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Rough volatility models have gained considerable interest in the quantitative finance community in recent years. In this paradigm, the volatility of the asset price is driven by a fractional Brownian motion with a small value for the Hurst…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-16 Carsten Chong , Marc Hoffmann , Yanghui Liu , Mathieu Rosenbaum , Grégoire Szymanski

Stochastic models with fractional Brownian motion as source of randomness have become popular since the early 2000s. Fractional Brownian motion (fBm) is a Gaussian process, whose covariance depends on the so-called Hurst parameter $H\in…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-22 Anna P. Kwossek , Andreas Neuenkirch , David J. Prömel

We investigate the statistical evidence for the use of `rough' fractional processes with Hurst exponent $H< 0.5$ for the modeling of volatility of financial assets, using a model-free approach. We introduce a non-parametric method for…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-11 Rama Cont , Purba Das

For most stochastic dynamical systems, variables which are tightly regulated tend to respond slowly to external changes. This idea is often discussed for applicable systems, within a linear response regime, through the Fluctuation…

General Physics · Physics 2017-11-15 Nash Rochman , Sean X. Sun

We solve the first-passage problem for the Heston random diffusion model. We obtain exact analytical expressions for the survival and hitting probabilities to a given level of return. We study several asymptotic behaviors and obtain…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-03-25 Jaume Masoliver , Josep Perello

Volatility, as a primary indicator of financial risk, forms the foundation of classical frameworks such as Markowitz's Portfolio Theory and the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH). However, its conventional use rests on assumptions-most…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-19 Sergio Bianchi , Daniele Angelini , Massimiliano Frezza , Augusto Pianese

Since Markowitz's mean-variance framework, optimizing a portfolio that maximizes the profit and minimizes the risk has been ubiquitous in the financial industry. Initially, profit and risk were measured by the first two moments of the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-12 Xiwen Wang , Rui Zhou , Jiaxi Ying , Daniel P. Palomar

In this paper an arbitrage strategy is constructed for the modified Black-Scholes model driven by fractional Brownian motion or by a time changed fractional Brownian motion, when the volatility is stochastic. This latter property allows the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Erhan Bayraktar , H. Vincent Poor

In this paper we study the moderate deviations principle (MDP) for slow-fast stochastic dynamical systems where the slow motion is governed by small fractional Brownian motion (fBm) with Hurst parameter $H\in(1/2,1)$. We derive conditions…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-10 Solesne Bourguin , Thanh Dang , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

We extend and test empirically the multifractal model of asset returns based on a multiplicative cascade of volatilities from large to small time scales. The multifractal description of asset fluctuations is generalized into a multivariate…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-10 J. -F. Muzy , D. Sornette , J. Delour , A. Arneodo

Rough volatility models are becoming increasingly popular in quantitative finance. In this framework, one considers that the behavior of the log-volatility process of a financial asset is close to that of a fractional Brownian motion with…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-17 Eyal Neuman , Mathieu Rosenbaum

We study the optimal investment and proportional reinsurance problem of an insurance company, whose investment preferences are described via a forward dynamic utility of exponential type in a stochastic factor model allowing for a possible…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-20 Katia Colaneri , Alessandra Cretarola , Benedetta Salterini

A multivariate fractional Brownian motion (mfBm) with component-wise Hurst exponents is used to model and forecast realized volatility. We investigate the interplay between correlation coefficients and Hurst exponents and propose a novel…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-23 Markus Bibinger , Jun Yu , Chen Zhang

We study the first-passage time, the distribution of the maximum, and the absorption probability of fractional Brownian motion of Hurst parameter $H$ with both a linear and a non-linear drift. The latter appears naturally when applying…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-08-12 Maxence Arutkin , Benjamin Walter , Kay Joerg Wiese

Rough volatility models are known to reproduce the behavior of historical volatility data while at the same time fitting the volatility surface remarkably well, with very few parameters. However, managing the risks of derivatives under…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-16 Omar El Euch , Mathieu Rosenbaum

In this paper, we study a class of deterministically constrained stochastic optimization problems. Existing methods typically aim to find an $\epsilon$-stochastic stationary point, where the expected violations of both constraints and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-03 Zhaosong Lu , Sanyou Mei , Yifeng Xiao

Numerous Optimization Algorithms have a time-varying update rule thanks to, for instance, a changing step size, momentum parameter or, Hessian approximation. In this paper, we apply unrolled or automatic differentiation to a time-varying…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-28 Sheheryar Mehmood , Peter Ochs

This article studies typical dynamics and fluctuations for a slow-fast dynamical system perturbed by a small fractional Brownian noise. Based on an ergodic theorem with explicit rates of convergence, which may be of independent interest, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-20 Solesne Bourguin , Siragan Gailus , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

We consider the pricing problem related to payoffs that can have discontinuities of polynomial growth. The asset price dynamic is modeled within the Black and Scholes framework characterized by a stochastic volatility term driven by a…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-26 Viktor Bezborodov , Luca Di Persio , Yuliya Mishura

We consider the problem of estimating the roughness of the volatility process in a stochastic volatility model that arises as a nonlinear function of fractional Brownian motion with drift. To this end, we introduce a new estimator that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-17 Xiyue Han , Alexander Schied