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Unreliable predictions can occur when using artificial intelligence (AI) systems with negative consequences for downstream applications, particularly when employed for decision-making. Conformal prediction provides a model-agnostic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-15 Geethen Singh , Glenn Moncrieff , Zander Venter , Kerry Cawse-Nicholson , Jasper Slingsby , Tamara B Robinson

Multi-category data arise in diverse fields including marketing, chemistry, public policy, genomics, political science, and ecology. We consider the problem of estimating ratios of category-specific means in a fully nonparametric setting,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-29 Grant Hopkins , Sarah Teichman , Ellen Graham , Amy D Willis

Electrochemical impedance spectroscopy (EIS) is an effective method for studying the electrochemical systems. The interpretation of EIS is the biggest challenge in this technology, which requires reasonable modeling. However, the modeling…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-07-04 Shan Zhu , Xinyang Sun , Yuxuan Wang , Naiqin Zhao , Junwei Sha

In this paper, we propose deep learning techniques for econometrics, specifically for causal inference and for estimating individual as well as average treatment effects. The contribution of this paper is twofold: 1. For generalized…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-03-02 Vikas Ramachandra

Humans do not memorize everything. Thus, humans recognize scene changes by exploring the past images. However, available past (i.e., reference) images typically represent nearby viewpoints of the present (i.e., query) scene, rather than the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-06-16 Kyusik Cho , Suhan Woo , Hongje Seong , Euntai Kim

We study causal effect estimation in a setting where the data are not i.i.d. (independent and identically distributed). We focus on exchangeable data satisfying an assumption of independent causal mechanisms. Traditional causal effect…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-30 Siyuan Guo , Chi Zhang , Karthika Mohan , Ferenc Huszár , Bernhard Schölkopf

Statistical models often require inputs that are not completely known. This can occur when inputs are measured with error, indirectly, or when they are predicted using another model. In environmental epidemiology, air pollution exposure is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-23 Konstantin Larin , Daniel R. Kowal

We introduce two criteria to regularize the optimization involved in learning a classifier in a domain where no annotated data are available, leveraging annotated data in a different domain, a problem known as unsupervised domain…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-04-13 Yanchao Yang , Dong Lao , Ganesh Sundaramoorthi , Stefano Soatto

Economic assessment in environmental science concerns the measurement or valuation of environmental impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability. Integrated assessment modeling is a unifying framework of environmental economics, which attempts to…

General Economics · Economics 2020-09-02 Ruda Zhang , Patrick Wingo , Rodrigo Duran , Kelly Rose , Jennifer Bauer , Roger Ghanem

Causal inference is essential for data-driven decision making across domains such as business engagement, medical treatment and policy making. However, research on causal discovery has evolved separately from inference methods, preventing…

Consider the following estimation problem: there are $n$ entities, each with an unknown parameter $p_i \in [0,1]$, and we observe $n$ independent random variables, $X_1,\ldots,X_n$, with $X_i \sim $ Binomial$(t, p_i)$. How accurately can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-23 Kevin Tian , Weihao Kong , Gregory Valiant

Ecosystems tend to fluctuate around stable equilibria in response to internal dynamics and environmental factors. Occasionally, they enter an unstable tipping region and collapse into an alternative stable state. Our understanding of how…

Understanding environment dynamics is necessary for robots to act safely and optimally in the world. In realistic scenarios, dynamics are non-stationary and the causal variables such as environment parameters cannot necessarily be precisely…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-03-11 Ben Evans , Abitha Thankaraj , Lerrel Pinto

Causal inference in observational studies is notoriously difficult, due to the fact that the experimenter is not in charge of the treatment assignment mechanism. Many potential con- founding factors (PCFs) exist in such a scenario, and if…

Applications · Statistics 2015-09-15 Vadim von Brzeski , Matt Taddy , David Draper

In automatic emotion recognition (AER), labels assigned by different human annotators to the same utterance are often inconsistent due to the inherent complexity of emotion and the subjectivity of perception. Though deterministic labels…

Sound · Computer Science 2024-04-02 Wen Wu , Chao Zhang , Philip C. Woodland

Identifying dynamical systems from experimental data is a notably difficult task. Prior knowledge generally helps, but the extent of this knowledge varies with the application, and customized models are often needed. Neural ordinary…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-13 Mona Buisson-Fenet , Valery Morgenthaler , Sebastian Trimpe , Florent Di Meglio

Equations governing physico-chemical processes are usually known at microscopic spatial scales, yet one suspects that there exist equations, e.g. in the form of Partial Differential Equations (PDEs), that can explain the system evolution at…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-31 Hassan Arbabi , Ioannis Kevrekidis

Real-world generalization, e.g., deciding to approach a never-seen-before animal, relies on contextual information as well as previous experiences. Such a seemingly easy behavioral choice requires the interplay of multiple neural…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-17 Peer Herholz , Eddy Fortier , Mariya Toneva , Nicolas Farrugia , Leila Wehbe , Valentina Borghesani

An AI-based Limited-Area Model (LAM) is developed for dynamical downscaling over the Southern Great Plains and the southeastern United States, with strong generalization abilities under diverse boundary conditions. The model is trained…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-02-25 Yingkai Sha , Tracy Hertneky , Ethan Gutmann , Seth McGinnis , Rachel McCrary , Lulin Xue , David John Gagne , Kathryn Newman , Andrew Newman

EEG is a non-invasive, safe, and low-risk method to record electrophysiological signals inside the brain. Especially with recent technology developments like dry electrodes, consumer-grade EEG devices, and rapid advances in machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-23 Tri Duc Ly , Gia H. Ngo