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Knowledge about the hidden factors that determine particular system dynamics is crucial for both explaining them and pursuing goal-directed interventions. Inferring these factors from time series data without supervision remains an open…

A generative modeling framework is proposed that combines diffusion models and manifold learning to efficiently sample data densities on manifolds. The approach utilizes Diffusion Maps to uncover possible low-dimensional underlying (latent)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-22 Dimitris G. Giovanis , Ellis Crabtree , Roger G. Ghanem , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis

Dynamical systems are used to model a variety of phenomena in which the bifurcation structure is a fundamental characteristic. Here we propose a statistical machine-learning approach to derive lowdimensional models that automatically…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-11 Yohei Kondo , Kunihiko Kaneko , Shuji Ishihara

We propose a probabilistic framework for developing computational models of biological neural systems. In this framework, physiological recordings are viewed as discrete-time partial observations of an underlying continuous-time stochastic…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2026-02-10 Ahmed ElGazzar , Marcel van Gerven

The analysis of nonstationary time series is of great importance in many scientific fields such as physics and neuroscience. In recent years, Gaussian process regression has attracted substantial attention as a robust and powerful method…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-01 Luca Ambrogioni , Eric Maris

Ecological systems are governed by complex interactions which are mainly nonlinear. In order to capture this complexity and nonlinearity, statistical models recently gained popularity. However, although these models are commonly applied in…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2011-07-29 Can Ozan Tan , Uygar Ozesmi , Meryem Beklioglu , Esra Per , Bahtiyar Kurt

To capture the slowly time-varying spectral content of real-world time-series, a common paradigm is to partition the data into approximately stationary intervals and perform inference in the time-frequency domain. However, this approach…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-15 Andrew H. Song , Demba Ba , Emery N. Brown

The Gaussian process state space model (GPSSM) is a non-linear dynamical system, where unknown transition and/or measurement mappings are described by GPs. Most research in GPSSMs has focussed on the state estimation problem, i.e.,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-08 Stefanos Eleftheriadis , Thomas F. W. Nicholson , Marc Peter Deisenroth , James Hensman

Supervised learning by extreme learning machines resp. neural networks with random weights is studied under a non-stationary spatial-temporal sampling design which especially addresses settings where an autonomous object moving in a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-02 Ansgar Steland

We study the problem of learning latent variables in Gaussian graphical models. Existing methods for this problem assume that the precision matrix of the observed variables is the superposition of a sparse and a low-rank component. In this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-12 Mohammadreza Soltani , Chinmay Hegde

A stationary spatial model is an idealization and we expect that the true dependence structures of physical phenomena are spatially varying, but how should we handle this non-stationarity in practice? We study the challenges involved in…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-15 Geir-Arne Fuglstad , Daniel Simpson , Finn Lindgren , Håvard Rue

Sampling conditional distributions is a fundamental task for Bayesian inference and density estimation. Generative models, such as normalizing flows and generative adversarial networks, characterize conditional distributions by learning a…

Multiple change point (MCP) detection in non-stationary time series is challenging due to the variety of underlying patterns. To address these challenges, we propose a novel algorithm that integrates Active Learning (AL) with Deep Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-28 Hao Zhao , Rong Pan

Machine learning models often require large datasets and struggle to generalize beyond their training distribution. These limitations pose significant challenges in scientific and engineering contexts, where generating exhaustive datasets…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2025-06-12 Salman N. Salman , Sergey A. Shteingolts , Ron Levie , Dan Mendels

A goal of data assimilation is to infer stochastic dynamical behaviors with available observations. We consider transition phenomena between metastable states for a stochastic system with (non-Gaussian) $\alpha-$stable L\'evy noise. With…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-06-29 Ting Gao , Jinqiao Duan , Xingye Kan

Active learning strives to reduce the need for costly data annotation, by repeatedly querying an annotator to label the most informative samples from a pool of unlabeled data, and then training a model from these samples. We identify two…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-03-14 Jiarong Wei , Yancong Lin , Holger Caesar

Identification of a linear time-invariant dynamical system from partial observations is a fundamental problem in control theory. Particularly challenging are systems exhibiting long-term memory. A natural question is how learn such systems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-08 Holden Lee

Humans are skillful navigators: We aptly maneuver through new places, realize when we are back at a location we have seen before, and can even conceive of shortcuts that go through parts of our environments we have never visited. Current…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-30 Tankred Saanum , Eric Schulz

In this paper, we study representation learning for multi-task decision-making in non-stationary environments. We consider the framework of sequential linear bandits, where the agent performs a series of tasks drawn from distinct sets…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-19 Yuzhen Qin , Tommaso Menara , Samet Oymak , ShiNung Ching , Fabio Pasqualetti

This paper considers learning robot locomotion and manipulation tasks from expert demonstrations. Generative adversarial imitation learning (GAIL) trains a discriminator that distinguishes expert from agent transitions, and in turn use a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-24 Tianyu Wang , Nikhil Karnwal , Nikolay Atanasov