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Particle shifting techniques (PST) have been used to improve the accuracy of the Smoothed Particle Hydrodynamics (SPH) method. Shifting ensures that the particles are distributed homogeneously in space. This may be performed by moving the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-03-15 Dinesh Adepu , Prabhu Ramachandran

Projections of extreme sea levels (ESLs) are critical for managing coastal risks, but are made complicated by deep uncertainties. One key uncertainty is the choice of model structure used to estimate coastal hazards. Differences in model…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-06-15 Tony E. Wong , Travis Torline , Mingxuan Zhang

Climate models have become an important tool in the study of climate and climate change, and ensemble experiments consisting of multiple climate-model runs are used in studying and quantifying the uncertainty in climate-model output.…

Applications · Statistics 2011-04-15 Stephan R. Sain , Reinhard Furrer , Noel Cressie

Sub-seasonal climate forecasting (SSF) is the prediction of key climate variables such as temperature and precipitation on the 2-week to 2-month time horizon. Skillful SSF would have substantial societal value in areas such as agricultural…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-10-12 Sijie He , Xinyan Li , Laurie Trenary , Benjamin A Cash , Timothy DelSole , Arindam Banerjee

Land surface temperature (LST) is vital for land-atmosphere interactions and climate processes. Accurate LST retrieval remains challenging under heterogeneous land cover and extreme atmospheric conditions. Traditional split window (SW)…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-08 Tian Xie , Huanfeng Shen , Menghui Jiang , Juan-Carlos Jiménez-Muñoz , José A. Sobrino , Huifang Li , Chao Zeng

Extreme events, such as wave-storms, need to be characterized for coastal infrastructure design purposes. Such description should contain information on both the univariate behaviour and the joint-dependence of storm-variables. These two…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-03-15 Jue Lin-Ye , Manuel García-León , Vicente Gràcia , Maribel Ortego , Piero Lionello , Agustín Sanchez-Arcilla

We formulate and study a low-order nonlinear coupled ocean-atmosphere model with an emphasis on the impact of radiative and heat fluxes and of the frictional coupling between the two components. This model version extends a previous…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-08-28 Stéphane Vannitsem , Jonathan Demaeyer , Lesley De Cruz , Michael Ghil

Long-term satellite image time series (SITS) analysis in heterogeneous landscapes faces significant challenges, particularly in Mediterranean regions where complex spatial patterns, seasonal variations, and multi-decade environmental…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Ido Faran , Nathan S. Netanyahu , Maxim Shoshany

We study the dynamics of the sea surface temperature (SST) anomaly using a model of the temporal patterns of two sub-regions, mimicking behaviour similar to El Ni\~no Southern Oscillations (ENSO). Specifically, we present the existence,…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-08-01 Chandrakala Meena , Elena Surovyatkina , Sudeshna Sinha

Recent extreme value theory literature has seen significant emphasis on the modelling of spatial extremes, with comparatively little consideration of spatio-temporal extensions. This neglects an important feature of extreme events: their…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-19 Emma S. Simpson , Jennifer L. Wadsworth

Researchers typically resort to numerical methods to understand and predict ocean dynamics, a key task in mastering environmental phenomena. Such methods may not be suitable in scenarios where the topographic map is complex, knowledge about…

Accurate representation of atmosphere-ocean boundary layers, including the interplay of turbulence, surface waves, and air-sea fluxes, remains a challenge in geophysical fluid dynamics, particularly for climate simulations. This study…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-04 Long Li , Etienne Mémin , Bertrand Chapron

Bayesian hierarchical models are proposed for modeling tropical cyclone characteristics and their damage potential in the Atlantic basin. We model the joint probability distribution of tropical cyclone characteristics and their damage…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-13 Lindsey Dietz , Sakshi Arya , Vishal Subedi , Auroop R. Ganguly , Snigdhansu Chatterjee

Mesoscale convective systems MCSs play a central role in tropical rainfall and are closely linked to extreme precipitation and large scale variability. However, a quantitative understanding of their environmental controls remains…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-04-24 Huaiping Wang , Qiu Yang

The objective of this paper is to employ machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) techniques to obtain from input data (storm features) available in or derived from the HURDAT2 database models capable of simulating important hurricane…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-09-16 Rikhi Bose , Adam L. Pintar , Emil Simiu

A dataset of sea surface temperature (SST) estimates is generated from the temperature observations of surface drifting buoys of NOAA's Global Drifter Program. Estimates of SST at regular hourly time steps along drifter trajectories are…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-09-01 Shane Elipot , Adam Sykulski , Rick Lumpkin , Luca Centurioni , Mayra Pazos

Understanding species-habitat associations is fundamental to ecological sciences and for species conservation. Consequently, various statistical approaches have been designed to infer species-habitat associations. Due to their conceptual…

While the importance of extreme conditions is recognised, patterns in species abundances are often interpreted through average environmental conditions within their distributional range. For marine species with pelagic larvae, temperature…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-01-23 Carlota Muniz , Christopher McQuaid , Nicolas Weidberg

Traditional History Matching (HM) identifies implausible regions of the input parameter space by comparing scalar outputs of a computer model to observations. It offers higher computational efficiency than Bayesian calibration, making it…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-05 Ryuichi Kanai , Nicolás Hernández , Devaraj Gopinathan , Serge Guillas

Seasonality (or periodicity) and trend are features describing an observed sequence, and extracting these features is an important issue in many scientific fields. However, it is not an easy task for existing methods to analyze…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-20 Yu-Chun Chen , Ming-Yen Cheng , Hau-tieng Wu