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We consider a system of $N$ Hawkes processes and observe the actions of a subpopulation of size $K \le N$ up to time $t$, where $K$ is large. The influence relationships between each pair of individuals are modeled by i.i.d.Bernoulli($p$)…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-06 Chenguang Liu , Liping Xu , An Zhang

Regression adjustments are often considered by investigators to improve the estimation efficiency of causal effect in randomized experiments when there exists many pre-experiment covariates. In this paper, we provide conditions that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-25 Hanzhong Liu , Yuehan Yang

We introduce a general framework for studying anticoncentration and local limit theorems for random variables, including graph statistics. Our methods involve an interplay between Fourier analysis, decoupling, hypercontractivity of Boolean…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-09 Ashwin Sah , Mehtaab Sawhney

We look at stochastic optimization problems through the lens of statistical decision theory. In particular, we address admissibility, in the statistical decision theory sense, of the natural sample average estimator for a stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-23 Amitabh Basu , Tu Nguyen , Ao Sun

We study the problem of variance estimation in general graph-structured problems. First, we develop a linear time estimator for the homoscedastic case that can consistently estimate the variance in general graphs. We show that our estimator…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-20 Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla

This paper develops asymptotic normality results for individual coordinates of robust M-estimators with convex penalty in high-dimensions, where the dimension $p$ is at most of the same order as the sample size $n$, i.e, $p/n\le\gamma$ for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-09 Pierre C Bellec , Yiwei Shen , Cun-Hui Zhang

We prove a central limit theorem for the components of the largest eigenvectors of the adjacency matrix of a finite-dimensional random dot product graph whose true latent positions are unknown. In particular, we follow the methodology…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-24 Avanti Athreya , Vince Lyzinski , David J. Marchette , Carey E. Priebe , Daniel L. Sussman , Minh Tang

The batch means estimator of the MCMC variance is a simple and effective measure of accuracy for MCMC based ergodic averages. Under various regularity conditions, the estimator has been shown to be consistent for the true variance. However,…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-05 Saptarshi Chakraborty , Suman K. Bhattacharya , Kshitij Khare

Correlated random fields are a common way to model dependence struc- tures in high-dimensional data, especially for data collected in imaging. One important parameter characterizing the degree of dependence is the asymp- totic variance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-20 Annabel Prause , Ansgar Steland

In this paper we show that the limiting distribution of the real and the imaginary part of the double Fourier transform of a stationary random field is almost surely an independent vector with Gaussian marginal distributions, whose variance…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-29 Magda Peligrad , Na Zhang

Strip-plot designs are very useful when the treatments have a factorial structure and the factors levels are hard-to-change. We develop a randomization-based theory of causal inference from such designs in a potential outcomes framework.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-18 Fatemah A. Alquallaf , S. Huda , Rahul Mukerjee

The purpose of this paper is to study the limiting distribution of special {\it additive functionals} on random planar maps, namely the number of occurrences of a given {\it pattern}. The main result is a central limit theorem for these…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2024-06-11 Michael Drmota , Eva-Maria Hainzl , Nick Wormald

Under the Neyman causal model, it is well-known that OLS with treatment-by-covariate interactions cannot harm asymptotic precision of estimated treatment effects in completely randomized experiments. But do such guarantees extend to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-19 Joel A. Middleton

Randomized clinical trials are the gold standard when estimating the average treatment effect. However, they are usually not a random sample from the real-world population because of the inclusion/exclusion rules. Meanwhile, observational…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-11 Kuan Jiang , Wenjie Hu , Shu Yang , Xinxing Lai , Xiaohua Zhou

We study statistical inference for small-noise-perturbed multiscale dynamical systems under the assumption that we observe a single time series from the slow process only. We construct estimators for both averaging and homogenization…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-13 Siragan Gailus , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

Interference arises when the treatment assigned to one individual affects the outcomes of other individuals. Commonly, individuals are naturally grouped into clusters, and interference occurs only among individuals within the same cluster,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-15 Chao Cheng , Fan Li

We discuss in detail the asymptotic distribution of sample expectiles. First, we show uniform consistency under the assumption of a finite mean. In case of a finite second moment, we show that for expectiles other then the mean, only the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-14 Hajo Holzmann , Bernhard Klar

We rigorously prove a central limit theorem for neural network models with a single hidden layer. The central limit theorem is proven in the asymptotic regime of simultaneously (A) large numbers of hidden units and (B) large numbers of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-04 Justin Sirignano , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

Regression adjustment is broadly applied in randomized trials under the premise that it usually improves the precision of a treatment effect estimator. However, previous work has shown that this is not always true. To further understand…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-11 Katarzyna Reluga , Ting Ye , Qingyuan Zhao

This paper presents some asymptotic results for statistics of Brownian semi-stationary (BSS) processes. More precisely, we consider power variations of BSS processes, which are based on high frequency (possibly higher order) differences of…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-04 José Manuel Corcuera , Emil Hedevang , Mikko S. Pakkanen , Mark Podolskij