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We introduce a new functional measure of tail dependence for weakly dependent (asymptotically independent) random vectors, termed weak tail dependence function. The new measure is defined at the level of copulas and we compute it for…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-27 Peter Tankov

Stochastic ordering of distributions of random variables may be defined by the relative convexity of the tail functions. This has been extended to higher order stochastic orderings, by iteratively reassigning tail-weights. The actual…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-14 Idir Arab , Paulo Eduardo Oliveira

Many data-driven decision problems are formulated using a nominal distribution estimated from historical data, while performance is ultimately determined by a deployment distribution that may be shifted, context-dependent, partially…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Xiuyuan Cheng , Yunqin Zhu , Yao Xie

We study numerically statistical distributions of sums of chaotic orbit coordinates, viewed as independent random variables, in weakly chaotic regimes of three multi-dimensional Hamiltonian systems: Two Fermi-Pasta-Ulam (FPU-$\beta$)…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-05-20 Chris G. Antonopoulos , Tassos C. Bountis , Vasileios Basios

Variational methods are attractive for computing Bayesian inference for highly parametrized models and large datasets where exact inference is impractical. They approximate a target distribution - either the posterior or an augmented…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-21 Michael Stanley Smith , Ruben Loaiza-Maya , David J. Nott

Longitudinal and survival sub-models are two building blocks for joint modelling of longitudinal and time to event data. Extensive research indicates separate analysis of these two processes could result in biased outputs due to their…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-22 Zili Zhang , Christiana Charalambous , Peter Foster

Multivariate rapid variation describes decay rates of joint light tails of a multivariate distribution. We impose a local uniformity condition to control decay variation of distribution tails along different directions, and using…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-30 Haijun Li

We study the problem of maximizing the probability that (i) an electric component or financial institution $X$ does not default before another component or institution $Y$ and (ii) that $X$ and $Y$ default jointly within the class of all…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-04 Thomas Mroz , Juan Fernández Sánchez , Sebastian Fuchs , Wolfgang Trutschnig

In this paper we give a first attempt to define and study stable distributions with respect to the weak generalized convolution, focusing our attention on the symmetric weakly stable distribution. As in the case of the classical…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-10-30 W. Jarczyk , J. Misiewicz

A bivariate distribution with continuous margins can be uniquely decomposed via a copula and its marginal distributions. We consider the problem of estimating the copula function and adopt a Bayesian approach. On the space of copula…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-04 Simon Guillotte , François Perron

A Copula density estimation method that is based on a finite mixture of heterogeneous parametric copula densities is proposed here. More specifically, the mixture components are Clayton, Frank, Gumbel, T, and normal copula densities, which…

Computation · Statistics 2019-06-25 Leming Qu , Yang Lu

We introduce the notion of a bivariate random discrete copula on an equidistant mesh and explore its stochastic properties. A random discrete copula is a discrete random field, hence, its value at a given point on the mesh is a random…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Damjana Kokol Bukovšek , Blaž Mojškerc , Nik Stopar

Frequency domain methods form a ubiquitous part of the statistical toolbox for time series analysis. In recent years, considerable interest has been given to the development of new spectral methodology and tools capturing dynamics in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-23 Yuichi Goto , Tobias Kley , Ria Van Hecke , Stanislav Volgushev , Holger Dette , Marc Hallin

Nonparanormal models describe the joint distribution of multivariate responses via latent Gaussian, and thus parametric, copulae while allowing flexible nonparametric marginals. Some aspects of such distributions, for example conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-16 Torsten Hothorn

Being the limits of copulas of componentwise maxima in independent random samples, extreme-value copulas can be considered to provide appropriate models for the dependence structure between rare events. Extreme-value copulas not only arise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-12-07 Gordon Gudendorf , Johan Segers

The basic goal of computer engineering is the analysis of data. Such data are often large data sets distributed according to various distribution models. In this manuscript we focus on the analysis of non-Gaussian distributed data. In the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-11 Krzysztof Domino

Geographical data are generally autocorrelated. In this case, it is preferable to select spread units. In this paper, we propose a new method for selecting well-spread samples from a finite spatial population with equal or unequal inclusion…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-11 Raphaël Jauslin , Yves Tillé

Dependence modeling of multivariate count data has garnered significant attention in recent years. Multivariate elliptical copulas are typically preferred in statistical literature to analyze dependence between repeated measurements of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-22 Subhajit Chattopadhyay

Often of primary interest in the analysis of multivariate data are the copula parameters describing the dependence among the variables, rather than the univariate marginal distributions. Since the ranks of a multivariate dataset are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-13 Peter D. Hoff , Xiaoyue Niu , Jon A. Wellner

The omnipotence of copulas when modeling dependence given marg\-inal distributions in a multivariate stochastic situation is assured by the Sklar's theorem. Montes et al.\ (2015) suggest the notion of what they call an \emph{imprecise…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-29 Matjaž Omladič , Damjan Škulj