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The sharpest known high probability generalization bounds for uniformly stable algorithms (Feldman, Vondr\'{a}k, 2018, 2019), (Bousquet, Klochkov, Zhivotovskiy, 2020) contain a generally inevitable sampling error term of order…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-19 Yegor Klochkov , Nikita Zhivotovskiy

In multi-task learning (MTL) with each task involving graph-dependent data, existing generalization analyses yield a \emph{sub-optimal} risk bound of $O(\frac{1}{\sqrt{n}})$, where $n$ is the number of training samples of each task.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-22 Xiao Shao , Guoqiang Wu

In this paper, we present new high-probability PAC-Bayes bounds for different types of losses. Firstly, for losses with a bounded range, we recover a strengthened version of Catoni's bound that holds uniformly for all parameter values. This…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-05 Borja Rodríguez-Gálvez , Ragnar Thobaben , Mikael Skoglund

Given finite-dimensional random vectors $Y$, $X$, and $Z$ that form a Markov chain in that order (i.e., $Y \to X \to Z$), we derive upper bounds on the excess minimum risk using generalized information divergence measures. Here, $Y$ is a…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-06-02 Ananya Omanwar , Fady Alajaji , Tamás Linder

The paper offers a novel unified approach to studying the accuracy of parameter estimation by the quasi likelihood method. Important features of the approach are: (1) The underlying model {is not assumed to be parametric}. (2) No conditions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-11 V. Spokoiny

We give the proof of a tight lower bound on the probability that a binomial random variable exceeds its expected value. The inequality plays an important role in a variety of contexts, including the analysis of relative deviation bounds in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-11-12 Spencer Greenberg , Mehryar Mohri

Lower bounds for the average probability of error of estimating a hidden variable X given an observation of a correlated random variable Y, and Fano's inequality in particular, play a central role in information theory. In this paper, we…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-10-08 Flavio du Pin Calmon , Mayank Varia , Muriel Médard , Mark M. Christiansen , Ken R. Duffy , Stefano Tessaro

Insurance losses due to flooding can be estimated by simulating and then summing losses over a large number of locations and a large set of hypothetical years of flood events. Replicated realisations lead to Monte Carlo return-level…

Applications · Statistics 2025-05-23 Anna Maria Barlow , Chris Sherlock

This paper focuses on parameter estimation and introduces a new method for lower bounding the Bayesian risk. The method allows for the use of virtually \emph{any} information measure, including R\'enyi's $\alpha$, $\varphi$-Divergences, and…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-03-27 Amedeo Roberto Esposito , Adrien Vandenbroucque , Michael Gastpar

We extend Fano's inequality, which controls the average probability of events in terms of the average of some $f$--divergences, to work with arbitrary events (not necessarily forming a partition) and even with arbitrary $[0,1]$--valued…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-12 Sebastien Gerchinovitz , Pierre Ménard , Gilles Stoltz

We develop minimax optimal risk bounds for the general learning task consisting in predicting as well as the best function in a reference set $\mathcal{G}$ up to the smallest possible additive term, called the convergence rate. When the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-09 Jean-Yves Audibert

In risk-sensitive learning, one aims to find a hypothesis that minimizes a risk-averse (or risk-seeking) measure of loss, instead of the standard expected loss. In this paper, we propose to study the generalization properties of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-05 Jaeho Lee , Sejun Park , Jinwoo Shin

Error bounds are central objects in optimization theory and its applications. They were for a long time restricted only to the theory before becoming over the course of time a field of itself. This paper is devoted to the study of error…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-17 Zhou Wei , Michel Théra , Jen-Chih Yao

Let $X$ be a random vector with distribution $P_{\theta}$ where $\theta$ is an unknown parameter. When estimating $\theta$ by some estimator $\varphi(X)$ under a loss function $L(\theta,\varphi)$, classical decision theory advocates that…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-03-23 Dominique Fourdrinier , Martin T. Wells

A general class of Bayesian lower bounds when the underlying loss function is a Bregman divergence is demonstrated. This class can be considered as an extension of the Weinstein--Weiss family of bounds for the mean squared error and relies…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-06-17 Alex Dytso , Michael Fauß , H. Vincent Poor

The purpose of this article is to develop a general parametric estimation theory that allows the derivation of the limit distribution of estimators in non-regular models where the true parameter value may lie on the boundary of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-28 Junichiro Yoshida , Nakahiro Yoshida

This paper derives lower bounds for the mean square errors of parameter estimators in the case of Poisson distributed data subjected to multiple abrupt changes. Since both change locations (discrete parameters) and parameters of the Poisson…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-10-31 Lucien Bacharach , Mohammed Nabil El Korso , Alexandre Renaux , Jean-Yves Tourneret

We prove an L2 recovery bound for a family of sparse estimators defined as minimizers of some empirical loss functions -- which include hinge loss and logistic loss. More precisely, we achieve an upper-bound for coefficients estimation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-15 Antoine Dedieu

This work performs a non-asymptotic analysis of the generalized Lasso under the assumption of sub-exponential data. Our main results continue recent research on the benchmark case of (sub-)Gaussian sample distributions and thereby explore…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-18 Martin Genzel , Christian Kipp

This paper considers a distributionally robust chance constraint model with a general ambiguity set. We show that a sample based approximation of this model converges under suitable sufficient conditions. We also show that upper and lower…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-17 Jiaqi Lei , Sanjay Mehrotra