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We introduce an approach to inferring the causal architecture of stochastic dynamical systems that extends rate distortion theory to use causal shielding---a natural principle of learning. We study two distinct cases of causal inference:…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2010-08-23 Susanne Still , James P. Crutchfield , Christopher J. Ellison

Inferring the causal structure of a set of random variables from a finite sample of the joint distribution is an important problem in science. Recently, methods using additive noise models have been suggested to approach the case of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-07-24 Jonas Peters , Dominik Janzing , Bernhard Schölkopf

We consider the task of filtering a dynamic parameter evolving as a diffusion process, given data collected at discrete times from a likelihood which is conjugate to the marginal law of the diffusion, when a generic dual process on a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-29 Guillaume Kon Kam King , Andrea Pandolfi , Marco Piretto , Matteo Ruggiero

We revisit the problem of condensation for independent, identically distributed random variables with a power-law tail, conditioned by the value of their sum. For large values of the sum, and for a large number of summands, a condensation…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-03-03 Claude Godrèche

A number of researchers have independently introduced topologies on the set of laws of stochastic processes that extend the usual weak topology. Depending on the respective scientific background this was motivated by applications and…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-18 Julio Backhoff , Daniel Bartl , Mathias Beiglböck , Johannes Wiesel

We consider a stochastic wave equation in space dimension three driven by a noise white in time and with an absolutely continuous correlation measure given by the product of a smooth function and a Riesz kernel. Let $p_{t,x}(y)$ be the…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-02-13 Marta Sanz-Solé

In this paper we consider an interacting particle system in $\mathbb{R}^d$ modelled as a system of $N$ stochastic differential equations driven by L\'evy processes. The limiting behaviour as the size $N$ grows to infinity is achieved as a…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-12 Christian Olivera , Marielle Simon

Filtered probability spaces (called "filtrations" for short) are shown to satisfy such a topological zero-one law: for every property of filtrations, either the property holds for almost all filtrations, or its negation does. In particular,…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Boris Tsirelson

This thesis develops exact analytical tools to study strongly correlated stochastic systems, with a focus on extreme value statistics, gap statistics, and full counting statistics in multi-particle processes. A central contribution is the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-08-19 Marco Biroli

Assume that a family of stochastic processes on some Polish space $E$ converges to a deterministic process; the convergence is in distribution (hence in probability) at every fixed point in time. This assumption holds for a large family of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2012-07-13 Michel Benaim , Jean-Yves Le Boudec

This paper investigates the approximation of Gaussian random variables in Banach spaces, focusing on the high-probability bounds for the approximation of Gaussian random variables using finitely many observations. We derive non-asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-28 Daniel Winkle , Ingo Steinwart , Bernard Haasdonk

We prove a stochastic averaging theorem for stochastic differential equations in which the slow and the fast variables interact. The approximate Markov fast motion is a family of Markov process with generator ${\mathcal L}_x$ for which we…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-19 Xue-Mei Li

We study a stochastic Hamiltonian system of $N$ particles with many particles interacting through a potential whose range is large in comparison with the typical distance between neighbouring particles. It is shown that the empirical…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-03-18 Jesus Correa , Christian Olivera

Stochastic dynamics on sparse graphs and disordered systems often lead to complex behaviors characterized by heterogeneity in time and spatial scales, slow relaxation, localization, and aging phenomena. The mathematical tools and…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2025-06-05 Mattia Tarabolo , Luca Dall'Asta

We study a diffusion approximation for a model of stochastic motion of a particle in one spatial dimension. The velocity of the particle is constant but the direction of the motion undergoes random changes with a Poisson clock. Moreover,…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2022-04-21 Adam Bobrowski , Tomasz Komorowski

Density functional theory can be extended to excited states by means of a unified variational approach for passive state ensembles. This extension overcomes the restriction of the typical density functional approach to ground states, and…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2019-07-10 Tim Gould , Stefano Pittalis

We explore properties the solution of Langevin equation when stochastic influence is orthogonal to velocity of a particle. Wiener's process can accept unlimited values. But for these equations, the attraction surfaces exist. For these…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-20 V. A. Doobko

We derive theorems which outline explicit mechanisms by which anomalous scaling for the probability density function of the sum of many correlated random variables asymptotically prevails. The results characterize general anomalous scaling…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-14 Attilio L. Stella , Fulvio Baldovin

In this paper, we consider approximating expansions for the distribution of integer valued random variables, in circumstances in which convergence in law cannot be expected. The setting is one in which the simplest approximation to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-11 A. D. Barbour , E. Kowalski , A. Nikeghbali

In this paper we study approximations for boundary crossing probabilities for the moving sums of i.i.d. normal random variables. We propose approximating a discrete time problem with a continuous time problem allowing us to apply developed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-30 Jack Noonan , Anatoly Zhigljavsky