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Online social media are key platforms for the public to discuss political issues. As a result, researchers have used data from these platforms to analyze public opinions and forecast election results. Recent studies reveal the existence of…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-06-03 Kai-Cheng Yang , Pik-Mai Hui , Filippo Menczer

We introduce a voting model that is similar to a Keynesian beauty contest and analyze it from a mathematical point of view. There are two types of voters-copycat and independent-and two candidates. Our voting model is a binomial…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-13 Masato Hisakado , Shintaro Mori

Most of the conventional models for opinion dynamics mainly account for a fully local influence, where myopic agents decide their actions after they interact with other agents that are adjacent to them. For example, in the case of social…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-05-10 Babak Fotouhi , Michael G. Rabbat

Since Downs proposed that the act of voting is irrational in 1957, myriad models have been proposed to explain voting and account for observed turnout patterns. We propose a model in which partisans consider both the instrumental and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-03-24 Cameron Guage , Feng Fu

We consider two-opinion voter models on dense dynamic random graphs. Our goal is to understand and describe the occurrence of consensus versus polarisation over long periods of time. The former means that all vertices have the same opinion,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-29 Simone Baldassarri , Peter Braunsteins , Frank den Hollander , Michel Mandjes

When making simultaneous decisions, our preference for the outcomes on one subset can depend on the outcomes on a disjoint subset. In referendum elections, this gives rise to the separability problem, where a voter must predict the outcome…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2020-06-08 Andrew Beveridge , Ian Calaway

In this work, we investigate interactions that simultaneously order a system locally, while keeping it globally disordered. The study is done in the context of the emergence of diversity in opinion propagation models with interactions…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-09-20 André M. Timpanaro

We study how motivated reasoning affects the provision of climate policy in an electoral competition framework. Voters experience anticipatory disutility when future outcomes appear grim and may therefore distort beliefs in response to…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-01-14 Philipp Denter

In the framework of the three-party constrained voter model, where voters of two radical parties (A and B) interact with "centrists" (C and Cz), we study the competition between a persuasive majority and a committed minority. In this model,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-04-02 Mauro Mobilia

Election results are determined by numerous social factors that affect the formation of opinion of the voters, including the network of interactions between them and the dynamics of opinion influence. In this work we study the result of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 Gonzalo Travieso , Luciano da Fontoura Costa

This paper presents mathematics relevant to the question whether voting should be mandatory. Assuming a static distribution of voters' political beliefs, we model how politicians might adjust their positions to raise their share of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-10-24 Christoph Börgers , Natasa Dragovic , Anna Haensch , Arkadz Kirshtein , Lilla Orr

We investigate a nonlinear version of coevolving voter models, in which node states and network structure update as a coupled stochastic dynamical process. Most prior work on coevolving voter models has focused on linear update rules with…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-01 Yacoub H. Kureh , Mason A. Porter

A recently proposed model of social interaction in voting is investigated by simplifying it down into a version that is more analytically tractable and which allows a mathematical analysis to be performed. This analysis clarifies the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-07-20 Luis F. Lafuerza , Louise Dyson , Bruce Edmonds , Alan J. McKane

We propose an exactly solvable model for the dynamics of voters in a two-party system. The opinion formation process is modeled on a random network of agents. The dynamical nature of interpersonal relations is also reflected in the model,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 I. J. Benczik , S. Z. Benczik , B. Schmittmann , R. K. P. Zia

The original Leader-Follower (LF) model partitions all agents whose opinion is a number in $[-1,1]$ to a follower group, a leader group with a positive target opinion in $[0,1]$ and a leader group with a negative target opinion in $[-1,0]$.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-07-07 Hsin-Lun Li

We survey the coevolutionary dynamics of network topology and group interactions in opinion formation, grounded on a coevolving nonlinear voter model. The coevolving nonlinear voter model incorporates two mechanisms: group interactions…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-11-13 Byungjoon Min

We propose a new analytical method to study stochastic, binary-state models on complex networks. Moving beyond the usual mean-field theories, this alternative approach is based on the introduction of an annealed approximation for…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-04-21 Adrián Carro , Raúl Toral , Maxi San Miguel

The Hotelling-Downs model considers parties changing policy to maximise their vote-share. Where policy position lies on a left-right axis, it describes a tendency for political parties to move towards centrist platforms. This is in contrast…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-05-12 Christopher Campbell , Graeme J. Ackland

We introduce a single-winner perspective on voting on matchings, in which voters have preferences over possible matchings in a graph, and the goal is to select a single collectively desirable matching. Unlike in classical matching problems,…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-01-28 Niclas Boehmer , Jessica Dierking

We introduce an asymmetric noisy voter model to study the joint effect of immigration and a competition-dispersal tradeoff in the dynamics of two species competing for space in regular lattices. Individuals of one species can invade a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-03-17 Ricardo Martinez-Garcia , Cristóbal López , Federico Vazquez