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A Maximum Likelihood recursive state estimator is derived for non-linear and non-Gaussian state-space models. The estimator combines a particle filter to generate the conditional density and the Expectation Maximization algorithm to compute…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-22 Mohammad S. Ramadan , Robert R. Bitmead

Generalized linear models (GLMs) are fundamental tools for statistical modeling, with maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) serving as the classical approach for parameter inference. While MLE performs well for canonical GLMs, it can become…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-03 Linglingzhi Zhu , Jonghyeok Lee , Yao Xie

This paper deals with the maximum likelihood estimator for the mean-reverting parameter of a first order autoregressive models with exogenous variables, which are stationary Gaussian noises (Colored noise). Using the method of the Laplace…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-19 Chunhao Cai

We consider a finite mixture of regressions (FMR) model for high-dimensional inhomogeneous data where the number of covariates may be much larger than sample size. We propose an l1-penalized maximum likelihood estimator in an appropriate…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-02-28 Nicolas Städler , Peter Bühlmann , Sara van de Geer

To make inferences about the shape of a population distribution, the widely popular mean regression model, for example, is inadequate if the distribution is not approximately Gaussian (or symmetric). Compared to conventional mean regression…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-18 Luis E. Benites , Víctor H. Lachos , Filidor E. Vilca

In this paper we propose the adaptive lasso for predictive quantile regression (ALQR). Reflecting empirical findings, we allow predictors to have various degrees of persistence and exhibit different signal strengths. The number of…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-06-05 Rui Fan , Ji Hyung Lee , Youngki Shin

This paper studies sparse linear regression analysis with outliers in the responses. A parameter vector for modeling outliers is added to the standard linear regression model and then the sparse estimation problem for both coefficients and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-21 Shota Katayama , Hironori Fujisawa

A non linear regression approach which consists of a specific regression model incorporating a latent process, allowing various polynomial regression models to be activated preferentially and smoothly, is introduced in this paper. The model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-30 Faicel Chamroukhi , Allou Samé , Gérard Govaert , Patrice Aknin

Linear models that contain a time-dependent response and explanatory variables have attracted much interest in recent years. The most general form of the existing approaches is of a linear regression model with autoregressive moving average…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-15 Hamed Haselimashhadi , Veronica Vinciotti

Maximum likelihood estimation is a common method of estimating the parameters of the probability distribution from a given sample. This paper aims to introduce the maximum likelihood estimation in the framework of sublinear expectation. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-16 Xinpeng Li , Yue Liu , Jiaquan Lu

Change point analysis has become an important research topic in many fields of applications. Several research work has been carried out to detect changes and its locations in time series data. In this paper, a nonparametric method based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-28 Ramadha D. Piyadi Gamage , Wei Ning

The restricted maximum likelihood (REML) estimator of the dispersion matrix for random coefficient models is rewritten in terms of the sufficient statistics of the individual regressions.

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-14 Kurt S. Riedel

Linear regression with normally distributed errors - including particular cases such as ANOVA, Student's t-test or location-scale inference - is a widely used statistical procedure. In this case the ordinary least squares estimator…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-18 Alain Desgagné

The purpose of this paper is to study the convergence of the quasi-maximum likelihood (QML) estimator for long memory linear processes. We first establish a correspondence between the long-memory linear process representation and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-24 Jean-Marc Bardet , Yves Gael Tchabo Mbienkeu

Accurately estimating high quantiles beyond the largest observed value is crucial for risk assessment and devising effective adaptation strategies to prevent a greater disaster. The generalized extreme value distribution is widely used for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-24 Yonggwan Shin , Yire Shin , Jeong-Soo Park

Maximum pseudolikelihood (MPL) estimators are useful alternatives to maximum likelihood (ML) estimators when likelihood functions are more difficult to manipulate than their marginal and conditional components. Furthermore, MPL estimators…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-30 Hien D. Nguyen

Many relevant statistical and econometric models for the analysis of longitudinal data include a latent process to account for the unobserved heterogeneity between subjects in a dynamic fashion. Such a process may be continuous (typically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-08-09 Francesco Bartolucci , Silvia Bacci , Fulvia Pennoni

This paper investigates the expected excess risk of in-context learning (ICL) for multiclass classification. We formalize each task as a sequence of labeled examples followed by a query input; a pretrained model then estimates the query's…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-03 Chenrui Liu , Falong Tan , Chuanlong Xie , Yicheng Zeng , Lixing Zhu

In contrast to the popular Cox model which presents a multiplicative covariate effect specification on the time to event hazards, the semiparametric additive risks model (ARM) offers an attractive additive specification, allowing for direct…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-21 Tong Wang , Dipankar Bandyopadhyay , Samiran Sinha

Autoregressive moving average (ARMA) models are widely used for analyzing time series data. However, standard likelihood-based inference methodology for ARMA models has avoidable limitations. We show that currently accepted standards for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-28 Jesse Wheeler , Edward L. Ionides