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Accurate curve forecasting is of vital importance for policy planning, decision making and resource allocation in many engineering and industrial applications. In this paper we establish a theoretical foundation for the optimal short-term…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-19 Yan Cui , Zhou Zhou

GNNs have been proven to perform highly effective in various node-level, edge-level, and graph-level prediction tasks in several domains. Existing approaches mainly focus on static graphs. However, many graphs change over time with their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Bahareh Najafi , Saeedeh Parsaeefard , Alberto Leon-Garcia

This paper introduces an algorithm to select demonstration examples for in-context learning of a query set. Given a set of $n$ examples, how can we quickly select $k$ out of $n$ to best serve as the conditioning for downstream inference?…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-05 Ziniu Zhang , Zhenshuo Zhang , Dongyue Li , Lu Wang , Jennifer Dy , Hongyang R. Zhang

With the development of traffic prediction technology, spatiotemporal prediction models have attracted more and more attention from academia communities and industry. However, most existing researches focus on reducing model's prediction…

Databases · Computer Science 2022-01-11 Jiabao Jin , Peng Cheng , Lei Chen , Xuemin Lin , Wenjie Zhang

In the context of time series forecasting, it is a common practice to evaluate multiple methods and choose one of these methods or an ensemble for producing the best forecasts. However, choosing among different ensembles over multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-16 Himanshi Charotia , Abhishek Garg , Gaurav Dhama , Naman Maheshwari

A new ensemble framework for interpretable model called Linear Iterative Feature Embedding (LIFE) has been developed to achieve high prediction accuracy, easy interpretation and efficient computation simultaneously. The LIFE algorithm is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-19 Agus Sudjianto , Jinwen Qiu , Miaoqi Li , Jie Chen

The regression of a functional response on a set of scalar predictors can be a challenging task, especially if there is a large number of predictors, or the relationship between those predictors and the response is nonlinear. In this work,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-24 Sidi Wu , Cédric Beaulac , Jiguo Cao

Recurrent and convolutional neural networks are the most common architectures used for time series forecasting in deep learning literature. These networks use parameter sharing by repeating a set of fixed architectures with fixed parameters…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-30 Joel Janek Dabrowski , YiFan Zhang , Ashfaqur Rahman

This paper presents an estimator for semiparametric models that uses a feed-forward neural network to fit the nonparametric component. Unlike many methodologies from the machine learning literature, this approach is suitable for…

Applications · Statistics 2017-05-19 Andrew Crane-Droesch

Temporal graph neural networks have shown promising results in learning inductive representations by automatically extracting temporal patterns. However, previous works often rely on complex memory modules or inefficient random walk methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-10 Mohammad Ali Alomrani , Mahdi Biparva , Yingxue Zhang , Mark Coates

This paper studies the numerical approximation of divergence-free vector fields by linearized shallow neural networks, also referred to as random feature models or finite neuron spaces. Combining the stable potential lifting for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Juncai He , Xinliang Liu , Zitong Tian

In this paper, we propose an online algorithm mspace for forecasting node features in temporal graphs, which captures spatial cross-correlation among different nodes as well as the temporal auto-correlation within a node. The algorithm can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Aniq Ur Rahman , Justin P. Coon

Self-awareness is the key capability of autonomous systems, e.g., autonomous driving network, which relies on highly efficient time series forecasting algorithm to enable the system to reason about the future state of the environment, as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-18 Minh-Thanh Bui , Duc-Thinh Ngo , Demin Lu , Zonghua Zhang

Spatial-temporal graphs are widely used in a variety of real-world applications. Spatial-Temporal Graph Neural Networks (STGNNs) have emerged as a powerful tool to extract meaningful insights from this data. However, in real-world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-18 Zhenyu Lei , Yushun Dong , Jundong Li , Chen Chen

We report a data-parsimonious machine learning model for short-term forecasting of solar irradiance. The model inputs include sky camera images that are reduced to scalar features to meet data transmission constraints. The output irradiance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Joshua Edward Hammond , Ricardo A. Lara Orozco , Michael Baldea , Brian A. Korgel

We propose a scalable temporal latent space model for link prediction in dynamic social networks, where the goal is to predict links over time based on a sequence of previous graph snapshots. The model assumes that each user lies in an…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-07-26 Linhong Zhu , Dong Guo , Junming Yin , Greg Ver Steeg , Aram Galstyan

Multivariate time series prediction has applications in a wide variety of domains and is considered to be a very challenging task, especially when the variables have correlations and exhibit complex temporal patterns, such as seasonality…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-07 Yuya Jeremy Ong , Mu Qiao , Divyesh Jadav

Understanding the evolutionary patterns of real-world evolving complex systems such as human interactions, transport networks, biological interactions, and computer networks has important implications in our daily lives. Predicting future…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-19 Khushnood Abbas , Alireza Abbasi , Dong Shi , Niu Ling , Mingsheng Shang , Chen Liong , Bolun Chen

To generate actions in the face of physiological delays, the brain must predict the future. Here we explore how prediction may lie at the core of brain function by considering a neuron predicting the future of a scalar time series input.…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2024-01-09 Siavash Golkar , Jules Berman , David Lipshutz , Robert Mihai Haret , Tim Gollisch , Dmitri B. Chklovskii

High-dimensional nonlinear systems pose considerable challenges for modeling and control across many domains, from fluid mechanics to advanced robotics. Such systems are typically approximated with reduced-order models, which often rely on…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-05 Hugo Buurmeijer , Luis A. Pabon , John Irvin Alora , Roshan S. Kaundinya , George Haller , Marco Pavone