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Related papers: Quickest Search for a Change Point

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Changepoint detection is the problem of finding abrupt or gradual changes in time series data when the distribution of the time series changes significantly. There are many sophisticated statistical algorithms for solving changepoint…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-14 Ritwik Bhaduri , Subhrajyoty Roy , Sankar K. Pal

We consider online detection strategies for identifying a change point in a stream of quantum particles allegedly prepared in identical states. We show that the identification of the change point can be done without error via sequential…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-11-07 Gael Sentís , Esteban Martínez-Vargas , Ramon Muñoz-Tapia

Change points in real-world systems mark significant regime shifts in system dynamics, possibly triggered by exogenous or endogenous factors. These points define regimes for the time evolution of the system and are crucial for understanding…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-30 Ioanna-Yvonni Tsaknaki , Fabrizio Lillo , Piero Mazzarisi

The problem of quickest detection of a change in the distribution of a $n\times p$ random matrix based on a sequence of observations having a single unknown change point is considered. The forms of the pre- and post-change distributions of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-23 Taposh Banerjee , Hamed Firouzi , Alfred O. Hero

The goal of anomaly detection is to identify observations that are generated by a distribution that differs from the reference distribution that qualifies normal behavior. When examining a time series, the reference distribution may evolve…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-23 Etienne Krönert , Dalila Hattab , Alain Celisse

For the classical continuous-time quickest change-point detection problem it is shown that the randomized Shiryaev-Roberts-Pollak procedure is asymptotically nearly minimax-optimal (in the sense of Pollak 1985) in the class of randomized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-12 Aleksey S. Polunchenko

We study the problem of offline changepoint localization in a distribution-free setting. One observes a vector of data with a single changepoint, assuming that the data before and after the changepoint are iid (or more generally…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Rohan Hore , Aaditya Ramdas

This paper develops a novel change point identification method for high-dimensional data using random projections. By projecting high-dimensional time series into a one-dimensional space, we are able to leverage the rich literature for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-04 Yi Xu , Yeonwoo Rho

A number of real world problems in many domains (e.g. sociology, biology, political science and communication networks) can be modeled as dynamic networks with nodes representing entities of interest and edges representing interactions…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-06-06 Yu Wang , Aniket Chakrabarti , David Sivakoff , Srinivasan Parthasarathy

This article studies the problem of online non-parametric change point detection in multivariate data streams. We approach the problem through the lens of kernel-based two-sample testing and introduce a sequential testing procedure based on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-31 Florian Kalinke , Shakeel Gavioli-Akilagun

Change point analysis has applications in a wide variety of fields. The general problem concerns the inference of a change in distribution for a set of time-ordered observations. Sequential detection is an online version in which new data…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-16 David S. Matteson , Nicholas A. James

Motivated by an example from remote sensing of gas emission sources, we derive two novel change point procedures for multivariate time series where, in contrast to classical change point literature, the changes are not required to be…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-07 Idris Eckley , Claudia Kirch , Silke Weber

The paper studies the problem of detecting and locating change points in multivariate time-evolving data. The problem has a long history in statistics and signal processing and various algorithms have been developed primarily for simple…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-13 Jialiang Geng , George Michailidis

The problem of quickest detection of a change in the distribution of a sequence of independent observations is considered. The pre-change observations are assumed to be stationary with a known distribution, while the post-change…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-19 Yuchen Liang , Alexander G. Tartakovsky , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

We consider the problem of sequential change detection, where the goal is to design a scheme for detecting any changes in a parameter or functional $\theta$ of the data stream distribution that has small detection delay, but guarantees…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-28 Shubhanshu Shekhar , Aaditya Ramdas

A finite-horizon variant of the quickest change detection (QCD) problem that is of relevance to learning in non-stationary environments is studied. The metric characterizing false alarms is the probability of a false alarm occurring before…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Yu-Han Huang , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

The field of quickest change detection (QCD) concerns design and analysis of algorithms to estimate in real time the time at which an important event takes place and identify properties of the post-change behavior. The goal is to devise a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-13 Austin Cooper , Sean Meyn

In this paper easily applicable techniques are devised for detecting changepoints in autocorrelated Gaussian sequences. Our method proceeds by sequential evaluation of a CUSUM-type test statistic, which is compared to a predefined…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-09 W. Ellens , J. Kuhn , M. Mandjes , P. Żuraniewski

Covariate shift occurs when the distribution of input features differs between the training and testing phases. In covariate shift, estimating an unknown function's moment is a classical problem that remains under-explored, despite its…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-01 Zhen Zhang , Xin Liu , Shaoli Wang , Jiaye Teng

We propose an algorithm for simultaneously detecting and locating changepoints in a time series, and a framework for predicting the distribution of the next point in the series. The kernel of the algorithm is a system of equations that…

Applications · Statistics 2008-12-09 Allen B. Downey