrong , Lyndsay Fletcher

The prediction of solar flares is of practical and scientific interest; however, many machine learning methods used for this prediction task do not provide the physical explanations behind a model's performance. We made use of two recently…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-03-08 Brandon Panos , Lucia Kleint , Jonas Zbinden

We describe a new tool developed for solar flare forecasting on the base of some sunspot group properties. Assuming that the flare frequency follows the Poisson statistics, this tool uses a database containing the morphological…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-05-16 M. Falco , P. Costa , P. Romano

Solar energy is one of the most dependable renewable energy technologies, as it is feasible almost everywhere globally. However, improving the efficiency of a solar PV system remains a significant challenge. To enhance the robustness of the…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-02 Maryam Paparimoghadamborazjani , Amin Kazemi

Solar flares are caused by magnetic eruptions in active regions (ARs) on the surface of the sun. These events can have significant impacts on human activity, many of which can be mitigated with enough advance warning from good forecasts. To…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-09-18 Varad Deshmukh , Thomas Berger , James Meiss , Elizabeth Bradley

We apply multi-algorithm machine learning models to TESS 2-minute survey data from Sectors 1-72 to identify stellar flares. Models trained with Deep Neural Network, Random Forest, and XGBoost algorithms, respectively, utilized four flare…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-10-24 Chia-Lung Lin , Daniel Apai , Mark S. Giampapa , Wing-Huen Ip

Of all the activity observed on the Sun, two of the most energetic events are flares and Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs). Usually, solar active regions that produce large flares will also produce a CME, but this is not always true (Yashiro et…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2016-04-25 Monica G. Bobra , Stathis Ilonidis

Magnetic flux generated within the solar interior emerges to the surface, forming active regions (ARs) and sunspots. Flux emergence may trigger explosive events, such as flares and coronal mass ejections and therefore understanding…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-11-04 Dattaraj B. Dhuri , Shravan M. Hanasoge , Aaron C. Birch , Hannah Schunker

In order to efficiently analyse the vast amount of data generated by solar space missions and ground-base instruments, modern machine learning techniques such as decision trees, support vector machines (SVMs) and neural networks can be very…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-05-28 Teri Love , Thomas Neukirch , Clare E. Parnell

Solar flares are defined as outbursts on the surface of the Sun. They occur when energy accumulated in magnetic fields enclosing solar active regions (ARs) is abruptly expelled. Solar flares and associated coronal mass ejections are sources…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-02-24 Huseyin Cavus , Jason T. L. Wang , Teja P. S. Singampalli , Gani Caglar Coban , Hongyang Zhang , Abd-ur Raheem , Haimin Wang