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In statistical mechanics, measuring the number of available states and their probabilities, and thus the system's entropy, enables the prediction of the macroscopic properties of a physical system at equilibrium. This predictive capacity…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-12-14 Mathias Casiulis , Stefano Martiniani

We recall the directed graph of _juggling states_, closed walks within which give juggling patterns, as studied by Ron Graham in [w/Chung, w/Butler]. Various random walks in this graph have been studied before by several authors, and their…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2016-01-26 Allen Knutson

We describe a general strategy, PERM (Pruned-Enriched Rosenbluth Method), for sampling configurations from a given Gibbs-Boltzmann distribution. The method is not based on the Metropolis concept of establishing a Markov process whose…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 P. Grassberger , und H. Frauenkron

In this work, a fully nonparametric geostatistical approach to estimate threshold exceeding probabilities is proposed. To estimate the large-scale variability (spatial trend) of the process, the nonparametric local linear regression…

Stochastic differential equations can describe a wide range of dynamical systems, and obtaining the governing equations of these systems is the premise of studying the nonlinear dynamic behavior of the system. Neural networks are currently…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-04-25 Xiao-Kai An , Lin Du , Zi-Chen Deng , Yu-jia Zhang

Non-convex sampling is a key challenge in machine learning, central to non-convex optimization in deep learning as well as to approximate probabilistic inference. Despite its significance, theoretically there remain many important…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-18 Mohammad Reza Karimi , Ya-Ping Hsieh , Andreas Krause

Reachability analysis is at the core of many applications, from neural network verification, to safe trajectory planning of uncertain systems. However, this problem is notoriously challenging, and current approaches tend to be either too…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-10 Thomas Lew , Marco Pavone

Characterising intractable high-dimensional random variables is one of the fundamental challenges in stochastic computation. The recent surge of transport maps offers a mathematical foundation and new insights for tackling this challenge by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-20 Tiangang Cui , Sergey Dolgov

Markov chain Monte Carlo methods have become standard tools in statistics to sample from complex probability measures. Many available techniques rely on discrete-time reversible Markov chains whose transition kernels build up over the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-21 Alexandre Bouchard-Côté , Sebastian J. Vollmer , Arnaud Doucet

Molecular dynamics is the primary computational method by which modern structural biology explores macromolecule structure and function. Boltzmann generators have been proposed as an alternative to molecular dynamics, by replacing the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-06-23 Congzhou M. Sha , Jian Wang , Nikolay V. Dokholyan

In numerical studies of diffusive dynamics, two different action functionals are often used to specify the probability distribution of trajectories, one of which requiring the evaluation of the second derivative of the potential in addition…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-10-28 Artur B. Adib

Token-level reweighting is a simple yet effective mechanism for controlling supervised fine-tuning, but common indicators are largely one-dimensional: the ground-truth probability reflects downstream alignment, while token entropy reflects…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Wenhao Yu , Shaohang Wei , Jiahong Liu , Yifan Li , Minda Hu , Aiwei Liu , Hao Zhang , Irwin King

Transition path sampling is a method for estimating the rates of rare events in molecular systems based on the gradual transformation of a path distribution containing a small fraction of reactive trajectories into a biased distribution in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-10-28 Pierre Terrier , Mihai-Cosmin Marinica , Manuel Athènes

Estimating characteristics of large graphs via sampling is a vital part of the study of complex networks. Current sampling methods such as (independent) random vertex and random walks are useful but have drawbacks. Random vertex sampling…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2010-09-08 Bruno Ribeiro , Don Towsley

Evaluating the degree of partisan districting (Gerrymandering) in a statistical framework typically requires an ensemble of districting plans which are drawn from a prescribed probability distribution that adheres to a realistic and…

Computation · Statistics 2020-08-19 Gregory Herschlag , Jonathan C. Mattingly , Matthias Sachs , Evan Wyse

Equilibrium formally can be represented as an ensemble of uncoupled systems undergoing unbiased dynamics in which detailed balance is maintained. Many non-equilibrium processes can be described by suitable subsets of the equilibrium…

Capturing multimodal natures is essential for stochastic pedestrian trajectory prediction, to infer a finite set of future trajectories. The inferred trajectories are based on observation paths and the latent vectors of potential decisions…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-05-17 Inhwan Bae , Jin-Hwi Park , Hae-Gon Jeon

We demonstrate that the recently proposed pruned-enriched Rosenbluth method PERM (P. Grassberger, Phys. Rev. E, in press (1997)) leads to extremely efficient algorithms for the folding of simple model proteins. We test it on several models…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Ugo Bastolla , Helge Frauenkron , Erwin Gerstner , Peter Grassberger , Walter Nadler

Many problems in the geophysical sciences demand the ability to calibrate the parameters and predict the time evolution of complex dynamical models using sequentially-collected data. Here we introduce a general methodology for the joint…

Computation · Statistics 2018-12-12 Sara Pérez-Vieites , Inés P. Mariño , Joaquín Míguez

We present a multihistogram reweighting technique for nonequilibrium Markov Chains with discrete energies. The method generalizes the single histogram method of Yin et al. [Phys. Rev. E72, 036122 (2005)], making it possible to calculate the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-04-08 Troels Arnfred Bojesen