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Related papers: Adversarial Time-to-Event Modeling

200 papers

Survival analysis is a fundamental tool for modeling time-to-event data in healthcare, engineering, and finance, where censored observations pose significant challenges. While traditional methods like the Beran estimator offer nonparametric…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-13 Andrei V. Konstantinov , Vlada A. Efremenko , Lev V. Utkin

Often in Phase 3 clinical trials measuring a long-term time-to-event endpoint, such as overall survival or progression-free survival, investigators also collect repeated measures on biomarkers which may be predictive of the primary…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-30 Abigail J. Burdon , Lisa V. Hampson , Christopher Jennison

In time-to-event analyses in social sciences, there often exist endogenous time-varying variables, where the event status is correlated with the trajectory of the covariate itself. Ignoring this endogeneity will result in biased estimates.…

Applications · Statistics 2025-04-28 Sophie Potts , Anja Rappl , Karin Kurz , Elisabeth Bergherr

When data are right-censored, i.e. some outcomes are missing due to a limited period of observation, survival analysis can compute the "time to event". Multiple classes of outcomes lead to a classification variant: predicting the most…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Julie Alberge , Vincent Maladière , Olivier Grisel , Judith Abécassis , Gaël Varoquaux

Combining the increasing availability and abundance of healthcare data and the current advances in machine learning methods have created renewed opportunities to improve clinical decision support systems. However, in healthcare risk…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-17 Zidi Xiu , Chenyang Tao , Michael Gao , Connor Davis , Benjamin A. Goldstein , Ricardo Henao

This paper presents an approach to modeling progressive event-history data when the overall objective is prediction based on time-dependent covariates. This approach does not model the hazard function directly. Instead, it models the…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-09-07 Song Cai , James V. Zidek , Nathaniel Newlands

Learning models capable of providing reliable predictions in the face of adversarial actions has become a central focus of the machine learning community in recent years. This challenge arises from observing that data encountered at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-05 Marco C. Campi , Algo Carè , Luis G. Crespo , Simone Garatti , Federico A. Ramponi

Survival analysis is a critical tool for the modelling of time-to-event data, such as life expectancy after a cancer diagnosis or optimal maintenance scheduling for complex machinery. However, current neural network models provide an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-06 Fabio Luis de Mello , J Mark Wilkinson , Visakan Kadirkamanathan

The limitations resulting from the dichtomisation of continuous outcomes have been extensively described. But the need to present results based on binary outcomes in particular in health science remains. Alternatives based on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-15 Odile Sauzet

We introduce a new version of dynamic time warping for samples of observed event times that are modeled as time-warped intensity processes. Our approach is devel- oped within a framework where for each experimental unit or subject in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-11-07 Ana Arribas-Gil , Hans-Georg Müller

Event time models predict occurrence times of an event of interest based on known features. Recent work has demonstrated that neural networks achieve state-of-the-art event time predictions in a variety of settings. However, standard event…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-04-06 Matthew Engelhard , Samuel Berchuck , Joshua D'Arcy , Ricardo Henao

Survival analysis serves as a fundamental component in numerous healthcare applications, where the determination of the time to specific events (such as the onset of a certain disease or death) for patients is crucial for clinical…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-23 Siqi Li , Yuqing Shang , Ziwen Wang , Qiming Wu , Chuan Hong , Yilin Ning , Di Miao , Marcus Eng Hock Ong , Bibhas Chakraborty , Nan Liu

In multi-center clinical research, privacy regulations often prohibit pooling individual-level records, complicating the analysis of time-to-event data. Current federated survival methods frequently require iterative communication or rely…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-12 Hyojung Jang , Malcolm Risk , Yaojie Wang , Norrina Bai Allen , Xu Shi , Lili Zhao

A survival dataset describes a set of instances (e.g. patients) and provides, for each, either the time until an event (e.g. death), or the censoring time (e.g. when lost to follow-up - which is a lower bound on the time until the event).…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-22 Ali Hossein Gharari Foomani , Michael Cooper , Russell Greiner , Rahul G. Krishnan

Adverse events are a serious issue in drug development and many prediction methods using machine learning have been developed. The random split cross-validation is the de facto standard for model building and evaluation in machine learning,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-25 Katsuhisa Morita , Tadahaya Mizuno , Hiroyuki Kusuhara

Survival analysis aims to estimate a time-to-event distribution from data with censored observations. Many existing methods either impose structural assumptions on the hazard function or discretize the time axis, which may limit flexibility…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Stanislav R. Kirpichenko , Andrei V. Konstantinov , Lev V. Utkin

Time-to-event endpoints are central to evaluate treatment efficacy across many disease areas. Many trial protocols include interim analyses within group-sequential designs that control type I error via spending functions or boundary…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-19 Edoardo Ratti , Federico L. Perlino , Stefania Galimberti , Maria G. Valsecchi

Estimating risks or survival probabilities conditional on individual characteristics based on censored time-to-event data is a commonly faced task. This may be for the purpose of developing a prediction model or may be part of a wider…

In this paper I describe some substantial extensions to the survsim command for simulating survival data. survsim can now simulate survival data from a parametric distribution, a custom/user-defined distribution, from a fitted merlin model,…

Computation · Statistics 2021-10-22 Michael J. Crowther

Joint modelling of longitudinal observations and event times continues to remain a topic of considerable interest in biomedical research. For example, in HIV studies, the longitudinal bio-marker such as CD4 cell count in a patient's blood…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-19 Srimanti Dutta , Arindom Chakraborty , Dipankar Bandyopadhyay