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We propose a collective opinion formation model with a so-called confirmation bias. The confirmation bias is a psychological effect with which, in the context of opinion formation, an individual in favor of an opinion is prone to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-06-24 Ryosuke Nishi , Naoki Masuda

Here we focus on the description of the mechanisms behind the process of information aggregation and decision making, a basic step to understand emergent phenomena in society, such as trends, information spreading or the wisdom of crowds.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-04-15 Víctor M. Eguíluz , N. Masuda , J. Fernández-Gracia

Public sentiment is a direct public-centric indicator for the success of effective action planning. Despite its importance, systematic modeling of public sentiment remains untapped in previous studies. This research aims to develop a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-04-07 Yudi Chen , Qi Wang , Wenying Ji

We consider the process of opinion formation, in a society where there is a set of rules, $B$. These rules change over time due to the drift of public opinion, driven in part by publicity campaigns. Public opinion is formed by the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-05-19 Juan Neirotti

In recent years, opinion dynamics has received an increasing attention, and various models have been introduced and evaluated mainly by simulation. In this study, we introduce and study a dynamical model inspired by the so-called `bounded…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-11-07 Sergei Yu. Pilyugin , M. C. Campi

A model of the opinion dynamics underlying the political decision is proposed. The analysis is restricted to a bipolar scheme with a possible third political area. The interaction among voters is local but the final decision strongly…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Filippo Caruso , Paolo Castorina

There are some shreds of evidence that social opinion polarization leads to the breakup of the relationship, some in the scale of small communities, but others can divide large organizations or even a nation. The legacy methodology to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-02-17 Andry Alamsyah , Wachda Yuniar Rochmah , Arina Nahya Nurnafia

We explore a new mechanism to explain polarization phenomena in opinion dynamics in which agents evaluate alternative views on the basis of the social feedback obtained on expressing them. High support of the favored opinion in the social…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-10-22 Sven Banisch , Eckehard Olbrich

We expect that democracy enables us to utilize collective intelligence such that our collective decisions build and enhance social welfare, and such that we accept their distributive and normative consequences. Collective decisions are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-06 Jan Lorenz , Martin Neumann

Collective decision-making is a process by which a group of individuals determines a shared outcome that shapes societal dynamics; from innovation diffusion to organizational choices. A common approach to model these processes is using…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-04-03 Maciej Doniec , Pratik Mullick , Parongama Sen , Katarzyna Sznajd-Weron

Starting with the neo-Bayesian revival of the 1950s, many statisticians argued that it was inappropriate to use Bayesian methods, and in particular subjective Bayesian methods in governmental and public policy settings because of their…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-08-11 Stephen E. Fienberg

We study a model for social influence in which the agents' opinion is a continuous variable [G. Weisbuch et al., Complexity \textbf{7}, 2, 55 (2002)]. The convergent opinion adjustment process takes place as a result of random binary…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 M. F. Laguna , Guillermo Abramson , Damian H. Zanette

We discuss the process of opinion formation in a completely homogeneous, democratic population using a class of probabilistic cellular automata models with two absorbing states. Each individual can have one of two opinions that can change…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2007-05-23 Franco Bagnoli , Fabio Franci , Raúl Rechtman

We study an outcome of a vote in a population of voters exposed to an externally applied bias in favour of one of two potential candidates. The population consists of ordinary individuals, that are in majority and tend to align their…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-03-31 V. S. Dotsenko , C. Mejía-Monasterio , G. Oshanin

The formation of collective opinion is a complex phenomenon that results from the combined effects of mass media exposure and social influence between individuals. The present work introduces a model of opinion formation specifically…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-01-07 Mehdi Moussaid

Accurate modeling of opinion dynamics has the potential to help us understand polarization and what makes effective political discourse possible or impossible. Here, we use physics-based methods to model the evolution of political opinions…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-10-07 David Sabin-Miller , Daniel M. Abrams

We study here the dynamics of opinion formation in a society where we take into account of the internally held beliefs and externally expressed opinions of the individuals, which are not necessarily the same at all times. While these two…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-04-27 Subhadeep Roy , Soumyajyoti Biswas

Opinion dynamics on social networks have been received considerable attentions in recent years. Nevertheless, just a few works have theoretically analyzed the condition in which a certain opinion can spread in the whole structured…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-08-31 Zhifang Li , Xiaojie Chen , Han-Xin Yang , Attila Szolnoki

Opinion dynamics concerns social processes through which populations or groups of individuals agree or disagree on specific issues. As such, modelling opinion dynamics represents an important research area that has been progressively…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-09-06 Alina Sîrbu , Vittorio Loreto , Vito D. P. Servedio , Francesca Tria

We investigate a dynamical model of opinion formation in which an individual's opinion is influenced by interactions with a group of other agents. We introduce a bias towards one of the opinions in a manner not considered earlier to the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-09-17 Pratik Mullick , Parongama Sen
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