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Bayesian hierarchical models are commonly employed for inference in count datasets, as they account for multiple levels of variation by incorporating prior distributions for parameters at different levels. Examples include Beta-Binomial,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-04 Yuexi Wang , Nicholas G. Polson

This paper reviews the basic ideas behind a Bayesian unfolding published some years ago and improves their implementation. In particular, uncertainties are now treated at all levels by probability density functions and their propagation is…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2010-10-05 G. D'Agostini

In this article, we present a recently released R package for Bayesian calibration. Many industrial fields are facing unfeasible or costly field experiments. These experiments are replaced with numerical/computer experiments which are…

Computation · Statistics 2018-08-30 Mathieu Carmassi , Pierre Barbillon , Matthieu Chiodetti , Merlin Keller , Eric Parent

This tutorial shows how to build, fit, and criticize disease transmission models in Stan, and should be useful to researchers interested in modeling the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic and other infectious diseases in a Bayesian framework. Bayesian…

Computation · Statistics 2021-10-01 Léo Grinsztajn , Elizaveta Semenova , Charles C. Margossian , Julien Riou

The BayesMortalityPlus package provides a framework for modelling and predicting mortality data. The package includes tools for the construction of life tables based on Heligman-Pollard laws, and also on dynamic linear smoothers.…

Bayesian penalized regression techniques, such as the Bayesian lasso and the Bayesian horseshoe estimator, have recently received a significant amount of attention in the statistics literature. However, software implementing…

Computation · Statistics 2016-12-21 Enes Makalic , Daniel F. Schmidt

In this paper, we describe the software implementation of the methodological framework designed to incorporate mobile phone data into the current production chain of official statistics during the ESSnet Big Data II project. We present an…

Mathematical Software · Computer Science 2021-11-10 Bogdan Oancea , David Salgado , Luis Sanguiao Sande , Sandra Barragan

Bayesian networks (BNs) are graphical \emph{first-order} probabilistic models that allow for a compact representation of large probability distributions, and for efficient inference, both exact and approximate. We introduce a…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-12-12 Claudia Faggian , Daniele Pautasso , Gabriele Vanoni

Probabilistic programming methods have revolutionised Bayesian inference, making it easier than ever for practitioners to perform Markov-chain-Monte-Carlo sampling from non-conjugate posterior distributions. Here we focus on Stan, arguably…

Computation · Statistics 2025-02-10 Clemens Pichler , Jack Jewson , Alejandra Avalos-Pacheco

Survival analysis is one of the most important fields of statistics in medicine and the biological sciences. In addition, the computational advances in the last decades have favoured the use of Bayesian methods in this context, providing a…

Applications · Statistics 2020-07-28 Danilo Alvares , Elena Lázaro , Virgilio Gómez-Rubio , Carmen Armero

In recent years, bankruptcy forecasting has gained lot of attention from researchers as well as practitioners in the field of financial risk management. For bankruptcy prediction, various approaches proposed in the past and currently in…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-05 Amir Mukeri , Habibullah Shaikh , D. P. Gaikwad

In this paper we briefly review the main methodological aspects concerned with the application of the Bayesian approach to model choice and model averaging in the context of variable selection in regression models. This includes prior…

Computation · Statistics 2016-12-08 Anabel Forte , Gonzalo Garcia-Donato , Mark Steel

This article describes an R package bqror that estimates Bayesian quantile regression for ordinal models introduced in Rahman (2016). The paper classifies ordinal models into two types and offers computationally efficient, yet simple,…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-05-30 Prajual Maheshwari , Mohammad Arshad Rahman

We introduce a new R package useful for inference about network count time series. Such data are frequently encountered in statistics and they are usually treated as multivariate time series. Their statistical analysis is based on linear or…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-26 Mirko Armillotta , Michail Tsagris , Konstantinos Fokianos

CensSpatial is an R package for analyzing spatial censored data through linear models. It offers a set of tools for simulating, estimating, making predictions, and performing local influence diagnostics for outlier detection. The package…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-13 Jose A. Ordonez , Christian E. Galarza , Victor H. Lachos

Three different inferential problems related to a two dimensional categorical data from a Bayesian perspective have been discussed in this article. Conjugate prior distribution with symmetric and asymmetric hyper parameters are considered.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-05 Samyajoy Pal , Christian Heumann , M. Subbiah

As the amount of economic and other data generated worldwide increases vastly, a challenge for future generations of econometricians will be to master efficient algorithms for inference in empirical models with large information sets. This…

Computation · Statistics 2020-04-27 Dimitris Korobilis , Davide Pettenuzzo

Stan is an open-source probabilistic programing language, primarily designed to do Bayesian data analysis. Its main inference algorithm is an adaptive Hamiltonian Monte Carlo sampler, supported by state of the art gradient computation.…

Applications · Statistics 2022-03-29 Charles C. Margossian , Yi Zhang , William R. Gillespie

We present a new package in R implementing Bayesian additive regression trees (BART). The package introduces many new features for data analysis using BART such as variable selection, interaction detection, model diagnostic plots,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-11-25 Adam Kapelner , Justin Bleich

Basket trials are a new type of clinical trial in which a treatment is investigated in several subgroups. For the analysis of these trials, information is shared between the subgroups based on the observed data to increase the power. Many…

Computation · Statistics 2024-03-27 Lukas Baumann