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The effect of perturbations of parameters for uniquely convergent imprecise Markov chains is studied. We provide the maximal distance between the distributions of original and perturbed chain and maximal degree of imprecision, given the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-29 Damjan Škulj

Large deviation results are given for a class of perturbed nonhomogeneous Markov chains on finite state space which formally includes some stochastic optimization algorithms. Specifically, let {P_n} be a sequence of transition matrices on a…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Zach Dietz , Sunder Sethuraman

We give a simple polynomial-time approximation algorithm for the total variation distance between two product distributions.

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-02-14 Weiming Feng , Heng Guo , Mark Jerrum , Jiaheng Wang

The cutoff phenomenon describes the case when an abrupt transition occurs in the convergence of a Markov chain to its equilibrium measure. There are various metrics which can be used to measure the distance to equilibrium, each of which…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-29 Jonathan Hermon , Hubert Lacoin , Yuval Peres

Parametric Interval Markov Chains (pIMCs) are a specification formalism that extend Markov Chains (MCs) and Interval Markov Chains (IMCs) by taking into account imprecision in the transition probability values: transitions in pIMCs are…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2017-06-02 Anicet Bart , Benoit Delahaye , Didier Lime , Eric Monfroy , Charlotte Truchet

Given two weighted automata, we consider the problem of whether one is big-O of the other, i.e., if the weight of every finite word in the first is not greater than some constant multiple of the weight in the second. We show that the…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2023-06-22 Dmitry Chistikov , Stefan Kiefer , Andrzej S. Murawski , David Purser

Motivated by applications arising in networked systems, this work examines controlled regime-switching systems that stem from a mean-variance formulation. A main point is that the switching process is a hidden Markov chain. An additional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-01-21 Zhixin Yang , George Yin , Qing Zhang

Probabilistic context-free grammars (PCFGs) are used to define distributions over strings, and are powerful modelling tools in a number of areas, including natural language processing, software engineering, model checking, bio-informatics,…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2014-07-08 Colin de la Higuera , James Scicluna , Mark-Jan Nederhof

In this paper, we give quantitative bounds on the $f$-total variation distance from convergence of an Harris recurrent Markov chain on an arbitrary under drift and minorisation conditions implying ergodicity at a sub-geometric rate. These…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Randal Douc , Eric Moulines , Philippe Soulier

We consider the problem of approximating the reachability probabilities in Markov decision processes (MDP) with uncountable (continuous) state and action spaces. While there are algorithms that, for special classes of such MDP, provide a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-13 Kush Grover , Jan Křetínský , Tobias Meggendorfer , Maximilian Weininger

A labelled Markov decision process (MDP) is a labelled Markov chain with nondeterminism; i.e., together with a strategy a labelled MDP induces a labelled Markov chain. The model is related to interval Markov chains. Motivated by…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2024-07-01 Stefan Kiefer , Qiyi Tang

In this paper we establish a large deviations type estimate for strongly mixing Markov chains with respect to the Lp norm. As applications we derive such estimates for the iterates of a locally constant random cocycle with mixed rank, as…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-02-10 Anselmo Pontes

We are interested in the estimation of the distance in total variation $$ \Delta := \|P_{f(X)} - P_{g(X)}\|_{\mathrm var} $$ between distributions of random variables $f(X)$ and $g(X)$ in terms of proximity of $f$ and $g.$ We propose a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-21 Youri Davydov

Stationary ergodic processes with finite alphabets are estimated by finite memory processes from a sample, an n-length realization of the process, where the memory depth of the estimator process is also estimated from the sample using…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-07-25 Zsolt Talata

Hidden Markov Chains (HMCs) are commonly used mathematical models of probabilistic systems. They are employed in various fields such as speech recognition, signal processing, and biological sequence analysis. We consider the problem of…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2016-05-10 Stefan Kiefer , A. Prasad Sistla

The paper studies upper bounds for the total variation distance between two polynomials of a special form in random vectors satisfying the Doeblin-type condition. Our approach is based on the recent results concerning Nikolskii--Besov-type…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-07 Egor Kosov , Anastasia Zhukova

Let $S_N$ be the sum of vector-valued functions defined on a finite Markov chain. An analogue of the Bernstein--Hoeffding inequality is derived for the probability of large deviations of $S_N$ and relates the probability to the spectral gap…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Vladislav Kargin

Markov chains and diffusion processes are indispensable tools in machine learning and statistics that are used for inference, sampling, and modeling. With the growth of large-scale datasets, the computational cost associated with simulating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-31 Jonathan H. Huggins , James Zou

Under polynomial time reduction, the maximum likelihood decoding of a linear code is equivalent to computing the error distance of a received word. It is known that the decoding complexity of standard Reed-Solomon codes at certain radius is…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-13 Li Yujuan , Zhu Guizhen

We study the frontier between learnable and unlearnable hidden Markov models (HMMs). HMMs are flexible tools for clustering dependent data coming from unknown populations. The model parameters are known to be fully identifiable (up to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-25 Kweku Abraham , Zacharie Naulet , Elisabeth Gassiat