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Related papers: Adversarial Time-to-Event Modeling

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Joint models for longitudinal and time-to-event data are commonly used in longitudinal studies to forecast disease trajectories over time. While there are many advantages to joint modeling, the standard forms suffer from limitations that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-09 Bryan Lim , Mihaela van der Schaar

It is necessary to improve the performance of some special classes or to particularly protect them from attacks in adversarial learning. This paper proposes a framework combining cost-sensitive classification and adversarial learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-24 Haojing Shen , Sihong Chen , Ran Wang , Xizhao Wang

Predicting time-to-event outcomes in large databases can be a challenging but important task. One example of this is in predicting the time to a clinical outcome for patients in intensive care units (ICUs), which helps to support critical…

Computation · Statistics 2019-08-06 Yingying Xu , Joon Lee , Joel A. Dubin

Scoring systems are highly interpretable and widely used to evaluate time-to-event outcomes in healthcare research. However, existing time-to-event scores are predominantly created ad-hoc using a few manually selected variables based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-11 Feng Xie , Yilin Ning , Han Yuan , Benjamin Alan Goldstein , Marcus Eng Hock Ong , Nan Liu , Bibhas Chakraborty

Survival analysis (SA) models have been widely studied in mining electronic health records (EHRs), particularly in forecasting the risk of critical conditions for prioritizing high-risk patients. However, their vulnerability to adversarial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-30 Mohsen Nayebi Kerdabadi , Arya Hadizadeh Moghaddam , Bin Liu , Mei Liu , Zijun Yao

Two useful strategies to speed up drug development are to increase the patient accrual rate and use novel adaptive designs. Unfortunately, these two strategies often conflict when the evaluation of the outcome cannot keep pace with the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-24 Ruitao Lin , Ying Yuan

With the availability of massive amounts of data from electronic health records and registry databases, incorporating time-varying patient information to improve risk prediction has attracted great attention. To exploit the growing amount…

Applications · Statistics 2022-08-29 Yifei Sun , Sy Han Chiou , Colin O. Wu , Meghan McGarry , Chiung-Yu Huang

Survival analysis is a fundamental tool for modeling time-to-event outcomes in healthcare. Recent advances have introduced flexible neural network approaches for improved predictive performance. However, most of these models do not provide…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-10 Mert Ketenci , Vincent Jeanselme , Harry Reyes Nieva , Shalmali Joshi , Noémie Elhadad

Models for predicting the risk of cardiovascular events based on individual patient characteristics are important tools for managing patient care. Most current and commonly used risk prediction models have been built from carefully selected…

Accurate and explainable health event predictions are becoming crucial for healthcare providers to develop care plans for patients. The availability of electronic health records (EHR) has enabled machine learning advances in providing these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-18 Chang Lu , Chandan K. Reddy , Prithwish Chakraborty , Samantha Kleinberg , Yue Ning

The adversarial vulnerability of deep networks has spurred the interest of researchers worldwide. Unsurprisingly, like images, adversarial examples also translate to time-series data as they are an inherent weakness of the model itself…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-01 Shoaib Ahmed Siddiqui , Andreas Dengel , Sheraz Ahmed

Interval-censored competing risks data arise when each study subject may experience an event or failure from one of several causes and the failure time is not observed exactly but rather known to lie in an interval between two successive…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-02 Lu Mao , D. Y. Lin , Donglin Zeng

For many infectious disease outbreaks, the at-risk population changes their behavior in response to the outbreak severity, causing the transmission dynamics to change in real-time. Behavioral change is often ignored in epidemic modeling…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-25 Caitlin Ward , Rob Deardon , Alexandra M. Schmidt

Regulation, legal liabilities, and societal concerns challenge the adoption of AI in safety and security-critical applications. One of the key concerns is that adversaries can cause harm by manipulating model predictions without being…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-31 Jona Klemenc , Holger Trittenbach

Mathematical models of infectious diseases, which are in principle analytically tractable, use two general approaches. The first approach, generally known as compartmental modeling, addresses the time evolution of disease propagation at the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-09-16 Pierre-André Noël , Bahman Davoudi , Robert C. Brunham , Louis J. Dubé , Babak Pourbohloul

A core challenge in survival analysis is to model the distribution of censored time-to-event data, where the event of interest may be a death, failure, or occurrence of a specific event. Previous studies have showed that ranking and maximum…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-27 Liwen Zhang , Lianzhen Zhong , Fan Yang , Di Dong , Hui Hui , Jie Tian

We propose autoregressive Bayesian semi-parametric models for waiting times between recurrent events. The aim is two-fold: inference on the effect of possibly time-varying covariates on the gap times and clustering of individuals based on…

Applications · Statistics 2016-07-28 Marta Tallarita , Maria De Iorio , Alessandra Guglielmi , James Malone-Lee

In statistics, time-to-event analysis methods traditionally focus on the estimation of hazards. In recent years, machine learning methods have been proposed to directly predict the event times. We propose a method based on vine copula…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-16 Shenyi Pan , Harry Joe

Continuous-time event data are common in applications such as individual behavior data, financial transactions, and medical health records. Modeling such data can be very challenging, in particular for applications with many different types…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-09 Alex Boyd , Robert Bamler , Stephan Mandt , Padhraic Smyth

Machine learning based traffic forecasting models leverage sophisticated spatiotemporal auto-correlations to provide accurate predictions of city-wide traffic states. However, existing methods assume a reliable and unbiased forecasting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-07 Fan Liu , Hao Liu , Wenzhao Jiang