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We assume that we have multiple ordinal time series and we would like to specify their joint distribution. In general it is difficult to create multivariate distribution that can be easily used to jointly model ordinal variables and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-16 Anna Nalpantidi , Dimitris Karlis

In the copula-based approach to univariate time series modeling, the finite dimensional temporal dependence of a stationary time series is captured by a copula. Recent studies investigate how copula-based time series models can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-03 Sven Pappert , Harry Joe

In this paper we propose a flexible class of multivariate nonlinear non-Gaussian state space models, based on copulas. More precisely, we assume that the observation equation and the state equation are defined by copula families that are…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-04 Alexander Kreuzer , Luciana Dalla Valle , Claudia Czado

An approach to modelling volatile financial return series using stationary d-vine copula processes combined with Lebesgue-measure-preserving transformations known as v-transforms is proposed. By developing a method of stochastically…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-15 Martin Bladt , Alexander J. McNeil

Copulas have been popular to model dependence for multivariate distributions, but have not been used much in modelling temporal dependence of univariate time series. This paper demonstrates some difficulties with using copulas even for…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-10-11 Andreas N. Lagerås

The statistical analysis of univariate quantiles is a well developed research topic. However, there is a need for research in multivariate quantiles. We construct bivariate (conditional) quantiles using the level curves of vine copula based…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-04 Marija Tepegjozova , Claudia Czado

Topological data analysis (TDA) approaches are becoming increasingly popular for studying the dependence patterns in multivariate time series data. In particular, various dependence patterns in brain networks may be linked to specific tasks…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-08 Anass El Yaagoubi Bourakna , Moo K. Chung , Hernando Ombao

In multivariate longitudinal studies, associations between outcomes often exhibit time-varying and individual level heterogeneity, motivating the modeling of correlations as an explicit function of time and covariates. However, most…

Use of copula for the purpose of modeling dependence has been receiving considerable attention in recent times. On the other hand, search for multivariate copulas with desirable dependence properties also is an important area of research.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-18 Subhajit Chattopadhyay

Designing effective models for learning time series representations is foundational for time series analysis. Many previous works have explored time series representation modeling approaches and have made progress in this area. Despite…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Mingyue Cheng , Jiqian Yang , Tingyue Pan , Qi Liu , Zhi Li

In many studies multivariate event time data are generated from clusters having a possibly complex association pattern. Flexible models are needed to capture this dependence. Vine copulas serve this purpose. Inference methods for vine…

Applications · Statistics 2017-07-25 Nicole Barthel , Candida Geerdens , Matthias Killiches , Paul Janssen , Claudia Czado

This study suggests a coupling uncertainty analysis method to investigate the stiffness characteristics of variable stiffness (VS) composite. The D-vine copula function is used to address the coupling of random variables. To identify the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2018-04-23 Qidi Li , Hu Wang , Yang Zeng , Zhiwei Lv

For a particular disease there may be two diagnostic tests developed, where each of the tests is subject to several studies. A quadrivariate generalized linear mixed model (GLMM) has been recently proposed to joint meta-analyse and compare…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-03 Aristidis K. Nikoloulopoulos

Regular vine sequences permit the organisation of variables in a random vector along a sequence of trees. Regular vine models have become greatly popular in dependence modelling as a way to combine arbitrary bivariate copulas into…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-28 Anna Kiriliouk , Jeongjin Lee , Johan Segers

This paper proposes multivariate copula models for hierarchical data. They account for two types of correlation: one is between variables measured on the same unit and the other is a correlation between units in the same cluster. This model…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-24 Talagbe Gabin Akpo , Louis-Paul Rivest

Multivariate spatio-temporal data refers to multiple measurements taken across space and time. For many analyses, spatial and time components can be separately studied: for example, to explore the temporal trend of one variable for a single…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-24 H. Sherry Zhang , Dianne Cook , Ursula Laa , Nicolas Langrené , Patricia Menéndez

We introduce a general approach for modeling the dynamic of multivariate time series when the data are of mixed type (binary/count/continuous). Our method is quite flexible and conditionally on past values, each coordinate at time $t$ can…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-05 Zinsou Max Debaly , Lionel Truquet

We propose to model multivariate volatility processes based on the newly defined conditionally uncorrelated components (CUCs). This model represents a parsimonious representation for matrix-valued processes. It is flexible in the sense that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Jianqing Fan , Mingjin Wang , Qiwei Yao

The increasing importance of solar power for electricity generation leads to an increasing demand for probabilistic forecasting of local and aggregated PV yields. In this paper we use an indirect modeling approach for hourly medium to long…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-24 Alfred Müller , Matthias Reuber

We propose a new variational Bayes estimator for high-dimensional copulas with discrete, or a combination of discrete and continuous, margins. The method is based on a variational approximation to a tractable augmented posterior, and is…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-23 Ruben Loaiza-Maya , Michael Stanley Smith