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We revisit closed-loop performance guarantees for Model Predictive Control in the deterministic and stochastic cases, which extend to novel performance results applicable to receding horizon control of Partially Observable Markov Decision…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-01 Martin A. Sehr , Robert R. Bitmead

This paper presents a new paradigm to stabilize uncertain stochastic linear systems. Herein, second moment polytopic (SMP) systems are proposed that generalize systems with both uncertainty and randomness. The SMP systems are characterized…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-28 Yuji Ito , Kenji Fujimoto

In this paper, we focus on a data-driven risk-averse multistage stochastic programming (RMSP) model considering distributional robustness. We optimize the RMSP over the worst-case distribution within an ambiguity set of probability…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-08-29 Jianqiu Huang , Kezhuo Zhou , Yongpei Guan

The large deviations properties of trajectory observables for chaotic non-invertible deterministic maps as studied recently by N. R. Smith, Phys. Rev. E 106, L042202 (2022) and by R. Gutierrez, A. Canella-Ortiz, C. Perez-Espigares,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-01-30 Cecile Monthus

The probability distributions, as well as the mean values of stochastic currents and fluxes, associated with a driven Langevin process, provide a good and topologically protected measure of how far a stochastic system is driven out of…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2017-01-04 Michael J. Catanzaro , Vladimir Y. Chernyak , John R. Klein

We study data-driven learning of robust stochastic control for infinite-horizon systems with potentially continuous state and action spaces. In many managerial settings--supply chains, finance, manufacturing, services, and dynamic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-18 Shengbo Wang , Jason Meng , Nian Si , Jose Blanchet , Zhengyuan Zhou

We study the entropy production of Gibbs (equilibrium) measures for chaotic dynamical systems with folding of the phase space. The dynamical chaotic model is that generated by a hyperbolic non-invertible map $f$ on a general basic (possibly…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2011-04-14 Eugen Mihailescu

We construct a stochastic fluid process with an underlying piecewise deterministic Markov process (PDMP) akin to the one used in the construction of the rational arrival process (RAP), which we call the RAP-modulated fluid process. As…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-12 Nigel G. Bean , Giang T. Nguyen , Bo F. Nielsen , Oscar Peralta

Modelling the evolution of a system using stochastic dynamics typically implies a greater subjective uncertainty in the adopted system coordinates as time progresses, and stochastic entropy production has been developed as a measure of this…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-02-06 Jonathan Dexter , Ian J. Ford

Power systems that need to integrate renewables at a large scale must account for the high levels of uncertainty introduced by these power sources. This can be accomplished with a system of many distributed grid-level storage devices.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Joseph L. Durante , Juliana Nascimento , Warren B. Powell

Autoregressive generative models -- including Transformers, recurrent neural networks, classical Kalman filters, state space models, and Mamba -- all generate sequences by sampling each output from a deterministic summary of the past,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-04-17 Takahiro Sagawa

Safety in stochastic control systems, which are subject to random noise with a known probability distribution, aims to compute policies that satisfy predefined operational constraints with high confidence throughout the uncertain evolution…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-12 Saber Omidi , Marek Petrik , Se Young Yoon , Momotaz Begum

Random dynamical systems (RDS) evolve by a dynamical rule chosen independently with a certain probability, from a given set of deterministic rules. These dynamical systems in an interval reach a steady state with a unique well-defined…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-09-21 M. S. Shesha Gopal , Soumitro Banerjee , P. K. Mohanty

Applying the mathematical circulation theory of Markov chains, we investigate the synchronized stochastic dynamics of a discrete network model of yeast cell-cycle regulation where stochasticity has been kept rather than being averaged out.…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2009-04-16 Hao Ge , Hong Qian , Min Qian

We consider a strictly substochastic matrix or an stochastic matrix with absorbing states. By using quasi-stationary distributions one shows there is a canonical associated stationary Markov chain. Based upon $2-$stringing representation of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-03 Servet Martínez

The paper studies the problem of filtering a discrete-time linear system observed by a network of sensors. The sensors share a common communication medium to the estimator and transmission is bit and power budgeted. Under the assumption of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2009-10-07 S. Kar , B. Sinopoli , J. M. F. Moura

We cast episodic Markov decision process (MDP) planning as Bayesian inference over policies. A policy is treated as the latent variable and is assigned an unnormalized probability of optimality that is monotone in its expected return,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-14 David Tolpin

In this document, we aim to gather various results related to a compositional/categorical approach to rigorous Statistical Mechanics. Rigorous Statistical Mechanics is centered on the mathematical study of statistical systems. Central…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2024-03-26 Grégoire Sergeant-Perthuis

We study the stochastic dynamics of a system of interacting species in a stochastic environment by means of a continuous-time Markov chain with transition rates depending on the state of the environment. Models of gene regulation in systems…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-12-03 Daniele Cappelletti , Abhishek Pal Majumder , Carsten Wiuf

For discrete-time stochastic processes, there is a close connection between return/waiting times and entropy. Such a connection cannot be straightforwardly extended to the continuous-time setting. Contrarily to the discrete-time case one…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jean-Rene Chazottes , Cristian Giardina , Frank Redig