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Schr\"odinger bridge (SB) has emerged as the go-to method for optimizing transportation plans in diffusion models. However, SB requires estimating the intractable forward score functions, inevitably resulting in the costly implicit training…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Wei Deng , Weijian Luo , Yixin Tan , Marin Biloš , Yu Chen , Yuriy Nevmyvaka , Ricky T. Q. Chen

This paper proposes a Separable Projective Approximation Routine-Optimal Power Flow (SPAR-OPF) framework for solving two-stage stochastic optimization problems in power systems. The framework utilizes a separable piecewise linear…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-25 Shishir Lamichhane , Abodh Poudyal , Nicholas R. Jones , Bala Krishnamoorthy , Anamika Dubey

This work addresses the challenges of robust covariance estimation and interpretable outlier detection for multivariate functional data with separable covariance structure. We develop a method that simultaneously improves robustness and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-21 Marcus Mayrhofer , Una Radojičić , Horst Lewitschnig , Peter Filzmoser

Computing the conditional mode of a distribution, better known as the $\mathit{maximum\ a\ posteriori}$ (MAP) assignment, is a fundamental task in probabilistic inference. However, MAP estimation is generally intractable, and remains hard…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-23 Matthew Shorvon , Frederik Mallmann-Trenn , David S. Watson

In this paper we relate the partition function to the max-statistics of random variables. In particular, we provide a novel framework for approximating and bounding the partition function using MAP inference on randomly perturbed models. As…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-03 Tamir Hazan , Tommi Jaakkola

MAP is the problem of finding a most probable instantiation of a set of variables given evidence. MAP has always been perceived to be significantly harder than the related problems of computing the probability of a variable instantiation…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-07-04 A. Darwiche , J. D. Park

The estimation of the covariance matrix is an initial step in many multivariate statistical methods such as principal components analysis and factor analysis, but in many practical applications the dimensionality of the sample space is…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-06-12 Søren Feodor Nielsen , Jon Sporring

Asynchronous stochastic gradient descent (ASGD) is a popular parallel optimization algorithm in machine learning. Most theoretical analysis on ASGD take a discrete view and prove upper bounds for their convergence rates. However, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-09 Li He , Qi Meng , Wei Chen , Zhi-Ming Ma , Tie-Yan Liu

Maximum likelihood estimation of large Markov-switching vector autoregressions (MS-VARs) can be challenging or infeasible due to parameter proliferation. To accommodate situations where dimensionality may be of comparable order to or…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-07-28 Kenwin Maung

Maximum a Posteriori assignment (MAP) is the problem of finding the most probable instantiation of a set of variables given the partial evidence on the other variables in a Bayesian network. MAP has been shown to be a NP-hard problem [22],…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-19 Changhe Yuan , Tsai-Ching Lu , Marek J. Druzdzel

We analyse a multilevel Monte Carlo method for the approximation of distribution functions of univariate random variables. Since, by assumption, the target distribution is not known explicitly, approximations have to be used. We provide an…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-22 Mike B. Giles , Tigran Nagapetyan , Klaus Ritter

Four-dimensional variational data assimilation (4DVar) has become an increasingly important tool in data science with wide applications in many engineering and scientific fields such as geoscience1-12, biology13 and the financial…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-05-28 Xiangjun Tian , Aiguo Dai , Xiaobing Feng , Hongqin Zhang , Rui Han , Lu Zhang

We propose a multilevel stochastic approximation (MLSA) scheme for the computation of the value-at-risk (VaR) and expected shortfall (ES) of a financial loss, which can only be computed via simulations conditionally on the realisation of…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-14 Stéphane Crépey , Noufel Frikha , Azar Louzi

We introduce a formulation of optimal transport problem for distributions on function spaces, where the stochastic map between functional domains can be partially represented in terms of an (infinite-dimensional) Hilbert-Schmidt operator…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-29 Jiacheng Zhu , Aritra Guha , Dat Do , Mengdi Xu , XuanLong Nguyen , Ding Zhao

Optimal paths for the classical Onsager-Machlup function determining most probable paths between points on a manifold are only explicitly identified for specific processes, for example the Riemannian Brownian motion. This leaves out large…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-19 Erlend Grong , Stefan Sommer

The emergence of transition phenomena between metastable states induced by noise plays a fundamental role in a broad range of nonlinear systems. The computation of the most probable paths is a key issue to understand the mechanism of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-01-27 Yang Li , Jinqiao Duan , Xianbin Liu

We consider the stochastic shortest path planning problem in MDPs, i.e., the problem of designing policies that ensure reaching a goal state from a given initial state with minimum accrued cost. In order to account for rare but important…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-30 Mohamadreza Ahmadi , Anushri Dixit , Joel W. Burdick , Aaron D. Ames

Atypically large fluctuations in macroscopic non-equilibrium systems continue to attract interest. Their probability can often be determined by the optimal fluctuation method (OFM). The OFM brings about a conditional variational problem,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-01-01 Alexander K. Hartmann , Baruch Meerson , Pavel Sasorov

We systematically investigate different versions of variational perturbation theory by forcing not only the first or second but also higher derivatives of the approximant with respect to the variational parameter to vanish. The choice of…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2016-11-23 Bodo Hamprecht , Axel Pelster

We develop a stochastic formulation of the optimally-tuned range-separated hybrid density functional theory which enables significant reduction of the computational effort and scaling of the non-local exchange operator at the price of…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2016-09-28 Daniel Neuhauser , Eran Rabani , Yael Cytter , Roi Baer