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Conformal regression provides prediction intervals with global coverage guarantees, but often fails to capture local error distributions, leading to non-homogeneous coverage. We address this with a new adaptive method based on rescaling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-01 Nicolas Deutschmann , Mattia Rigotti , Maria Rodriguez Martinez

We consider the problem of predicting values of a random process or field satisfying a linear model $y(x)=\theta^\top f(x) + \varepsilon(x)$, where errors $\varepsilon(x)$ are correlated. This is a common problem in kriging, where the case…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-13 Holger Dette , Andrey Pepelyshev , Anatoly Zhigljavsky

Empirical data can often be considered as samples from a set of probability distributions. Kernel methods have emerged as a natural approach for learning to classify these distributions. Although numerous kernels between distributions have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-02 Oleksii Kachaiev , Stefano Recanatesi

Selectivity estimation aims at estimating the number of database objects that satisfy a selection criterion. Answering this problem accurately and efficiently is essential to many applications, such as density estimation, outlier detection,…

Databases · Computer Science 2021-05-28 Yaoshu Wang , Chuan Xiao , Jianbin Qin , Rui Mao , Onizuka Makoto , Wei Wang , Rui Zhang , Yoshiharu Ishikawa

In the setting of entangled single-sample distributions, the goal is to estimate some common parameter shared by a family of distributions, given one \emph{single} sample from each distribution. We study mean estimation and linear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-08 Hui Yuan , Yingyu Liang

We develop a new approximative estimation method for conditional Shapley values obtained using a linear regression model. We develop a new estimation method and outperform existing methodology and implementations. Compared to the sequential…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-28 Fredrik Lohne Aanes

Ordinal categorical data are routinely encountered in many practical applications. When the primary goal is to construct a regression model for ordinal outcomes, cumulative link models represent one of the most popular choices to link the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-13 Emanuele Aliverti

The ultimate goal of regression analysis is to obtain information about the conditional distribution of a response given a set of explanatory variables. This goal is, however, seldom achieved because most established regression models only…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-13 Torsten Hothorn , Thomas Kneib , Peter Bühlmann

This article deals with the analysis of high dimensional data that come from multiple sources (experiments) and thus have different possibly correlated responses, but share the same set of predictors. The measurements of the predictors may…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-01 Guorong Dai , Ursula U. Müller , Raymond J. Carroll

This paper studies resilient distributed estimation under measurement attacks. A set of agents each makes successive local, linear, noisy measurements of an unknown vector field collected in a vector parameter. The local measurement models…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-02 Yuan Chen , Soummya Kar , José M. F. Moura

We consider regression in which one predicts a response $Y$ with a set of predictors $X$ across different experiments or environments. This is a common setup in many data-driven scientific fields and we argue that statistical inference can…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-23 Niklas Pfister , Evan G. Williams , Jonas Peters , Ruedi Aebersold , Peter Bühlmann

Performative distribution shift captures the setting where the choice of which ML model is deployed changes the data distribution. For example, a bank which uses the number of open credit lines to determine a customer's risk of default on a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-17 Zachary Izzo , Lexing Ying , James Zou

Adaptive sampling algorithms are modern and efficient methods that dynamically adjust the sample size throughout the optimization process. However, they may encounter difficulties in risk-averse settings, particularly due to the challenge…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-17 Sandra Pieraccini , Tommaso Vanzan

Vector approximate message passing (VAMP) is an efficient approximate inference algorithm used for generalized linear models. Although VAMP exhibits excellent performance, particularly when measurement matrices are sampled from rotationally…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Takashi Takahashi , Yoshiyuki Kabashima

In recent years, promising statistical modeling approaches to tensor data analysis have been rapidly developed. Traditional multivariate analysis tools, such as multivariate regression and discriminant analysis, are generalized from…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-22 Ning Wang , Xin Zhang , Qing Mai

Distribution matching is the process of invertibly mapping a uniformly distributed input sequence onto sequences that approximate the output of a desired discrete memoryless source. The special case of a binary output alphabet and…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-12-19 Patrick Schulte , Bernhard C. Geiger

In many fields, and especially in the medical and social sciences and in recommender systems, data are gathered through clinical studies or targeted surveys. Participants are generally reluctant to respond to all questions in a survey or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-15 Mohammad Reza Gholami , Magnus Jansson , Erik G. Ström , Ali H. Sayed

Decisions based partly or solely on predictions from probabilistic models may be sensitive to model misspecification. Statisticians are taught from an early stage that "all models are wrong", but little formal guidance exists on how to…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-09 James Watson , Chris Holmes

The task of calibration is to retrospectively adjust the outputs from a machine learning model to provide better probability estimates on the target variable. While calibration has been investigated thoroughly in classification, it has not…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-21 Hao Song , Meelis Kull , Peter Flach

Distributed learning is an effective way to analyze big data. In distributed regression, a typical approach is to divide the big data into multiple blocks, apply a base regression algorithm on each of them, and then simply average the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-08 Zhengchu Guo , Lei Shi , Qiang Wu