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Monte Carlo methods to evaluate and maximize the likelihood function enable the construction of confidence intervals and hypothesis tests, facilitating scientific investigation using models for which the likelihood function is intractable.…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-13 Edward L. Ionides , Carles Breto , Joonha Park , Richard A. Smith , Aaron A. King

We consider the classic problem of Network Reliability. A network is given together with a source vertex, one or more target vertices, and probabilities assigned to each of the edges. Each edge appears in the network with its associated…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2019-03-20 Amir Kafshdar Goharshady , Fatemeh Mohammadi

We propose a new model for augmenting algorithms with predictions by requiring that they are formally learnable and instance robust. Learnability ensures that predictions can be efficiently constructed from a reasonable amount of past data.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-05 Thomas Lavastida , Benjamin Moseley , R. Ravi , Chenyang Xu

Many networks are characterized by highly heterogeneous distributions of links, which are called scale-free networks and the degree distributions follow $p(k)\sim ck^{-\alpha}$. We study the robustness of scale-free networks to random…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-11 Bing Wang , Huanwen Tang , Chonghui Guo , Zhilong Xiu

We consider optimization problems with uncertain constraints that need to be satisfied probabilistically. When data are available, a common method to obtain feasible solutions for such problems is to impose sampled constraints, following…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-09 Henry Lam , Fengpei Li

This study investigates the efficacy of machine learning models in network security threat detection through the critical lens of partial versus complete flow information, addressing a common gap between research settings and real-time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Adrian Pekar , Richard Jozsa

Resilience characterizes a system's ability to retain its original function when perturbations happen. In the past years our attention mainly focused on small-scale resilience, yet our understanding of resilience in large-scale network…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2020-10-13 Mengbang Zou , Luca Zanotti Fragonara , Weisi Guo

In this paper, we consider a network capacity expansion problem in the context of telecommunication networks, where there is uncertainty associated with the expected traffic demand. We employ a distributionally robust stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-10 Trivikram Dokka , Francis Garuba , Marc Goerigk , Peter Jacko

In this paper, we investigate the use of variable speed limits for resilient operation of transportation networks, which are modeled as dynamical flow networks under local routing decisions. In such systems, some external inflow is injected…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-09-22 A. Yasin Yazicioglu , Mardavij Roozbehani , Munther A. Dahleh

Networks analysis has been commonly used to study the interactions between units of complex systems. One problem of particular interest is learning the network's underlying connection pattern given a single and noisy instantiation. While…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-08 Tianxi Li , Can M. Le

The frequency of extreme events (e.g., hurricanes, earthquakes, and floods) and man-made attacks (cyber and physical attacks) has increased dramatically in recent years. These events have severely impacted power systems ranging from long…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-08-19 Narayan Bhusal , Mukesh Gautam , Mohammed Benidris

Aleatoric uncertainty quantification seeks for distributional knowledge of random responses, which is important for reliability analysis and robustness improvement in machine learning applications. Previous research on aleatoric uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-10 Ziyi Huang , Henry Lam , Haofeng Zhang

In the following article we provide an exposition of exact computational methods to perform parameter inference from partially observed network models. In particular, we consider the duplication attachment (DA) model which has a likelihood…

Computation · Statistics 2013-06-20 Junshan Wang , Ajay Jasra , Maria De Iorio

Multifidelity Monte Carlo methods rely on a hierarchy of possibly less accurate but statistically correlated simplified or reduced models, in order to accelerate the estimation of statistics of high-fidelity models without compromising the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-10-29 Alessio Quaglino , Simone Pezzuto , Rolf Krause

Traditionally power distribution networks are either not observable or only partially observable. This complicates development and implementation of new smart grid technologies, such as those related to demand response, outage detection and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-03-02 Deepjyoti Deka , Scott Backhaus , Michael Chertkov

The current framework of network utility maximization for distributed rate allocation assumes fixed channel code rates. However, by adapting the physical layer channel coding, different rate-reliability tradeoffs can be achieved on each…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Jang-Won Lee , Mung Chiang , A. Robert Calderbank

In a diffusion process on a network, how many nodes are expected to be influenced by a set of initial spreaders? This natural problem, often referred to as influence estimation, boils down to computing the marginal probability that a given…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-01-01 Andrey Y. Lokhov , David Saad

Sequential Monte Carlo Samplers are a class of stochastic algorithms for Monte Carlo integral estimation w.r.t. probability distributions, which combine elements of Markov chain Monte Carlo methods and importance sampling/resampling…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Andreas Eberle , Carlo Marinelli

Understanding decisions made by neural networks is key for the deployment of intelligent systems in real world applications. However, the opaque decision making process of these systems is a disadvantage where interpretability is essential.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-12 Kai Fischer , Jonas Schneider

Uncertainty analysis in the outcomes of model predictions is a key element in decision-based material design to establish confidence in the models and evaluate the fidelity of models. Uncertainty Propagation (UP) is a technique to determine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-13 Danial Khatamsaz , Vahid Attari , Raymundo Arroyave , Douglas L. Allaire
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