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In this paper, we present a progressive and iterative approximation method with memory for least square fitting(MLSPIA). It adjusts the control points and the weighted sums iteratively to construct a series of fitting curves (surfaces) with…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-08-22 Zheng-Da Huang , Hui-Di Wang

Constructing prediction intervals for time series forecasting is challenging, particularly when practitioners rely solely on point forecasts. While previous research has focused on creating increasingly efficient intervals, we argue that…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-20 Carlos Sebastián , Carlos E. González-Guillén , Jesús Juan

We study the functional linear regression model with a scalar response and a Hilbert space-valued predictor, a canonical example of an ill-posed inverse problem. We show that the functional partial least squares (PLS) estimator attains…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-08 Andrii Babii , Marine Carrasco , Idriss Tsafack

Electrochemical impedance spectroscopy (EIS) data is typically modeled using an equivalent circuit model (ECM), with parameters obtained by minimizing a loss function via nonlinear least squares fitting. This paper introduces two new loss…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Ali Jaberi , Amin Sadeghi , Runze Zhang , Zhaoyang Zhao , Qiuyu Shi , Robert Black , Zoya Sadighi , Jason Hattrick-Simpers

Ensemble data assimilation techniques form an indispensable part of numerical weather prediction. As the ensemble size grows and model resolution increases, the amount of required storage becomes a major issue. Data compression schemes may…

Functional principal component analysis has been shown to be invaluable for revealing variation modes of longitudinal outcomes, which serves as important building blocks for forecasting and model building. Decades of research have advanced…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-07 Peijun Sang , Dehan Kong , Shu Yang

We report a possible solution to the trouble that the covariance fitting fails when the data is highly correlated and the covariance matrix has small eigenvalues. As an example, we choose the data analysis of highly correlated $B_K$ data on…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2011-11-03 Boram Yoon , Yong-Chull Jang , Weonjong Lee , Chulwoo Jung

We propose a multilevel Monte-Carlo scheme, applicable to local actions, which is expected to reduce statistical errors on correlation functions. We give general arguments to show how the efficiency and parameters of the algorithm are…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2010-02-03 Harvey B. Meyer

We propose a flexible dual functional factor model for modelling high-dimensional functional time series. In this model, a high-dimensional fully functional factor parametrisation is imposed on the observed functional processes, whereas a…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-01-15 Chenlei Leng , Degui Li , Hanlin Shang , Yingcun Xia

We present a Bayesian approach for modeling multivariate, dependent functional data. To account for the three dominant structural features in the data--functional, time dependent, and multivariate components--we extend hierarchical dynamic…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-02 Daniel R. Kowal , David S. Matteson , David Ruppert

In this notes we describe an algorithm for non-linear fitting which incorporates some of the features of linear least squares into a general minimum $\chi^2$ fit and provide a pure Python implementation of the algorithm. It consists of the…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2012-02-08 Massimo Di Pierro

Given a data set (t_i, y_i), i=1,..., n with the t_i in [0,1] non-parametric regression is concerned with the problem of specifying a suitable function f_n:[0,1] -> R such that the data can be reasonably approximated by the points (t_i,…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-03-18 P. L. Davies , M. Meise

Many mathematical modelling tasks (such as in Economics and Finance) are informed by data that is "found" rather than being the result of carefully designed experiments. This often results in data series that are short, noisy,…

Mathematical Software · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Stephen Wright , Colin Paterson

The construction of valid and flexible cross-covariance functions is a fundamental task for modeling multivariate space-time data arising from climatological and oceanographical phenomena. Indeed, a suitable specification of the covariance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-23 Alfredo Alegría , Emilio Porcu , Reinhard Furrer , Jorge Mateu

We study the problem of detecting and localizing multiple changes in the mean parameter of a Banach space-valued time series. The goal is to construct a collection of narrow confidence intervals, each containing at least one (or exactly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Tim Kutta , Holger Dette , Shixuan Wang

We study additive function-on-function regression where the mean response at a particular time point depends on the time point itself as well as the entire covariate trajectory. We develop a computationally efficient estimation methodology…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-15 Janet S. Kim , Ana-Maria Staicu , Arnab Maity , Raymond J. Carroll , David Ruppert

We propose a spatio-temporal data-fusion framework for point data and gridded data with variables observed on different spatial supports. A latent Gaussian field with a Mat\'ern-SPDE prior provides a continuous space representation, while…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-19 Weiyue Zheng , Andrew Elliott , Claire Miller , Marian Scott

Two new methods are proposed for linear regression analysis for data with measurement errors. Both methods are designed to accommodate intrinsic scatter in addition to measurement errors. The first (BCES) is a direct extension of the…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-10-28 Michael G. Akritas , Matthew A. Bershady

Classical optimization theory deals with fixed, time-invariant objective functions. However, time-varying optimization has emerged as an important subject for decision-making in dynamic environments. In this work, we study the problem of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-16 Muhammad Faraz Ul Abrar , Nicolò Michelusi , Erik G. Larsson

The Zarantonello fixed-point iteration is an established linearization scheme for quasilinear PDEs with strongly monotone and Lipschitz continuous nonlinearity in Hilbert spaces. This paper presents a weighted least-squares minimization for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-24 Philipp Bringmann , Dirk Praetorius