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We consider the problem of low probability estimation: given a machine learning model and a formally-specified input distribution, how can we estimate the probability of a binary property of the model's output, even when that probability is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-07 Gabriel Wu , Jacob Hilton

In compositional model-theoretic semantics, researchers assemble truth-conditions or other kinds of denotations using the lambda calculus. It was previously observed that the lambda terms and/or the denotations studied tend to follow the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2016-07-11 Jirka Maršík , Maxime Amblard

Results of simulation studies evaluating the performance of statistical methods are often considered actionable and thus can have a major impact on the way empirical research is implemented. However, so far there is limited evidence about…

Probabilistic control design is founded on the principle that a rational agent attempts to match modelled with an arbitrary desired closed-loop system trajectory density. The framework was originally proposed as a tractable alternative to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-16 Tom Lefebvre

We consider the problem of model building for rare events prediction in longitudinal follow-up studies. In this paper, we compare several resampling methods to improve standard regression models on a real life example. We evaluate the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-21 Pierre Druilhet , Mathieu Berthe , Stéphanie Léger

Probabilistic Logic Programming is an effective formalism for encoding problems characterized by uncertainty. Some of these problems may require the optimization of probability values subject to constraints among probability distributions…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-06-22 Damiano Azzolini , Fabrizio Riguzzi

The theory of finite and infinitary term rewriting is extensively developed for orthogonal rewrite systems, but to a lesser degree for weakly orthogonal rewrite systems. In this note we present some contributions to the latter case of weak…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2009-11-06 Joerg Endrullis , Clemens Grabmayer , Dimitri Hendriks , Jan Willem Klop

Distributionally robust control is a well-studied framework for optimal decision making under uncertainty, with the objective of minimizing an expected cost function over control actions, assuming the most adverse probability distribution…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-12 Alexandros E. Tzikas , Lukas Fiechtner , Arec Jamgochian , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

Usually, probabilistic automata and probabilistic grammars have crisp symbols as inputs, which can be viewed as the formal models of computing with values. In this paper, we first introduce probabilistic automata and probabilistic grammars…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Yongzhi Cao , Lirong Xia , Mingsheng Ying

We study decision dependent distributionally robust optimization models, where the ambiguity sets of probability distributions can depend on the decision variables. These models arise in situations with endogenous uncertainty. The developed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-06-26 Fengqiao Luo , Sanjay Mehrotra

A convenient framework for dealing with asymptotic limit problems of probabilistic nature is provided. These problems include questions such as finding the asymptotic proportion of terms of a sequence falling inside a given interval, or the…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2024-04-08 Michaël Bensimhoun

All current investigations to analyze the derivational complexity of term rewrite systems are based on a single termination method, possibly preceded by transformations. However, the exclusive use of direct criteria is problematic due to…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2015-07-01 Harald Zankl , Martin Korp

A short sample sequence of a finite-length pulse signal allows for its reconstruction only if the signal has a sparse representation in some basis. The recurrence of the pulse allows for a statistical approach to its reconstruction. We…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-15 Marek W. Rupniewski

Modern neural network architectures still struggle to learn algorithmic procedures that require to systematically apply compositional rules to solve out-of-distribution problem instances. In this work, we focus on formula simplification…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-07-15 Flavio Petruzzellis , Alberto Testolin , Alessandro Sperduti

Deep learning requires regularization mechanisms to reduce overfitting and improve generalization. We address this problem by a new regularization method based on distributional robust optimization. The key idea is to modify the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-08 Aurora Cobo Aguilera , Antonio Artés-Rodríguez , Fernando Pérez-Cruz , Pablo Martínez Olmos

In this work, we discuss what we refer to as reduction techniques for survival analysis, that is, techniques that "reduce" a survival task to a more common regression or classification task, without ignoring the specifics of survival data.…

The notion of normal forms is ubiquitous in various equivalent transformations. Confluence (CR), one of the central properties of term rewriting systems (TRSs), concerns uniqueness of normal forms. Yet another such property, which is weaker…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2018-07-04 Takahito Aoto , Yoshihito Toyama

We study a class of ordinary differential equations with a non-Lipschitz point singularity, which admit non-unique solutions through this point. As a selection criterion, we introduce stochastic regularizations depending on the parameter…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-11-20 Theodore D. Drivas , Alexei A. Mailybaev , Artem Raibekas

Some empirical results are more likely to be published than others. Such selective publication leads to biased estimates and distorted inference. This paper proposes two approaches for identifying the conditional probability of publication…

Econometrics · Economics 2017-11-30 Isaiah Andrews , Maximilian Kasy

Language models (LM) are capable of remarkably complex linguistic tasks; however, numerical reasoning is an area in which they frequently struggle. An important but rarely evaluated form of reasoning is understanding probability…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-10-01 Akshay Paruchuri , Jake Garrison , Shun Liao , John Hernandez , Jacob Sunshine , Tim Althoff , Xin Liu , Daniel McDuff