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In this chapter, we consider probabilistic drift-diffusion models and Bayesian inference frameworks to address this issue, assisting better social human decision-making. We provide details of the models, as well as representative numerical…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-07-13 Thoa Thieu , Roderick Melnik

The drift diffusion model (DDM) is a model of sequential sampling with diffusion (Brownian) signals, where the decision maker accumulates evidence until the process hits a stopping boundary, and then stops and chooses the alternative that…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-10-12 Drew Fudenberg , Whitney K. Newey , Philipp Strack , Tomasz Strzalecki

We study a regulation problem for stochastic systems subject to both continuous fluctuations and rare but significant shocks, modeled as a jump-diffusion with uncertainty in both the drift and the jump intensity. Such settings arise in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Abel Azze , Bernardo D'Auria , Giorgio Ferrari

An open question in systems and computational neuroscience is how neural circuits accumulate evidence towards a decision. Fitting models of decision-making theory to neural activity helps answer this question, but current approaches limit…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2020-01-15 David M. Zoltowski , Jonathan W. Pillow , Scott W. Linderman

Ensuring safe interactions between autonomous vehicles (AVs) and human drivers in mixed traffic systems remains a major challenge, particularly in complex, high-risk scenarios. This paper presents a cognition-decision framework that…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-03-18 Heye Huang , Zheng Li , Hao Cheng , Haoran Wang , Junkai Jiang , Xiaopeng Li , Arkady Zgonnikov

Despite their outstanding performance in a broad spectrum of real-world tasks, deep artificial neural networks are sensitive to input noises, particularly adversarial perturbations. On the contrary, human and animal brains are much less…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-05-23 Xiyuan Chen , Xingyu Li , Yi Zhou , Tianming Yang

Ants are social insects. When the existing nest of an ant colony becomes uninhabitable, the hunt for a new suitable location for migration of the colony begins. Normally, multiple sites may be available as the potential new nest site.…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2021-05-04 Smriti Pradhan , Swayamshree Patra , Debashish Chowdhury

In cognition, response times and choices in decision-making tasks are commonly modeled using Drift Diffusion Models (DDMs), which describe the accumulation of evidence for a decision as a stochastic process, specifically a Brownian motion,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-12 Sophie Jaffard , Giulia Mezzadri , Patricia Reynaud-Bouret , Etienne Tanré

We study collective decision-making in a model of human groups, with network interactions, performing two alternative choice tasks. We focus on the speed-accuracy tradeoff, i.e., the tradeoff between a quick decision and a reliable…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-02-18 Vaibhav Srivastava , Naomi Ehrich Leonard

Humans and other organisms make decisions choosing between different options, with the aim to maximize the reward and minimize the cost. The main theoretical framework for modeling the decision-making process has been based on the highly…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2024-11-19 Olga Tapinova , Tal Finkelman , Tamar Reitich-Stolero , Rony Paz , Assaf Tal , Nir S. Gov

The proliferation of intermittent distributed renewable energy sources (RES) in modern power systems has fundamentally compromised the reliability and accuracy of deterministic net load forecasting. Generative models, particularly diffusion…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-04 Yixiang Huang , Jianhua Pei , Luocheng Chen , Zhenchang Du , Jinfu Chen , Zirui Peng

Diffusion models are a powerful tool for probabilistic forecasting, yet most applications in high-dimensional complex systems predict future states individually. This approach struggles to model complex temporal dependencies and fails to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-10 Salva Rühling Cachay , Miika Aittala , Karsten Kreis , Noah Brenowitz , Arash Vahdat , Morteza Mardani , Rose Yu

In [1], we have shown that the dynamics of an interconnected population of excitatory and inhibitory spiking neurons wandering around a Bogdanov-Takens (BT)bifurcation point can generate the observed scale-free avalanches at the population…

Biological Physics · Physics 2022-04-05 Masud Ehsani , Jürgen Jost

We consider a dual model of decision making, in which an individual forms its opinion based on contrasting mechanisms of imitation and rational calculation. The decision making model (DMM) implements imitating behavior by means of a network…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2015-06-22 Malgorzata Turalska , Bruce J. West

In this paper, we propose an agent-based model of information spread, grounded on psychological insights on the formation and spread of beliefs. In our model, we consider a network of individuals who share two opposing types of information…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-01-13 Julien Corsin , Lorenzo Zino , Mengbin Ye

Consider learning a policy purely on the basis of demonstrated behavior -- that is, with no access to reinforcement signals, no knowledge of transition dynamics, and no further interaction with the environment. This *strictly batch…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-15 Daniel Jarrett , Ioana Bica , Mihaela van der Schaar

Evidence accumulation models (EAMs) provide a powerful framework for inferring latent cognitive processes from choice and reaction time data. While EAMs are traditionally limited to binary choices, recent developments have extended them to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Yufei Wu , Tamás Szűcs , Agnes Moors , Francis Tuerlinckx

The Drift-Diffusion Model (DDM) is widely used in neuropsychological studies to understand the decision process by incorporating both reaction times and subjects' responses. Various models have been developed to estimate DDM parameters,…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-03 Zekai Jin , Yaakov Stern , Seonjoo Lee

We introduce a novel approach to study the critical behavior of equilibrium and non-equilibrium systems which is based on the concept of an instantaneous correlation length. We analyze in detail two classical statistical mechanical systems:…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-03-04 Lorenzo Palmieri , Henrik Jeldtoft Jensen

A stochastic hybrid system, also known as a switching diffusion, is a continuous-time Markov process with state space consisting of discrete and continuous parts. We consider parametric estimation of theQmatrix for the discrete state…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-14 Masaaki Fukasawa
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