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We present the Meerkat Asteroid Guard, an imminent impactor warning service developed and maintained by the European Space Agency's Near-Earth Object Coordination Centre (NEOCC). The software uses the method of systematic ranging to perform…

Robust impact monitoring of near-Earth objects is an essential task of planetary defense. Current systems such as NASA's Sentry-II, the University of Pisa's CLOMON2, and ESA's Aegis have been highly successful, but independent approaches…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2026-03-25 Dmitrii E. Vavilov , Daniel Hestroffer

Summary: In the past decade both scientists and laymen have probably heard at least once through the newspapers, TV and Internet that a new asteroid has been discovered with non-zero (sometimes "high") probability of collision with the…

Space Physics · Physics 2013-04-29 Germano D'Abramo

Asteroids that could collide with the Earth are listed on the publicly available Near-Earth object (NEO) hazard web sites maintained by the US and European space agencies (NASA and ESA). The impact probability distribution of 69 potentially…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2017-02-21 Clemens Rumpf , Hugh G. Lewis , Peter M. Atkinson

Near-Earth objects (NEOs) have the potential to cause extensive damage and loss of life on Earth. Advancements in NEO discovery, trajectory prediction, and deflection technology indicate that an impact could be prevented, with sufficient…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2026-05-06 C. R. Nugent , K. P. Andersen , James M. Bauer , C. T. Jensen , L. K. Kristiansen , C. P. Hansen , M. M. Nielsen , C. F. Vestergård

We study the evolution of the Earth collision probability of asteroid 2008 TC3 using a short observational arc and small numbers of observations. To assess impact probability, we use techniques that rely on the orbital-element probability…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2012-11-19 Dagmara Oszkiewicz , Karri Muinonen , Jenni Virtanen , Mikael Granvik , Edward Bowell

We describe systematic ranging, an orbit determination technique especially suitable to assess the near-term Earth impact hazard posed by newly discovered asteroids. For these late warning cases, the time interval covered by the…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-07-15 D. Farnocchia , S. R. Chesley , M. Micheli

In the past two decades an increasing interest in discovering Near Earth Objects has been noted in the astronomical community. Dedicated surveys have been operated for data acquisition and processing, resulting in the present discovery of…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-01-10 T. Stefanut , V. Bacu , C. Nandra , D. Balasz , D. Gorgan , O. Vaduvescu

We present a comprehensive analysis of the digest2 parameters for candidates of the Near-Earth Object Confirmation Page (NEOCP) that were reported between 2019 and 2024. Our study proposes methods for significantly reducing the inclusion of…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-05-20 Peter Vereš , Richard Cloete , Matthew J. Payne , Abraham Loeb

Orbit-determination programs find the orbit solution that best fits a set of observations by minimizing the RMS of the residuals of the fit. For near-Earth asteroids, the uncertainty of the orbit solution may be compatible with trajectories…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2021-08-09 Javier Roa , Davide Farnocchia , Steven R. Chesley

The NEO Coordination Centre (NEOCC) of the European Space Agency is an operational centre that, among other activities, computes the orbits of near-Earth objects and their probabilities of impact with the Earth. The NEOCC started providing…

We introduce NEOviz, an interactive visualization system designed to assist planetary defense experts in the visual analysis of the movements of near-Earth objects in the Solar System that might prove hazardous to Earth. Asteroids are often…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2024-11-06 Fangfei Lan , Malin Ejdbo , Joachim Moeyens , Bei Wang , Anders Ynnerman , Alexander Bock

Hazardous asteroid has been one of the concerns for humankind as fallen asteroid on earth could cost a huge impact on the society.Monitoring these objects could help predict future impact events, but such efforts are hindered by the large…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2024-09-05 Thai Duy Quy , Alvin Buana , Josh Lee , Rakha Asyrofi

By means of a fully connected artificial neural network, we identified asteroids with the potential to impact Earth. The resulting instrument, named the Hazardous Object Identifier (HOI), was trained on the basis of an artificial set of…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2020-02-05 John D. Hefele , Francesco Bortolussi , Simon Portegies Zwart

The catalog of km-sized near-Earth objects (NEOs) is nearly complete. Typical impact monitoring analyses search for possible impacts over the next 100 years and none of the km-sized objects represent an impact threat over that time…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2023-06-28 Oscar Fuentes-Muñoz , Daniel J. Scheeres , Davide Farnocchia , Ryan S. Park

We studied the Near-Earth Asteroid (NEA) candidates posted on the Minor Planet Center's Near-Earth Object Confirmation Page (NEOCP) between years 2013 and 2016. Out of more than 17,000 NEA candidates, while the majority became either new…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2018-06-12 Peter Vereš , Matthew J. Payne , Matthew J. Holman , Davide Farnocchia , Gareth V. Williams , Sonia Keys , Ian Boardman

Short-arc orbit determination is crucial when an asteroid is first discovered. In these cases usually the observations are so few that the differential correction procedure may not converge. We have developed an initial orbit computation…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2018-06-13 F. Spoto , A. Del Vigna , A. Milani , G. Tommei , P. Tanga , F. Mignard , B. Carry , W. Thuillot , P. David

The Near-Earth Object (NEO) Surveyor mission is a NASA observatory designed to discover and characterize near-Earth asteroids and comets. The mission's primary objective is to find the majority of objects large enough to cause severe…

Earth is bombarded by meteors, occasionally by one large enough to cause a significant explosion and possible loss of life. Although the odds of a deadly asteroid strike in the next century are low, the most likely impact is by a relatively…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-20 John L. Tonry

We propose an adaptation of the semilinear algorithm for the prediction of the impact corridor on ground of an Earth-impacting asteroid. The proposed algorithm provides an efficient tool, able to reliably predict the impact regions at fixed…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2020-07-13 L. Dimare , A. Del Vigna , D. Bracali Cioci , F. Bernardi
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