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During the summer melt period, ponds form on the surface of Arctic sea ice as it melts, with important consequences for ice evolution and marine ecology. Due to the ice-albedo feedback, these melt ponds experience uneven heat absorption,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-12-16 Wilfred Offord , Michael Coughlan , Ian J. Hewitt , Heather A. Harrington , Gillian Grindstaff

During the summer, vast regions of Arctic sea ice are covered by meltwater ponds that significantly lower the ice reflectivity and accelerate melting. Ponds develop over the melt season through an initial rapid growth stage followed by…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2022-03-09 Predrag Popović , Mary C. Silber , Dorian S. Abbot

Perhaps the most iconic feature of melting Arctic sea ice is the formation of distinctive, complex ponds on its surface during late spring. The evolution of melt ponds and their geometrical characteristics determines the albedo of sea ice,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-08-11 Yi-Ping Ma , Ivan Sudakov , Courtenay Strong , Kenneth M. Golden

Our ability to predict the future of Arctic sea ice is limited by ice's sensitivity to detailed surface conditions such as the distribution of snow and melt ponds. Snow on top of the ice decreases ice's thermal conductivity, increases its…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2022-03-09 Predrag Popović , Justin Finkel , Mary C. Silber , Dorian S. Abbot

Understanding how sea ice melts is critical to climate projections. In the Arctic, melt ponds that develop on the surface of sea ice floes during the late spring and summer largely determine their albedo -- a key parameter in climate…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2017-11-28 Ivan Sudakov , Sergey A. Vakulenko , Kenneth M. Golden

We present a mathematical model describing the evolution of sea ice and meltwater during summer. The system is described by two coupled partial differential equations for the ice thickness $h$ and pond depth $w$ fields. We test the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-03-19 Andrea Scagliarini , Enrico Calzavarini , Daniela Mansutti , Federico Toschi

Observations indicate that the Arctic sea ice cover is rapidly retreating while the Antarctic sea ice cover is steadily expanding. State-of-the-art climate models, by contrast, typically simulate a moderate decrease in both the Arctic and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-10-11 Erica Rosenblum , Ian Eisenman

A controlling factor in the seasonal and climatological evolution of the sea ice cover is its albedo $\alpha$. Here we analyze Arctic data from the Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) Polar Pathfinder and assess the seasonality…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2011-10-31 S. Agarwal , W. Moon , J. S. Wettlaufer

Melting and solidification processes, intertwined with convective flows, play a fundamental role in geophysical contexts. One of these processes is the formation of melt ponds on glaciers, ice shelves, and sea ice. It is driven by solar…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-06-18 Rui Yang , Christopher J. Howland , Hao-Ran Liu , Roberto Verzicco , Detlef Lohse

Sea ice, or frozen ocean water, freezes and melts every year in the Arctic. Forecasts of where sea ice will be located weeks to months in advance have become more important as the amount of sea ice declines due to climate change, for…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-11 Hannah M. Director , Adrian E. Raftery , Cecilia M. Bitz

It has been widely debated whether Arctic sea-ice loss can reach a tipping point beyond which a large sea-ice area disappears abruptly. The theory of dynamical systems predicts a slowing down when a system destabilises towards a tipping…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-01-26 Sebastian Bathiany , Bregje van der Bolt , Mark S. Williamson , Timothy M. Lenton , Marten Scheffer , Egbert van Nes , Dirk Notz

Arctic sea ice is rapidly retreating due to global warming, and emerging evidence suggests that the rate of decline may have been underestimated. A key factor contributing to this underestimation is the coarse resolution of current climate…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-10 Ruijian Gou , Gerrit Lohmann , Deliang Chen , Shiming Xu , Ruiqi Shu , Shaoqing Zhang , Lixin Wu

Accurate simulation of sea ice is critical for predictions of future Arctic sea ice loss, looming climate change impacts, and more. A key feature in Arctic sea ice is the formation of melt ponds. Each year melt ponds develop on the surface…

Computational Physics · Physics 2023-04-13 Simon Driscoll , Alberto Carrassi , Julien Brajard , Laurent Bertino , Marc Bocquet , Einar Olason

During summer, melt ponds have a significant influence on Arctic sea-ice albedo. The melt pond fraction (MPF) also has the ability to forecast the Arctic sea-ice in a certain period. It is important to retrieve accurate melt pond fraction…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-04-17 Qi Liu , Yawen Zhang , Qin Lv , Li Shang

Several environmental tipping points and self-reinforcing feedback loops are still disregarded within the frequently used climate models. Thus, existing climate models are not very representative for providing projections of the conditions…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-08-09 Beril Sirmacek

The only source of ice formation in the Arctic during summer is a layer of ice called false-bottoms between an under-ice melt pond and the underlying ocean. Of interest is to give a mathematical model in order to determine the simultaneous…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2013-12-17 Phan Thanh Nam , Alain Pham Ngoc Dinh , Pham Hoang Quan , Dang Duc Trong

A better understanding of the ice-ocean couplings is required to better characterise the hydrosphere of the icy moons. Using global numerical simulations in spherical geometry, we have investigated here the interplay between rotating…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2024-12-16 T. Gastine , B. Favier

The variation in the Arctic sea ice is dominated by the seasonal cycle with little inter-annual correlation. Though the mean sea ice area has decreased steadily in the period of satellite observations, a dramatic transition in the dynamics…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2012-09-20 Peter D. Ditlevsen

Ponds are universally used to store water for a large number of uses. With the increasing demand for more fresh water, ponds, lakes and reservoirs are likely to be constructed on a larger scale. We must understand the effects of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-05-08 James D. Brownridge

We report on the shape dynamics of ice suspended in cold fresh water and subject to the natural convective flows generated during melting. Experiments reveal shape motifs for increasing far-field temperature: Sharp pinnacles directed…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-02-09 Scott Weady , Joshua Tong , Alexandra Zidovska , Leif Ristroph
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