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Compressive sensing has become a powerful addition to uncertainty quantification in recent years. This paper identifies new bases for random variables through linear mappings such that the representation of the quantity of interest is more…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-08 Xiu Yang , Huan Lei , Nathan A. Baker , Guang Lin

The data-centric construction of inexpensive surrogates for fine-grained, physical models has been at the forefront of computational physics due to its significant utility in many-query tasks such as uncertainty quantification. Recent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-17 Maximilian Rixner , Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis

The application of polynomial chaos expansions (PCEs) to the propagation of uncertainties in stochastic dynamical models is well-known to face challenging issues. The accuracy of PCEs degenerates quickly in time. Thus maintaining a…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-27 C. V. Mai , M. D. Spiridonakos , E. N. Chatzi , B. Sudret

Compressive sensing has become a powerful addition to uncertainty quantification when only limited data is available. In this paper we provide a general framework to enhance the sparsity of the representation of uncertainty in the form of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-11-28 Xiu Yang , Xiaoliang Wan , Lin Lin , Huan Lei

Disentangled representation learning aims to uncover latent variables underlying the observed data, and generally speaking, rather strong assumptions are needed to ensure identifiability. Some approaches rely on sufficient changes on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Zijian Li , Shunxing Fan , Yujia Zheng , Ignavier Ng , Shaoan Xie , Guangyi Chen , Xinshuai Dong , Ruichu Cai , Kun Zhang

Stochastic collocation (SC) is a well-known non-intrusive method of constructing surrogate models for uncertainty quantification. In dynamical systems, SC is especially suited for full-field uncertainty propagation that characterizes the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-10-18 Saibal De , Reese E. Jones , Hemanth Kolla

In modern large-scale observational studies, data collection constraints often result in partially labeled datasets, posing challenges for reliable causal inference, especially due to potential labeling bias and relatively small size of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-22 Yuqian Zhang , Abhishek Chakrabortty , Jelena Bradic

Stochastic expansion-based methods of uncertainty quantification, such as polynomial chaos and separated representations, require basis functions orthogonal with respect to the density of random inputs. Many modern engineering problems…

Computation · Statistics 2018-08-06 Brandon A. Jones , Marc Balducci

We introduce a method to construct a stochastic surrogate model from the results of dimensionality reduction in forward uncertainty quantification. The hypothesis is that the high-dimensional input augmented by the output of a computational…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-12 Jungho Kim , Sang-ri Yi , Ziqi Wang

In climate systems, physiological models, optics, and many more, surrogate models are developed to reconstruct chaotic dynamical systems. We introduce four data-driven measures using global attractor properties to evaluate the quality of…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-06-12 Luci Fumagalli , Kathy Lüdge , Jana de Wiljes , Heikki Haario , Lina Jaurigue

We present an algorithm to identify sparse dependence structure in continuous and non-Gaussian probability distributions, given a corresponding set of data. The conditional independence structure of an arbitrary distribution can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-07 Rebecca E. Morrison , Ricardo Baptista , Youssef Marzouk

We present a framework for automatically structuring and training fast, approximate, deep neural surrogates of stochastic simulators. Unlike traditional approaches to surrogate modeling, our surrogates retain the interpretable structure and…

Learning data representations under uncertainty is an important task that emerges in numerous scientific computing and data analysis applications. However, uncertainty quantification techniques are computationally intensive and become…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-06 Paz Fink Shustin , Shashanka Ubaru , Małgorzata J. Zimoń , Songtao Lu , Vasileios Kalantzis , Lior Horesh , Haim Avron

We consider a novel Bayesian approach to estimation, uncertainty quantification, and variable selection for a high-dimensional linear regression model under sparsity. The number of predictors can be nearly exponentially large relative to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-28 Samhita Pal , Subhashis Ghoshal

We introduce a novel procedure that, given sparse data generated from a stationary deterministic nonlinear dynamical system, can characterize specific local and/or global dynamic behavior with rigorous probability guarantees. More…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-09-19 Bogdan Batko , Marcio Gameiro , Ying Hung , William Kalies , Konstantin Mischaikow , Ewerton Vieira

In engineering design and scientific computing, computational cost and predictive accuracy are intrinsically coupled. High-fidelity simulations provide accurate predictions but at substantial computational costs, while lower-fidelity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Ahmed Mohamed Eisa Nasr , Ali Elham , Haris Moazam Sheikh

Additive nonparametric regression models provide an attractive tool for variable selection in high dimensions when the relationship between the response and predictors is complex. They offer greater flexibility compared to parametric…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-07-12 Garret Vo , Debdeep Pati

Many real-world systems are modelled using complex ordinary differential equations (ODEs). However, the dimensionality of these systems can make them challenging to analyze. Dimensionality reduction techniques like Proper Orthogonal…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-02-26 Abhishek Ajayakumar , Soumyendu Raha

The estimation of unknown values of parameters (or hidden variables, control variables) that characterise a physical system often relies on the comparison of measured data with synthetic data produced by some numerical simulator of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-28 Xi Chen , Mike Hobson

Systems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) require computationally intensive numerical solvers to predict spatiotemporal field evolution. While machine learning (ML) surrogates offer faster solutions, autoregressive inference…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Ishan Khurjekar , Indrashish Saha , Lori Graham-Brady , Somdatta Goswami