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A key sticking point of Bayesian analysis is the choice of prior distribution, and there is a vast literature on potential defaults including uniform priors, Jeffreys' priors, reference priors, maximum entropy priors, and weakly informative…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-22 Andrew Gelman , Daniel Simpson , Michael Betancourt

We consider the task of verifying the correctness of quantum computation for a restricted class of circuits which contain at most two basis changes. This contains circuits giving rise to the second level of the Fourier Hierarchy, the lowest…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-04-18 Tommaso F. Demarie , Yingkai Ouyang , Joseph F. Fitzsimons

The model checking problem for various fragments of first-order logic has attracted much attention over the last two decades: in particular, for the primitive positive and the positive Horn fragments, which are better known as the…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2012-10-26 Florent Madelaine , Barnaby Martin

This paper is about models for a vector of probabilities whose elements must have a multiplicative structure and sum to 1 at the same time; in certain applications, as basket analysis, these models may be seen as a constrained version of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-17 Antonio Forcina

Incorporating constraints is a major concern in probabilistic machine learning. A wide variety of problems require predictions to be integrated with reasoning about constraints, from modelling routes on maps to approving loan predictions.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-31 Ioannis Papantonis , Vaishak Belle

Advancements in computational power and methodologies have enabled research on massive datasets. However, tools for analyzing data with directional or periodic characteristics, such as wind directions and customers' arrival time in 24-hour…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-07 Xiang Ye , Janet Van Niekerk , Håvard Rue

A new class of general exponential ranking models is introduced which we label angle-based models for ranking data. A consensus score vector is assumed, which assigns scores to a set of items, where the scores reflect a consensus view of…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-27 Hang Xu , Mayer Alvo , Philip L. H. Yu

A simple criterion is derived in order that a number sequence ${\cal S}_n$ is a permitted spectrum of a quantized system. The sequence of the prime numbers fulfils the criterion and the corresponding one-dimensional quantum potential is…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 G. Mussardo

Bayesian methods have proven themselves to be successful across a wide range of scientific problems and have many well-documented advantages over competing methods. However, these methods run into difficulties for two major and prevalent…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-29 John R. Lewis , Steven N. MacEachern , Yoonkyung Lee

Orthogonal polynomial approximations form the foundation to a set of well-established methods for uncertainty quantification known as polynomial chaos. These approximations deliver models for emulating physical systems in a variety of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-03-23 Chun Yui Wong , Pranay Seshadri , Andrew B. Duncan , Ashley Scillitoe , Geoffrey Parks

Nowadays model uncertainty has become one of the most important problems in both academia and industry. In this paper, we mainly consider the scenario in which we have a common model set used for model averaging instead of selecting a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-26 Yimin Huang , Weiran Huang , Liang Li , Zhenguo Li

This paper presents a novel approach for augmenting proof-based verification with performance-style analysis of the kind employed in state-of-the-art model checking tools for probabilistic systems. Quantitative safety properties usually…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2009-12-11 Ukachukwu Ndukwu

We develop the theory and practice of an approach to modelling and probabilistic inference in causal networks that is suitable when application-specific or analysis-specific constraints should inform such inference or when little or no data…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-05-16 Paul Beaumont , Michael Huth

A substantial school in the philosophy of science identifies Bayesian inference with inductive inference and even rationality as such, and seems to be strengthened by the rise and practical success of Bayesian statistics. We argue that the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-21 Andrew Gelman , Cosma Rohilla Shalizi

Cross-validation is one of the most popular model selection methods in statistics and machine learning. Despite its wide applicability, traditional cross validation methods tend to select overfitting models, due to the ignorance of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-25 Jing Lei

High complexity models are notorious in machine learning for overfitting, a phenomenon in which models well represent data but fail to generalize an underlying data generating process. A typical procedure for circumventing overfitting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-11 James Schmidt

Comparisons of different treatments or production processes are the goals of a significant fraction of applied research. Unsurprisingly, two-sample problems play a main role in Statistics through natural questions such as `Is the the new…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-05 P. C. Álvarez-Esteban , E. del Barrio , J. A. Cuesta-Albertos , C. Matrán

Boolean automata networks, genetic regulation networks, and metabolic networks are just a few examples of biological modelling by discrete dynamical systems (DDS). A major issue in modelling is the verification of the model against the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-11-26 Alberto Dennunzio , Enrico Formenti , Luciano Margara , Valentin Montmirail , Sara Riva

A well motivated method for demonstrating that an experiment resists any classical explanation is to show that its statistics violate generalized noncontextuality. We here formulate this problem as a linear program and provide an…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-04-05 John H. Selby , Elie Wolfe , David Schmid , Ana Belén Sainz , Vinicius P. Rossi

For a first-order theory $T$, the Constraint Satisfaction Problem of $T$ is the computational problem of deciding whether a given conjunction of atomic formulas is satisfiable in some model of $T$. In this article we develop sufficient…

Logic · Mathematics 2020-12-03 Manuel Bodirsky , Johannes Greiner
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