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We propose a new multivariate dependency measure. It is obtained by considering a Gaussian kernel based distance between the copula transform of the given d-dimensional distribution and the uniform copula and then appropriately normalizing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-12 Angshuman Roy , Alok Goswami , C. A. Murthy

Multivariate time series data that capture the temporal evolution of interconnected systems are ubiquitous in diverse areas. Understanding the complex relationships and potential dependencies among co-observed variables is crucial for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-03 Zhaolu Liu , Robert L. Peach , Felix Laumann , Sara Vallejo Mengod , Mauricio Barahona

For multivariate co-generation in scientific applications, we advocate pairwise block rather than joint modeling of all variables. This design mitigates the computational burden and data imbalance. To this end, we propose an Annealed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Hantao Zhang , Jieke Wu , Mingda Xu , Xiao Hu , Yingxuan You , Pascal Fua

Combining the time-dependent variational principle (TDVP) algorithm with the parallelization scheme introduced by Stoudenmire and White for the density matrix renormalization group (DMRG), we present the first parallel matrix product state…

Classical and more recent tests for detecting distributional changes in multivariate time series often lack power against alternatives that involve changes in the cross-sectional dependence structure. To be able to detect such changes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-16 Axel Bücher , Ivan Kojadinovic , Tom Rohmer , Johan Segers

In this paper we introduce a new class of multivariate unimodal distributions, motivated by Khintchine's representation. We start by proposing a univariate model, whose support covers all the unimodal distributions on the real line. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-25 Marina S. Paez , Stephen G. Walker

This study introduces an innovative Cumulative Link Modeling approach to monitor crop progress over large areas using remote sensing data. The models utilize the predictive attributes of calendar time, thermal time, and the Normalized…

Applications · Statistics 2024-12-06 Ioannis Oikonomidis , Samis Trevezas

The staggering amount of streaming time series coming from the real world calls for more efficient and effective online modeling solution. For time series modeling, most existing works make some unrealistic assumptions such as the input…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-09-27 Zhifei Zhang , Yang Song , Wei Wang , Hairong Qi

Causal analysis based on non-uniform embedding schemes is an important way to detect the underlying interactions between dynamic systems. However, there are still some obstacles to estimate high-dimensional conditional mutual information…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-19 Ziyu Jia , Youfang Lin , Zehui Jiao , Yan Ma , Jing Wang

We propose an enhanced Time-Dependent Variational Principle (TDVP) algorithm for Matrix Product States (MPS) that integrates Clifford disentangling techniques to efficiently manage entanglement growth. By leveraging the Clifford group,…

High-dimensional multivariate time series are challenging due to the dependent and high-dimensional nature of the data, but in many applications there is additional structure that can be exploited to reduce computing time along with…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-13 Michael Schweinberger , Sergii Babkin , Katherine Ensor

Accurate forecasts are vital for supporting the decisions of modern companies. Forecasters typically select the most appropriate statistical model for each time series. However, statistical models usually presume some data generation…

Multivariate time series classification is a task with increasing importance due to the proliferation of new problems in various fields (economy, health, energy, transport, crops, etc.) where a large number of information sources are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-09 Francisco J. Baldán , José M. Benítez

Recent advancements in deep learning have led to the development of various models for long-term multivariate time-series forecasting (LMTF), many of which have shown promising results. Generally, the focus has been on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-28 Shiyi Qi , Zenglin Xu , Yiduo Li , Liangjian Wen , Qingsong Wen , Qifan Wang , Yuan Qi

In many domains, there is significant interest in capturing novel relationships between time series that represent activities recorded at different nodes of a highly complex system. In this paper, we introduce multipoles, a novel class of…

Time series forecasting is often fundamental to scientific and engineering problems and enables decision making. With ever increasing data set sizes, a trivial solution to scale up predictions is to assume independence between interacting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-18 Kashif Rasul , Abdul-Saboor Sheikh , Ingmar Schuster , Urs Bergmann , Roland Vollgraf

We exploit Gaussian copulas to specify a class of multivariate circular distributions and obtain parametric models for the analysis of correlated circular data. This approach provides a straightforward extension of traditional multivariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-07 Francesco Lagona , Marco Mingione

Weather predictions are often provided as ensembles generated by repeated runs of numerical weather prediction models. These forecasts typically exhibit bias and inaccurate dependence structures due to numerical and dispersion errors,…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-23 Maurits Flos , Bastien François , Irene Schicker , Kirien Whan , Elisa Perrone

Time series data may exhibit clustering over time and, in a multiple time series context, the clustering behavior may differ across the series. This paper is motivated by the Bayesian non--parametric modeling of the dependence between the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-09-23 Federico Bassetti , Roberto Casarin , Fabrizio Leisen

In multivariate time series systems, lead-lag relationships reveal dependencies between time series when they are shifted in time relative to each other. Uncovering such relationships is valuable in downstream tasks, such as control,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-19 Yichi Zhang , Mihai Cucuringu , Alexander Y. Shestopaloff , Stefan Zohren