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We present a conformal prediction method for time series using the Transformer architecture to capture long-memory and long-range dependencies. Specifically, we use the Transformer decoder as a conditional quantile estimator to predict the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-11 Junghwan Lee , Chen Xu , Yao Xie

Modern predictive modeling increasingly calls for a single learned dynamical substrate to operate across multiple regimes. From a dynamical-systems viewpoint, this capability decomposes into the storage of multiple attractors and the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-03-17 Francesco Martinuzzi , Holger Kantz

We propose a physics-aware machine learning method to time-accurately predict extreme events in a turbulent flow. The method combines two radically different approaches: empirical modelling based on reservoir computing, which learns the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2019-12-24 Nguyen Anh Khoa Doan , Wolfgang Polifke , Luca Magri

The prediction of stochastic dynamical systems and the capture of dynamical behaviors are profound problems. In this article, we propose a data-driven framework combining Reservoir Computing and Normalizing Flow to study this issue, which…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Cheng Fang , Yubin Lu , Ting Gao , Jinqiao Duan

Reservoir computing (RC) is a state-of-the-art machine learning method that makes use of the power of dynamical systems (the reservoir) for real-time inference. When using biological complex systems as reservoir substrates, it serves as a…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2026-03-03 Mario U. Gaimann , Miriam Klopotek

Learning a task induces connectivity changes in neural circuits, thereby changing their dynamics. To elucidate task related neural dynamics we study trained Recurrent Neural Networks. We develop a Mean Field Theory for Reservoir Computing…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2017-06-28 Alexander Rivkind , Omri Barak

Forecasting chaotic time series requires models that can capture the intrinsic geometry of the underlying attractor while remaining computationally efficient. We introduce a novel reservoir computing (RC) framework that integrates…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2025-11-06 S. K. Laha

Predicting chaotic systems is crucial for understanding complex behaviors, yet challenging due to their sensitivity to initial conditions and inherent unpredictability. Probabilistic Reservoir Computing (RC) is well-suited for long-term…

Materials Science · Physics 2024-07-03 Cen Wang , Xinyao Lei , Kaiming Cai , Xiaofei Yang , Yue Zhang

Efficient and accurate prediction of physical systems is important even when the rules of those systems cannot be easily learned. Reservoir computing, a type of recurrent neural network with fixed nonlinear units, is one such prediction…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-08-20 Nicholas W. Landry , Beckett R. Hyde , Jake C. Perez , Sean E. Shaheen , Juan G. Restrepo

The reliability assessment of a machine learning model's prediction is an important quantity for the deployment in safety critical applications. Not only can it be used to detect novel sceneries, either as out-of-distribution or anomaly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-12 Steve Dias Da Cruz , Bertram Taetz , Thomas Stifter , Didier Stricker

Introduction: Machine learning provides fundamental tools both for scientific research and for the development of technologies with significant impact on society. It provides methods that facilitate the discovery of regularities in data and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-12 Andrea Ceni , Peter Ashwin , Lorenzo Livi

Reservoir computing promises a fast method for handling large amounts of temporal data. This hinges on constructing a good reservoir--a dynamical system capable of transforming inputs into a high-dimensional representation while remembering…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-04-07 Utkarsh Singh , Aaron Z. Goldberg , Christoph Simon , Khabat Heshami

Forecasting high-dimensional spatiotemporal systems remains computationally challenging for recurrent neural networks (RNNs) and long short-term memory (LSTM) models due to gradient-based training and memory bottlenecks. Reservoir Computing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-05 Ata Akbari Asanjan , Filip Wudarski , Daniel O'Connor , Shaun Geaney , Elena Strbac , P. Aaron Lott , Davide Venturelli

In climate systems, physiological models, optics, and many more, surrogate models are developed to reconstruct chaotic dynamical systems. We introduce four data-driven measures using global attractor properties to evaluate the quality of…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-06-12 Luci Fumagalli , Kathy Lüdge , Jana de Wiljes , Heikki Haario , Lina Jaurigue

Experimental measurements of physical systems often have a limited number of independent channels, causing essential dynamical variables to remain unobserved. However, many popular methods for unsupervised inference of latent dynamics from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-23 William Gilpin

Graph-based next-step prediction models have recently been very successful in modeling complex high-dimensional physical systems on irregular meshes. However, due to their short temporal attention span, these models suffer from error…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-27 Xu Han , Han Gao , Tobias Pfaff , Jian-Xun Wang , Li-Ping Liu

Reservoir computing provides a time and cost-efficient alternative to traditional learning methods.Critical regimes, known as the "edge of chaos," have been found to optimize computational performance in binary neural networks. However,…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2023-08-22 Emmanuel Calvet , Jean Rouat , Bertrand Reulet

Quantum reservoir computing is a machine-learning approach designed to exploit the dynamics of quantum systems with memory to process information. As an advantage, it presents the possibility to benefit from the quantum resources provided…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-03-29 Pere Mujal

We experimentally demonstrate quantum machine learning using NMR based on a framework of quantum reservoir computing. Reservoir computing is for exploiting natural nonlinear dynamics with large degrees of freedom, which is called a…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-06-29 Makoto Negoro , Kosuke Mitarai , Keisuke Fujii , Kohei Nakajima , Masahiro Kitagawa

Reservoir computing is a neural network approach for processing time-dependent signals that has seen rapid development in recent years. Physical implementations of the technique using optical reservoirs have demonstrated remarkable accuracy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-30 Daniel Canaday , Aaron Griffith , Daniel Gauthier
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