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We propose a novel deterministic sampling method to approximate a target distribution $\rho^*$ by minimizing the kernel discrepancy, also known as the Maximum Mean Discrepancy (MMD). By employing the general \emph{energetic variational…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-12 Yindong Chen , Yiwei Wang , Lulu Kang , Chun Liu

Many real world systems are at risk of undergoing critical transitions, leading to sudden qualitative and sometimes irreversible regime shifts. The development of early warning signals is recognized as a major challenge. Recent progress…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2017-02-28 Christian Kuehn , Gerd Zschaler , Thilo Gross

We theoretically study divergent fluctuations of dynamical events at non-ergodic transitions. We first focus on the finding that a non-ergodic transition can be described as a saddle connection bifurcation of an order parameter for a time…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-25 Mami Iwata , Shin-ichi Sasa

We observe a novel 'multiple-descent' phenomenon during the training process of LSTM, in which the test loss goes through long cycles of up and down trend multiple times after the model is overtrained. By carrying out asymptotic stability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Wenbo Wei , Nicholas Chong Jia Le , Choy Heng Lai , Ling Feng

Fine-tuning LLMs on narrowly harmful datasets can lead to behavior that is broadly misaligned with respect to human values. To understand when and how this emergent misalignment occurs, we develop a comprehensive framework for detecting and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-28 Julian Arnold , Niels Lörch

The paper introduces a new kernel-based Maximum Mean Discrepancy (MMD) statistic for measuring the distance between two distributions given finitely-many multivariate samples. When the distributions are locally low-dimensional, the proposed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-09-03 Xiuyuan Cheng , Alexander Cloninger , Ronald R. Coifman

We propose MMD-OPT: a sample-efficient approach for minimizing the risk of collision under arbitrary prediction distribution of the dynamic obstacles. MMD-OPT is based on embedding distribution in Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space (RKHS) and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Basant Sharma , Arun Kumar Singh

Accurate quantification of uncertainty is crucial for real-world applications of machine learning. However, modern deep neural networks still produce unreliable predictive uncertainty, often yielding over-confident predictions. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-29 Peng Cui , Wenbo Hu , Jun Zhu

Conditional Maximum Mean Discrepancy (CMMD) can capture the discrepancy between conditional distributions by drawing support from nonlinear kernel functions, thus it has been successfully used for pattern classification. However, CMMD does…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-08-25 Chuan-Xian Ren , Pengfei Ge , Dao-Qing Dai , Hong Yan

Fast-slow dynamical systems have subsystems that evolve on vastly different timescales, and bifurcations in such systems can arise due to changes in any or all subsystems. We classify bifurcations of the critical set (the equilibria of the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-04-21 Karl Nyman , Peter Ashwin , Peter Ditlevsen

We develop novel clustering algorithms for functional data when the number of clusters $K$ is unknown and also when it is prefixed. These algorithms are developed based on the Maximum Mean Discrepancy (MMD) measure between two sets of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-16 Sourav Chakrabarty , Anirvan Chakraborty , Shyamal K. De

Catastrophic regime shifts in complex natural systems may be averted through advanced detection. Recent work has provided a proof-of-principle that many systems approaching a catastrophic transition may be identified through the lens of…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2012-04-30 Carl Boettiger , Alan Hastings

Detection of critical slowing down (CSD) is the dominant avenue for anticipating critical transitions from noisy time-series data. Most commonly, changes in variance and lag-1 autocorrelation [AC(1)] are used as CSD indicators. However,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-06-05 Andreas Morr , Niklas Boers

Critical transitions, or large changes in the state of a system after a small change in the system's external conditions or parameters, commonly occur in a wide variety of disciplines, from the biological and social sciences to physics.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-10-26 George I. Hagstrom , Simon A. Levin

We study the statistical mechanics of binary systems under gravitational interaction of the Modified Newtonian Dynamics (MOND) in three-dimensional space. Considering the binary systems, in the microcanonical and canonical ensembles, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-09-15 Mohammad H. Zhoolideh Haghighi , Sohrab Rahvar , M Reza Rahimi Tabar

We present a selective sampling method designed to accelerate the training of deep neural networks. To this end, we introduce a novel measurement, the minimal margin score (MMS), which measures the minimal amount of displacement an input…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-19 Berry Weinstein , Shai Fine , Yacov Hel-Or

Sampling the collective, dynamical fluctuations that lead to nonequilibrium pattern formation requires probing rare regions of trajectory space. Recent approaches to this problem based on importance sampling, cloning, and spectral…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-02-14 Jiawei Yan , Hugo Touchette , Grant M. Rotskoff

A key element in transfer learning is representation learning; if representations can be developed that expose the relevant factors underlying the data, then new tasks and domains can be learned readily based on mappings of these salient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-12-18 Yujia Li , Kevin Swersky , Richard Zemel

Approximating a probability distribution using a set of particles is a fundamental problem in machine learning and statistics, with applications including clustering and quantization. Formally, we seek a weighted mixture of Dirac measures…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-24 Ayoub Belhadji , Daniel Sharp , Youssef Marzouk

Process Monitoring involves tracking a system's behaviors, evaluating the current state of the system, and discovering interesting events that require immediate actions. In this paper, we consider monitoring temporal system state sequences…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-11 Yihuang Kang , Vladimir Zadorozhny