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By incorporating market impact and momentum traders into an agent-based model, we investigate the conditions for the occurrence of self-reinforcing feedback loops and the coevolutionary mechanism of prices and strategies. For low market…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-12-06 Li-Xin Zhong , Wen-Juan Xu , Rong-Da Chen , Chen-Yang Zhong , Tian Qiu , Fei Ren , Yun-Xing He

Modern financial market dynamics warrant detailed analysis due to their significant impact on the world. This, however, often proves intractable; massive numbers of agents, strategies and their change over time in reaction to each other…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-11-24 Miklos Borsi

We study self-organized models for information transmission and herd behavior in financial markets. Existing models are generalized to take into account the effect of size-dependent fragmentation and coagulation probabilities of groups of…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-07 Dafang Zheng , G. J. Rodgers , P. M. Hui , R. D'Hulst

We revisit the "epsilon-intelligence" model of Toth et al.(2011), that was proposed as a minimal framework to understand the square-root dependence of the impact of meta-orders on volume in financial markets. The basic idea is that most of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-23 Iacopo Mastromatteo , Bence Toth , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

Recently the interest of researchers has shifted from the analysis of synchronous relationships of financial instruments to the analysis of more meaningful asynchronous relationships. Both of those analyses are concentrated only on…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-18 Paweł Fiedor

Standard models in economics stress the role of intelligent agents who maximize utility. However, there may be situations where, for some purposes, constraints imposed by market institutions dominate intelligent agent behavior. We use data…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 J. Doyne Farmer , Paolo Patelli , Ilija I. Zovko

We review the evidence that the erratic dynamics of markets is to a large extent of endogenous origin, i.e. determined by the trading activity itself and not due to the rational processing of exogenous news. In order to understand why and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-09-16 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

We propose a non-linear observation-driven version of the Hasbrouck (1991) model for dynamically estimating trades' market impact and information content. We find that market impact displays an intraday pattern superimposed with large…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-27 F. Campigli , G. Bormetti , F. Lillo

Many empirical studies estimate causal effects in environments where economic units interact through spatial or network connections. In such settings, outcomes are jointly determined, and treatment induced shocks propagate across…

General Economics · Economics 2026-01-05 Mariluz Mate

An average instantaneous cross-correlation function is introduced to quantify the interaction of the financial market of a specific time. Based on the daily data of the American and Chinese stock markets, memory effect of the average…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-18 Tian Qiu , Guang Chen , Li-Xin Zhong , Xiao-Wei Lei

We investigate the collective behavior of a system of social agents subject to the competition between two mass media influences considered as external fields. We study under what conditions either of two mass media with different…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-05-09 O. Alvarez-Llamoza , M. G. Cosenza , J. C. Gonzalez-Avella , M. A. Suarez , K. Tucci , P. Valverde

We investigate present some new statistical properties of order books. We analyse data from the Nasdaq and investigate (a) the statistics of incoming limit order prices, (b) the shape of the average order book, and (c) the typical life time…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-07 Marc Potters , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

It has been long that literature in financial academics focuses mainly on price and return but much less on trading volume. In the past twenty years, it has already linked both price and trading volume to economic fundamentals, and explored…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-10 Leilei Shi , Bing Han , Yingzi Zhu , Liyan Han , Yiwen Wang , Yan Piao

Social learning is a fundamental mechanism shaping decision-making across numerous social networks, including social trading platforms. In those platforms, investors combine traditional investing with copying the behavior of others.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-07-04 Bijin Joseph , Christoph Riedl , Alex Pentland , Esteban Moro

In this work, we present a continuous-time large-population game for modeling market microstructure betweentwo consecutive trades. The proposed modeling framework is inspired by our previous work [23]. In this framework, the Limit Order…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2017-06-21 Roman Gayduk , Sergey Nadtochiy

Trading large volumes of a financial asset in order driven markets requires the use of algorithmic execution dividing the volume in many transactions in order to minimize costs due to market impact. A proper design of an optimal execution…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-05 Enzo Busseti , Fabrizio Lillo

Executing a basket of co-integrated assets is an important task facing investors. Here, we show how to do this accounting for the informational advantage gained from assets within and outside the basket, as well as for the permanent price…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-05 Alvaro Cartea , Luhui Gan , Sebastian Jaimungal

We propose a minimal theory of non-linear price impact based on a linear (latent) order book approximation, inspired by diffusion-reaction models and general arguments. Our framework allows one to compute the average price trajectory in the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-03 Jonathan Donier , Julius Bonart , Iacopo Mastromatteo , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

Metacognition, understood as the monitoring and regulation of one's own cognitive processes, is inherently sequential: an agent evaluates an internal state, updates it, and may then re-evaluate under modified criteria. Order effects in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Enso O. Torres Alegre , Diana E. Mora Jimenez

We compare the predictions of the stationary Kyle model, a microfounded multi-step linear price impact model in which market prices forecast fundamentals through information encoded in the order flow, with those of the propagator model, a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-10 Michele Vodret , Iacopo Mastromatteo , Bence Tóth , Michael Benzaquen
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