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Gaussian Processes (GP) are widely used for probabilistic modeling and inference for nonparametric regression. However, their computational complexity scales cubicly with the sample size rendering them unfeasible for large data sets. To…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-11 Amine Hadji , Tammo Hesselink , Botond Szabó

The verification of differential privacy algorithms that employ Gaussian distributions is little understood. This paper tackles the challenge of verifying such programs by introducing a novel approach to approximating probability…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-09-11 Bishnu Bhusal , Rohit Chadha , A. Prasad Sistla , Mahesh Viswanathan

The computation of chance constraints in stochastic model predictive control is often numerically challenging due to the non-Gaussian nature of the disturbances. To overcome this problem, we propose an optimization computational framework…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-19 Yuwei Ying , Johan Löfberg , Anders Hansson

We propose different schemes for option hedging when asset returns are modeled using a general class of GARCH models. More specifically, we implement local risk minimization and a minimum variance hedge approximation based on an extended…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-12-06 Alexandru Badescu , Robert J. Elliott , Juan-Pablo Ortega

We propose an approach to construction of robust non-Euclidean iterative algorithms for convex composite stochastic optimization based on truncation of stochastic gradients. For such algorithms, we establish sub-Gaussian confidence bounds…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-08 Anatoli Juditsky , Alexander Nazin , Arkadi Nemirovsky , Alexandre Tsybakov

Reliable spatial uncertainty evaluation of object detection models is of special interest and has been subject of recent work. In this work, we review the existing definitions for uncertainty calibration of probabilistic regression tasks.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-22 Fabian Küppers , Jonas Schneider , Anselm Haselhoff

Many problems in navigation and tracking require increasingly accurate characterizations of the evolution of uncertainty in nonlinear systems. Nonlinear uncertainty propagation approaches based on Gaussian mixture density approximations…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-30 Jackson Kulik , Keith A. LeGrand

In this paper, we consider the uncertainty quantification problem for regression models. Specifically, we consider an individual calibration objective for characterizing the quantiles of the prediction model. While such an objective is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-27 Shang Liu , Zhongze Cai , Xiaocheng Li

Nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation is intended to infer the unknown density distribution while making as few assumptions as possible. To alleviate the over parameterization in nonparametric data fitting, smoothing assumptions are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-21 YunPeng Li , ZhaoHui Ye

In this paper, we treat the problem of evaluating the asymptotic error in a numerical integration scheme as one with inherent uncertainty. Adding to the growing field of probabilistic numerics, we show that Gaussian process regression (GPR)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-27 Philip G. Breen , Christopher N. Foley

A rapid decline in mortality and fertility has become major issues in many developed countries over the past few decades. A precise model for forecasting demographic movements is important for decision making in social welfare policies and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-30 Ka Kin Lam , Bo Wang

Derivatives are a key nonparametric functional in wide-ranging applications where the rate of change of an unknown function is of interest. In the Bayesian paradigm, Gaussian processes (GPs) are routinely used as a flexible prior for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-30 Zejian Liu , Meng Li

This paper develops a framework for differentially private $e$-values under Gaussian differential privacy ($\mu$-GDP). We characterize the canonical noise mechanism, establishing that optimal multiplicative perturbation follows a Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Qi Kuang , Bowen Gang , Yin Xia

Gaussian Process Regression and Kernel Ridge Regression are popular nonparametric regression approaches. Unfortunately, they suffer from high computational complexity rendering them inapplicable to the modern massive datasets. To that end a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-11 Valeriy Avanesov

Semi- and non-parametric mixture of regressions are a very useful flexible class of mixture of regressions in which some or all of the parameters are non-parametric functions of the covariates. These models are, however, based on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-13 Sphiwe B. Skhosana , Weixin Yao

Modeling counterparty risk is computationally challenging because it requires the simultaneous evaluation of all the trades with each counterparty under both market and credit risk. We present a multi-Gaussian process regression approach,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-18 Stéphane Crépey , Matthew Dixon

The sub-Gaussian stable distribution is a heavy-tailed elliptically contoured law which has interesting applications in signal processing and financial mathematics. This work addresses the problem of feasible estimation of distributions. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-04 Taras Bodnar , Dmitry Otryakhin , Erik Thorsen

In this letter, we present a novel Gaussian Process Learning-based Probabilistic Optimal Power Flow (GP-POPF) for solving POPF under renewable and load uncertainties of arbitrary distribution. The proposed method relies on a non-parametric…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-17 Parikshit Pareek , Hung D. Nguyen

We consider the non-metric data placement problem and develop distributed algorithms for computing or approximating its optimal integral solution. We first show that the non-metric data placement problem is inapproximable up to a…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-10-17 S. Rasoul Etesami

We consider distributed estimation of the inverse covariance matrix, also called the concentration or precision matrix, in Gaussian graphical models. Traditional centralized estimation often requires global inference of the covariance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-15 Zhaoshi Meng , Dennis Wei , Ami Wiesel , Alfred O. Hero