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Gaussian processes (GPs) are widely used as distributions of random effects in linear mixed models, which are fit using the restricted likelihood or the closely-related Bayesian analysis. This article addresses two problems. First, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-04 Maitreyee Bose , James S. Hodges , Sudipto Banerjee

This Element offers a practical guide to estimating conditional marginal effects-how treatment effects vary with a moderating variable-using modern statistical methods. Commonly used approaches, such as linear interaction models, often…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-21 Jiehan Liu , Ziyi Liu , Yiqing Xu

Modern biomedical datasets are increasingly high dimensional and exhibit complex correlation structures. Generalized Linear Mixed Models (GLMMs) have long been employed to account for such dependencies. However, proper specification of the…

The quality of generalized linear models (GLMs), frequently used by insurance companies, depends on the choice of interacting variables. The search for interactions is time-consuming, especially for data sets with a large number of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-21 Yevhen Havrylenko , Julia Heger

Estimating long-term causal effects by combining long-term observational and short-term experimental data is a crucial but challenging problem in many real-world scenarios. In existing methods, several ideal assumptions, e.g. latent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-12 Ruichu Cai , Junjie Wan , Weilin Chen , Zeqin Yang , Zijian Li , Peng Zhen , Jiecheng Guo

Motivated by genome-wide association studies, we consider a standard linear model with one additional random effect in situations where many predictors have been collected on the same subjects and each predictor is analyzed separately.…

Applications · Statistics 2013-04-24 Matti Pirinen , Peter Donnelly , Chris C. A. Spencer

Instruction fine-tuning attacks pose a serious threat to large language models (LLMs) by subtly embedding poisoned examples in fine-tuning datasets, leading to harmful or unintended behaviors in downstream applications. Detecting such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Jiawei Li

Causal inference on populations embedded in social networks poses technical challenges, since the typical no interference assumption frequently does not hold. Existing methods developed in the context of network interference rely upon the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-12 Vanessa McNealis , Erica E. M. Moodie , Nema Dean

Signal-agnostic data exploration based on machine learning could unveil very subtle statistical deviations of collider data from the expected Standard Model of particle physics. The beneficial impact of a large training sample on machine…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2024-09-17 Gaia Grosso

Estimating causal effects from observational network data is a significant but challenging problem. Existing works in causal inference for observational network data lack an analysis of the generalization bound, which can theoretically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-09 Ruichu Cai , Zeqin Yang , Weilin Chen , Yuguang Yan , Zhifeng Hao

This paper develops a flexible distribution-free method for collective outlier detection and enumeration, designed for situations in which the presence of outliers can be detected powerfully even though their precise identification may be…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Chiara G. Magnani , Matteo Sesia , Aldo Solari

We seek to identify genes involved in Parkinson's Disease (PD) by combining information across different experiment types. Each experiment, taken individually, may contain too little information to distinguish some important genes from…

Researchers are increasingly turning to machine learning (ML) algorithms to investigate causal heterogeneity in randomized experiments. Despite their promise, ML algorithms may fail to accurately ascertain heterogeneous treatment effects…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-23 Kosuke Imai , Michael Lingzhi Li

This paper formulates a penalized empirical likelihood (PEL) method for inference on the population mean when the dimension of the observations may grow faster than the sample size. Asymptotic distributions of the PEL ratio statistic is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-28 Soumendra N. Lahiri , Subhodeep Mukhopadhyay

This paper presents a score-based weighted likelihood estimator (SWLE) for robust estimations of generalized linear model (GLM) for insurance loss data. The SWLE exhibits a limited sensitivity to the outliers, theoretically justifying its…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-25 Tsz Chai Fung

We study behavior of the restricted maximum likelihood (REML) estimator under a misspecified linear mixed model (LMM) that has received much attention in recent gnome-wide association studies. The asymptotic analysis establishes consistency…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-04-10 Jiming Jiang , Cong Li , Debashis Paul , Can Yang , Hongyu Zhao

Maximum likelihood or restricted maximum likelihood (REML) estimates of the parameters in linear mixed-effects models can be determined using the lmer function in the lme4 package for R. As for most model-fitting functions in R, the model…

Computation · Statistics 2014-06-24 Douglas Bates , Martin Mächler , Ben Bolker , Steve Walker

Traditionally, experimental effects on humans are investigated at the group level. In this work, we present a distributional ``spotlight'' to investigate experimental effects at the individual level. Specifically, we estimate the effects on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-04-01 Roussel Rahman

Large Language Models (LLMs) are prone to generating plausible yet incorrect responses, known as hallucinations. Effectively detecting hallucinations is therefore crucial for the safe deployment of LLMs. Recent research has linked…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Litian Liu , Reza Pourreza , Sunny Panchal , Apratim Bhattacharyya , Yubing Jian , Yao Qin , Roland Memisevic

The association between a continuous and an ordinal variable is commonly modeled through the polyserial correlation model. However, this model, which is based on a partially-latent normality assumption, may be misspecified in practice, due…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-11 Max Welz