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West Nile virus (WNV) is a climate-sensitive mosquito-borne arbovirus circulating between mosquitoes of the genus Culex and birds, with a potential spillover to humans and other mammals. Recent trends in climatic change, characterized by…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-03-18 Pride Duve , Felix Sauer , Renke Lühken

The relationship between epidemiology, mathematical modeling and computational tools allows to build and test theories on the development and battling of a disease. This PhD thesis is motivated by the study of epidemiological models applied…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-01-30 Helena Sofia Rodrigues

Mosquito-borne diseases cause significant public health burden, mostly in tropical and sub-tropical regions, and are widely emerging or re-emerging in areas where previously absent. Understanding, predicting, and mitigating the spread of…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2017-01-19 Carrie A. Manore , Kyle S. Hickmann , James M. Hyman , Ivo M. Foppa , Justin K. Davis , Dawn M. Wesson , Christopher N. Mores

Dengue incidence forecasting using hybrid models has been surging in the data rich world. Hybridization of statistical time series forecasting models and machine learning models are explored for dengue forecasting with different degrees of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-12-27 I. Ghosh , S. Gupta , S. Rana

Mosquito-borne diseases cause several hundred thousand deaths every year. Deciphering mosquito host-seeking behavior is essential to prevent disease transmission through mosquito capture and surveillance. Despite recent substantial…

Biological Physics · Physics 2025-05-22 Christopher Zuo , Chenyi Fei , Alexander E. Cohen , Soohwan Kim , Ring T. Carde , Jörn Dunkel , David L. Hu

Supervised machine learning models and public surveillance data has been employed for infectious disease forecasting in many settings. These models leverage various data sources capturing drivers of disease spread, such as climate…

Applications · Statistics 2024-08-20 Luiza Lober , Kirstin O. Roster , Francisco A. Rodrigues

Predicting an infectious disease can help reduce its impact by advising public health interventions and personal preventive measures. Novel data streams, such as Internet and social media data, have recently been reported to benefit…

Dengue, which affects millions of people each year, is one of the most common diseases transmitted by infected \textit{Aedes aegypti} mosquitoes. In the Philippines, the annual economic cost of dengue infections is estimated at around PHP…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-19 Kyrho Corum , Renier Mendoza , Victoria May P. Mendoza , Arrianne Crystal Velasco

A model with six mutually-exclusive compartments related to dengue is studied. Three vector control tools are considered: insecticides (larvicide and adulticide) and mechanical control. The basic reproduction number associated to the model…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-11-26 Helena Sofia Rodrigues , M. Teresa T. Monteiro , Delfim F. M. Torres

This paper focuses on studying the impact of climate data and vector larval indices on dengue outbreak. After a comparative study of the various LSTM models, Bidirectional Stacked LSTM network is selected to analyze the time series climate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-26 Varalakshmi M , Daphne Lopez

Dengue is a vector-borne disease and 40% of world population is at risk. Dengue transcends international borders and can be found in tropical and subtropical regions around the world, predominantly in urban and semi-urban areas. A model for…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-08-10 Helena Sofia Rodrigues , M. Teresa T. Monteiro , Delfim F. M. Torres , Ana Clara Silva , Carla Sousa , Cláudia Conceição

Dengue remains one of Brazil's major epidemiological challenges, marked by strong intra-urban inequalities and the influence of climatic and socio-environmental factors. This study analyzed confirmed dengue cases in Recife from 2015 to 2024…

With approximately half of the world's population at risk of contracting dengue, this mosquito-borne disease is of global concern. International travellers significantly contribute to dengue's rapid and large-scale spread by importing the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-01 Jessica Liebig , Cassie Jansen , Dean Paini , Lauren Gardner , Raja Jurdak

It is estimated that around 80\% of the world's population live in areas susceptible to at-least one major vector borne disease, and approximately 20% of global communicable diseases are spread by mosquitoes. Furthermore, the outbreaks of…

Sterile Insect Technique (SIT) is widely regarded as a promising, environmentally friendly and chemical-free strategy for the prevention and control of dengue and other vector-borne diseases. In this paper, we develop and analyze a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-26 Oscar Eduardo Escobar-Lasso , Stefan Frei , Reinhard Racke , Olga Vasilieva

In this paper, we introduce a control strategy for applying the Sterile Insect Technique (SIT) to eliminate the population of Aedes mosquitoes which are the vectors of various deadly diseases like dengue, zika, chikungunya... in a wide…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2022-11-16 Alexis Léculier , Nga Nguyen

Dengue fever impacts populations across the tropics. Dengue is caused by a mosquito transmitted flavivirus and its burden is projected to increase under future climate and development scenarios. The transmission process of dengue virus is…

Epidemiological models may give some basic guidelines for public health practitioners, allowing to analyze issues that can influence the strategies to prevent and fight a disease. To be used in decision-making, however, a mathematical model…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-08-15 Helena Sofia Rodrigues , M. Teresa T. Monteiro , Delfim F. M. Torres

In this work we explore the effects of human mobility on the dispersion of a vector borne disease. We combine an already presented stochastic model for dengue with a simple representation of the daily motion of humans on a schematic city of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-27 Daniel H Barmak , Claudio O Dorso , Marcelo Otero , Hernán G Solari

We introduce a dengue model (SEIR) where the human individuals are treated on an individual basis (IBM) while the mosquito population, produced by an independent model, is treated by compartments (SEI). We study the spread of epidemics by…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-03-17 Marcelo J Otero , Daniel H Barmak , Claudio O Dorso , Hernán G Solari , Mario A Natiello
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