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Population dynamics are often subject to random independent changes in the environment. For the two strategy stochastic replicator dynamic, we assume that stochastic changes in the environment replace the payoffs and variance. This is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-06-11 Andrew Vlasic

Nearly-elastic model systems with one or two degrees of freedom are considered: the system is undergoing a small loss of energy in each collision with the "wall". We show that instabilities in this purely deterministic system lead to…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-31 Mark Freidlin , Wenqing Hu

We revisit the classic Cournot model and extend it to a two-echelon supply chain with an upstream supplier who operates under demand uncertainty and multiple downstream retailers who compete over quantity. The supplier's belief about retail…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-07-19 Constandina Koki , Stefanos Leonardos , Costis Melolidakis

The present study supposes a single unit and investigates cumulative damage and catastrophic failure models for the unit, in situations where the interarrival times between the shocks, and the magnitudes of the shocks, involve two different…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-29 Hiroaki Mohri , Jun-ichi Takeshita

Frailty and resilience models provide a way to introduce random effects in hazard and reversed hazard rate modeling by random variables, called frailty and resilience random variables, respectively, to account for unobserved or unexplained…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-20 Arindam Panja , Pradip Kundu , Biswabrata Pradhan

We consider stochastic thermodynamics as a theory of statistical inference for experimentally observed fluctuating time-series. To that end, we introduce a general framework for quantifying the knowledge about the dynamical state of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-19 Bernhard Altaner , Jürgen Vollmer

The paper discusses how to evaluate the reliability of units produced by different production lines. The procedure is based on selecting independent random samples of units produced by different production lines and then evaluating…

The recent interest in human dynamics has led researchers to investigate the stochastic processes that explain human behaviour in different contexts. Here we propose a generative model to capture the essential dynamics of survival analysis,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-18 Trevor Fenner , Mark Levene , George Loizou

Failure times of a machinery cannot always be assumed independent and identically distributed, e.g. if after reparations the machinery is not restored to a same-as-new condition. Framed within the renewal processes approach, a…

Applications · Statistics 2019-05-14 Arrigo Coen , Luis Gutiérrez , Ramsés H. Mena

The nature of statistics, statistical mechanics and consequently the thermodynamics of stochastic systems is largely determined by how the number of states $W(N)$ depends on the size $N$ of the system. Here we propose a scaling expansion of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-09-13 Jan Korbel , Rudolf Hanel , Stefan Thurner

We consider the problem of preparing for a disaster season by determining where to open warehouses and how much relief item inventory to preposition in each. Then, after each disaster, prepositioned items are distributed to demand nodes…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-04 Karmel S. Shehadeh , Emily L. Tucker

This paper studies a novel approach for approximating the behavior of compartmental spreading processes. In contrast to prior work, the methods developed describe a dynamics which bound the exact moment dynamics, without explicitly…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-07-21 Nicholas J. Watkins , Cameron Nowzari , Victor M. Preciado , George J. Pappas

We establish stability criterion for a two-class retrial system with Poisson inputs, general class-dependent service times and class-dependent constant retrial rates. We also characterise an interesting phenomenon of partial stability when…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-20 Konstantin Avrachenkov , Evsey Morozov , Ruslana Nekrasova

This is the transcript of a talk given at the 1992 Complex Systems Summer School. The theory of large fluctuations of stochastically perturbed continuous-time dynamical systems is reviewed, and the large fluctuations of two stochastic…

chao-dyn · Physics 2008-02-03 Robert S. Maier

Predicting the evolution of a large system of units using its structure of interaction is a fundamental problem in complex system theory. And so is the problem of reconstructing the structure of interaction from temporal observations. Here,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-02-10 Charles Murphy , Vincent Thibeault , Antoine Allard , Patrick Desrosiers

This paper proposes a probabilistic Bayesian formulation for system identification (ID) and estimation of nonseparable Hamiltonian systems using stochastic dynamic models. Nonseparable Hamiltonian systems arise in models from diverse…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-09-19 Harsh Sharma , Nicholas Galioto , Alex A. Gorodetsky , Boris Kramer

In multi-period stochastic optimization problems, the future optimal decision is a random variable whose distribution depends on the parameters of the optimization problem. We analyze how the expected value of this random variable changes…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-28 Bar Light

Comparisons of different treatments or production processes are the goals of a significant fraction of applied research. Unsurprisingly, two-sample problems play a main role in Statistics through natural questions such as `Is the the new…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-05 P. C. Álvarez-Esteban , E. del Barrio , J. A. Cuesta-Albertos , C. Matrán

This paper focuses on stochastic orders and its applications : policy limits and deductibles. Further, many applications and some examples are given : comparison of two families of copulas, individual and collective risk model, reinsurance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-01-28 Halim Zeghdoudi , Meriem Bouhadjar , Mohamed Riad Remita

Nonlinear systems with model uncertainty are often described by stochastic differential equations. Some techniques from random dynamical systems are discussed. They are relevant to better understanding of solution processes of stochastic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2008-11-25 Jinqiao Duan
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