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On-line estimation plays an important role in process control and monitoring. Obtaining a theoretical solution to the simultaneous state-parameter estimation problem for non-linear stochastic systems involves solving complex…

Computation · Statistics 2013-07-15 Aditya Tulsyan , Biao Huang , R. Bhushan Gopaluni , J. Fraser Forbes

Estimation of a dynamical system's latent state subject to sensor noise and model inaccuracies remains a critical yet difficult problem in robotics. While Kalman filters provide the optimal solution in the least squared sense for linear and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-02-10 Fahira Afzal Maken , Fabio Ramos , Lionel Ott

We present a hybrid scheme for the parameter and state estimation of nonlinear continuous-time systems, which is inspired by the supervisory setup used for control. State observers are synthesized for some nominal parameter values and a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-18 Michelle S. Chong , Dragan Nešić , Romain Postoyan , Levin Kuhlmann

Learning and forecasting stochastic time series is essential in various scientific fields. However, despite the proposals of nonlinear filters and deep-learning methods, it remains challenging to capture nonlinear dynamics from a few noisy…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-21 Christian Donner , Anuj Mishra , Hideaki Shimazaki

Recent advances in nonlinear dynamical systems theory provide a new insight into numerical properties of discrete algorithms developed to solve nonlinear initial value problems. Basic features like accuracy and stability are well pointed…

solv-int · Physics 2008-02-03 S. Sello

The empirical success of machine learning models with many more parameters than measurements has generated an interest in the theory of overparameterisation, i.e., underdetermined models. This paradigm has recently been studied in domains…

We propose an algorithm for designing optimal inputs for on-line Bayesian identification of stochastic non-linear state-space models. The proposed method relies on minimization of the posterior Cram\'er Rao lower bound derived for the model…

Applications · Statistics 2013-07-25 Aditya Tulsyan , Swanand R. Khare , Biao Huang , R. Bhushan Gopaluni , J. Fraser Forbes

State estimation aims at approximately reconstructing the solution $u$ to a parametrized partial differential equation from $m$ linear measurements, when the parameter vector $y$ is unknown. Fast numerical recovery methods have been…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-11-25 Albert Cohen , Wolfgang Dahmen , Olga Mula , James Nichols

We propose a moving horizon estimation scheme to estimate the states and the unknown constant parameters of general nonlinear uncertain discrete-time systems. The proposed framework and analysis explicitly do not involve the a priori…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-22 Julian D. Schiller , Matthias A. Müller

Estimating consistent parameters of a structured state-space representation requires a reliable initialization when the vector of parameters is computed by using a gradient-based algorithm. In the eponymous companion paper accepted for…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-06-04 Guillaume Mercère , José Ramos , Olivier Prot

The optimal selection of experimental conditions is essential to maximizing the value of data for inference and prediction, particularly in situations where experiments are time-consuming and expensive to conduct. We propose a general…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-12-04 Xun Huan , Youssef M. Marzouk

In this paper, we study the problem of estimating the state of a dynamic state-space system where the output is subject to quantization. We compare some classical approaches and a new development in the literature to obtain the filtering…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-12-16 Angel L. Cedeño , Ricardo Albornoz , Boris I. Godoy , Rodrigo Carvajal , Juan C. Agüero

In this paper we propose a solution to the problem of parameter estimation of nonlinearly parameterized regressions--continuous or discrete time--and apply it for system identification and adaptive control. We restrict our attention to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-18 Romeo Ortega , Vladislav Gromov , Emmanuel Nuño , Anton Pyrkin , Jose Guadalupe Romero

In this paper, a purely measurement-based method is proposed to estimate the dynamic system state matrix by applying the regression theorem of the multivariate Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. The proposed method employs a recursive algorithm to…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-05-29 Hao Sheng , Xiaozhe Wang

In this paper we propose a method to estimate the initial state of a linear dynamical system with noisy observation. The method allows the user to have estimations in real time, that is, to have a new estimation for each new observation.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-06 Rocío Díaz Martín , Ivan Medri , Juliana Osorio

Information in the time distribution of points in a state space reconstructed from observed data yields a test for ``nonstationarity''. Framed in terms of a statistical hypothesis test, this numerical algorithm can discern whether some…

chao-dyn · Physics 2008-02-03 Matthew B. Kennel

We introduce a nonlinear stochastic model reduction technique for high-dimensional stochastic dynamical systems that have a low-dimensional invariant effective manifold with slow dynamics, and high-dimensional, large fast modes. Given only…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-25 Felix X. -F. Ye , Sichen Yang , Mauro Maggioni

Data-driven, model-free analytics are natural choices for discovery and forecasting of complex, nonlinear systems. Methods that operate in the system state-space require either an explicit multidimensional state-space, or, one approximated…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-15 Joseph Park , Gerald M Pao , Erik Stabenau , George Sugihara , Thomas Lorimer

A new initialization method for hidden parameters in a neural network is proposed. Derived from the integral representation of the neural network, a nonparametric probability distribution of hidden parameters is introduced. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-02-20 Sho Sonoda , Noboru Murata

An incremental/online state dynamic learning method is proposed for identification of the nonlinear Gaussian state space models. The method embeds the stochastic variational sparse Gaussian process as the probabilistic state dynamic model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-31 Vahid Bastani , Lucio Marcenaro , Carlo Regazzoni