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The analysis of high-dimensional dynamical systems generally requires the integration of simulation data with experimental measurements. Experimental data often has substantial amounts of measurement noise that compromises the ability to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-10-02 Samuel Rudy , Steven Brunton , J. Nathan Kutz

Data assimilation aims to estimate the states of a dynamical system by optimally combining sparse and noisy observations of the physical system with uncertain forecasts produced by a computational model. The states of many dynamical systems…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-08 Amit N. Subrahmanya , Andrey A. Popov , Reid J. Gomillion , Adrian Sandu

This paper is concerned with stochastic incompressible Navier-Stokes equations with multiplicative noise in two dimensions with respect to periodic boundary conditions. Based on the Helmholtz decomposition of the multiplicative noise,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-11-28 Hailong Qiu

In meteorology, engineering and computer sciences, data assimilation is routinely employed as the optimal way to combine noisy observations with prior model information for obtaining better estimates of a state, and thus better forecasts,…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-08-12 M. J. Werner , K. Ide , D. Sornette

The Gray--Scott model governs the interaction of two chemical species via a system of reaction-diffusion equations. Despite its simple form, it produces extremely rich patterns such as spots, stripes, waves, and labyrinths. That makes it…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-07 Tsiry Avisoa Randrianasolo

Four-dimensional variational data assimilation (4D-Var) on a seasonal-to-interdecadal time scale under the existence of unstable modes can be viewed as an optimization problem of synchronized, coupled chaotic systems. The problem is tackled…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-11-17 Nozomi Sugiura , Shuhei Masuda , Yosuke Fujii , Masafumi Kamachi , Yoichi Ishikawa , Toshiyuki Awaji

Data assimilation (DA) plays a pivotal role in numerical weather prediction by systematically integrating sparse observations with model forecasts to estimate optimal atmospheric initial condition for forthcoming forecasts. Traditional…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-28 Jing-An Sun , Hang Fan , Junchao Gong , Ben Fei , Kun Chen , Fenghua Ling , Wenlong Zhang , Wanghan Xu , Li Yan , Pierre Gentine , Lei Bai

Real-time forecasting is important to the society. It uses continuous data streams to update forecasts for sustained accuracy. But the data source is vulnerable to attacks or accidents and the dynamics of forecasting failure and recovery…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-09-09 Sicheng Wu , Ruo-Qian Wang

Instances of discrete quantum systems coupled to a continuum of oscillators are ubiquitous in physics. Often the continua are approximated by a discrete set of modes. We derive analytical error bounds on expectation values of system…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-02-16 Mischa P. Woods , Martin B. Plenio

This work is about low dimensional reduction for a slow-fast data assimilation system with non-Gaussian $\alpha-$stable L\'evy noise via stochastic averaging. When the observations are only available for slow components, we show that the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-01-10 Yanjie Zhang , Zhuan Cheng , Xinyong Zhang , Xiaoli Chen , Jinqiao Duan , Xiaofan Li

In this paper we propose a new sequential data assimilation method for non-linear ordinary differential equations with compact state space. The method is designed so that the Lyapunov exponents of the corresponding estimation error dynamics…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-11-15 Jason Frank , Sergiy Zhuk

Errors in the representation of clouds in convection-permitting numerical weather prediction models can be introduced by different sources. These can be the forcing and boundary conditions, the representation of orography, the accuracy of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-03-14 Stefanie Legler , Tijana Janjic

The identification of a linear system model from data has wide applications in control theory. The existing work that provides finite sample guarantees for linear system identification typically uses data from a single long system…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-09 Lei Xin , Baike She , Qi Dou , George Chiu , Shreyas Sundaram

This paper provides statistical guarantees on the accuracy of dynamical models learned from dependent data sequences. Specifically, we develop uniform error bounds that apply to quantized models and imperfect optimization algorithms…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-18 Abdelkader Metakalard , Fabien Lauer , Kevin Colin , Marion Gilson

A variational data assimilation technique was used to estimate optimal discretization of interpolation operators and derivatives in the nodes adjacent to the rigid boundary. Assimilation of artificially generated observational data in the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2012-12-17 Eugene Kazantsev

We show, using idealized models, that numerical data assimilation can be successful only if an effective dimension of the problem is not excessive. This effective dimension depends on the noise in the model and the data, and in physically…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-06-15 Alexandre J. Chorin , Matthias Morzfeld

In this paper, we provide conditions, \emph{based solely on the observed data}, for the global well-posedness, regularity and convergence of the Azouni-Olson-Titi data assimilation algorithm (AOT algorithm) for a Leray-Hopf weak solutions…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-03-04 Animikh Biswas , Randy Price

Variational data assimilation technique applied to the identification of the optimal discretization of interpolation operators and derivatives in the nodes adjacent to the boundary of the domain is discussed in frames of the linear shallow…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-05-29 Eugene Kazantsev

Recent studies show indication of the effectiveness of synchronization as a data assimilation tool for small or meso-scale forecast when less number of variables are observed frequently. Our main aim here is to understand the effects of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-03-19 Md. Nurujjaman , Sumanth Shivamurthy , Amit Apte , Tanu Singla , P. Parmananda

There is an urgent need to build models to tackle Indoor Air Quality issue. Since the model should be accurate and fast, Reduced Order Modelling technique is used to reduce the dimensionality of the problem. The accuracy of the model, that…