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This paper considers the maximum likelihood estimation of panel data models with interactive effects. Motivated by applications in economics and other social sciences, a notable feature of the model is that the explanatory variables are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-02-27 Jushan Bai , Kunpeng Li

We consider inference on a scalar regression coefficient under a constraint on the magnitude of the control coefficients. A class of estimators based on a regularized propensity score regression is shown to exactly solve a tradeoff between…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-08-11 Timothy B. Armstrong , Michal Kolesár , Soonwoo Kwon

We propose improved standard errors and an asymptotic distribution theory for two-way clustered panels. Our proposed estimator and theory allow for arbitrary serial dependence in the common time effects, which is excluded by existing…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-12-15 Harold D Chiang , Bruce E Hansen , Yuya Sasaki

There has been a recent surge in research on causal panel data models, leading to many new estimators for average causal effects. However, researchers have paid less attention to quantifying the precision of these estimators. This paper…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-25 Alexander Almeida , Susan Athey , Guido Imbens , Eva Lestant , Alexia Olaizola

The local regularity of functional time series is studied under $L^p-m-$appro\-ximability assumptions. The sample paths are observed with error at possibly random design points. Non-asymptotic concentration bounds of the regularity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-21 Hassan Maissoro , Valentin Patilea , Myriam Vimond

This paper presents a model selection technique of estimation in semiparametric regression models of the type Y_i=\beta^{\prime}\underbarX_i+f(T_i)+W_i, i=1,...,n. The parametric and nonparametric components are estimated simultaneously by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Florentina Bunea

Non-randomized treatment effect models are widely used for the assessment of treatment effects in various fields and in particular social science disciplines like political science, psychometry, psychology. More specifically, these are…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-02 Debarghya Mukherjee , Moulinath Banerjee , Ya'acov Ritov

Studying the effects of one-way variation of any number of parameters on any number of output probabilities quickly becomes infeasible in practice, especially if various evidence profiles are to be taken into consideration. To provide for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-09 Silja Renooij , Linda C. van der Gaag

Conditional effect estimation has great scientific and policy importance because interventions may impact subjects differently depending on their characteristics. Most research has focused on estimating the conditional average treatment…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-25 Alec McClean , Zach Branson , Edward H. Kennedy

In prevalent cohort studies with follow-up, the time-to-event outcome is subject to left truncation leading to selection bias. For estimation of the distribution of time-to-event, conventional methods adjusting for left truncation tend to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-29 Yuyao Wang , Andrew Ying , Ronghui Xu

The angular measure on the unit sphere characterizes the first-order dependence structure of the components of a random vector in extreme regions and is defined in terms of standardized margins. Its statistical recovery is an important step…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-16 Stéphane Lhaut , Johan Segers

We develop new methods to integrate experimental and observational data in causal inference. While randomized controlled trials offer strong internal validity, they are often costly and therefore limited in sample size. Observational data,…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-04 Xuelin Yang , Licong Lin , Susan Athey , Michael I. Jordan , Guido W. Imbens

In this paper we introduce several natural definitions of asymptotic independence of two sequences of random elements. We discuss their basic properties, some simple connections between them and connections with properties of weak…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-25 Youri Davydov , Svyatoslav Novikov

We develop joint confidence regions for linear regression coefficients when the regressors and errors are jointly stationary and ergodic with unspecified serial dependence. The method applies random smoothing, using an independent auxiliary…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-21 Mous-Abou Hamadou , Martial Longla , Mathias Nthiani Muia , Mahmud Hasan

When a strict subset of covariates are given, we propose conditional quantile treatment effect to capture the heterogeneity of treatment effects via the quantile sheet that is the function of the given covariates and quantile. We focus on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-23 Niwen Zhou , Xu Guo , Lixing Zhu

We propose a method to detect model misspecifications in nonlinear causal additive and potentially heteroscedastic noise models. We aim to identify predictor variables for which we can infer the causal effect even in cases of such…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-28 Christoph Schultheiss , Peter Bühlmann

We introduce a generic class of dynamic nonlinear heterogeneous parameter models that incorporate individual and time fixed effects in both the intercept and slope. These models are subject to the incidental parameter problem, in that the…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-27 Xuan Leng , Jiaming Mao , Yutao Sun

The main goal is to develop and, consequently, compare stochastic methods for detection whether a structural change in panel data occurred at some unknown time or not. Panel data of our interest consist of a moderate or relatively large…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-22 Barbora Peštová , Michal Pešta

This paper considers a model with general regressors and unobservable factors. An estimator based on iterated principal components is proposed, which is shown to be not only asymptotically normal and oracle efficient, but under certain…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-23 Bin Peng , Liangjun Su , Joakim Westerlund , Yanrong Yang

We re-investigate the asymptotic properties of the traditional OLS (pooled) estimator, $\hat{\beta} _P$, in the context of cluster dependence. The present study considers various scenarios under various restrictions on the cluster sizes and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-31 Subhodeep Dey , Gopal K. Basak , Samarjit Das