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We establish via a probabilistic approach the quenched invariance principle for a class of long range random walks in independent (but not necessarily identically distributed) balanced random environments, with the transition probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-27 Xin Chen , Zhen-Qing Chen , Takashi Kumagai , Jian Wang

We examine random variables in the power law/regularly varying class with stochastic tail exponent, the exponent $\alpha$ having its own distribution. We show the effect of stochasticity of $\alpha$ on the expectation and higher moments of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-06 Nassim Nicholas Taleb

In this paper we consider a multivariate risk model with common renewal process, while the logarithmic returns of the insurers investment portfolio, are described by a Levy process. In the two main results are established an asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-21 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides , Charalampos D. Passalidis

We show that a simple mechanistic model of spatial dispersal for settling organisms, subject to parameter variability, can generate heavy-tailed radial probability density functions. The movement of organisms in the model consists of a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-23 Luis F. Gordillo , Priscilla E. Greenwood

We take an $L_1$-dense class of functions $\Cal F$ on a measurable space $(X,\Cal X)$ and a sequence of i.i.d. $X$-valued random variables $\xi_1,\dots,\xi_n$, and give a good estimate on the tail behaviour of $\sup\limits_{f\in\Cal…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-07 Peter Major

In ordinary statistical mechanics the Boltzmann-Shannon entropy is related to the Maxwell-Bolzmann distribution $p_i$ by means of a twofold link. The first link is differential and is offered by the Jaynes Maximum Entropy Principle. The…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-02 G. Kaniadakis

We prove a strong law of large numbers and an annealed invariance principle for a random walk in a one-dimensional dynamic random environment evolving as the simple exclusion process with jump parameter $\gamma$. First, we establish that if…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-02 François Huveneers , François Simenhaus

We prove that the tail probabilities of sums of independent uniform random variables, up to a multiplicative constant, are dominated by the Gaussian tail with matching variance and find the sharp constant for such stochastic domination.

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-05 Xinjie He , Tomasz Tkocz , Katarzyna Wyczesany

A sum rule is an identity connecting the entropy of a measure with coefficients involved in the construction of its orthogonal polynomials (Jacobi coefficients). Our paper is an extension of Gamboa, Nagel and Rouault (2016), where we have…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-29 Fabrice Gamboa , Jan Nagel , Alain Rouault

We establish an invariance principle for a one-dimensional random walk in a dynamical random environment given by a speed-change exclusion process. The jump probabilities of the walk depend on the configuration of the exclusion in a finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-17 Milton Jara , Otávio Menezes

The L\'evy-Lorentz gas describes the motion of a particle on the real line in the presence of a random array of scattering points, whose distances between neighboring points are heavy-tailed i.i.d. random variables with finite mean. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-24 Marco Zamparo

We extend a generic class of systems which have previously been shown to spontaneously develop scaling (power law) distributions of their elementary degrees of freedom. While the previous systems were linear and exploded exponentially for…

adap-org · Physics 2009-10-28 S. Solomon , M. Levy

We analyse the mixing profile of a random walk on a dynamic random permutation, focusing on the regime where the walk evolves much faster than the permutation. Two types of dynamics generated by random transpositions are considered: one…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-28 Luca Avena , Remco van der Hofstad , Frank den Hollander , Oliver Nagy

The distribution of the first positive position reached by a random walker starting from the origin is fundamental for understanding the statistics of extremes and records in one-dimensional random walks. We present a comprehensive study of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-09-03 Claude Godrèche , Jean-Marc Luck

We consider a class of multiplicative processes which, added with stochastic reset events, give origin to stationary distributions with power-law tails -- ubiquitous in the statistics of social, economic, and ecological systems. Our main…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-26 Damián H. Zanette , Susanna Manrubia

Given a random walk $(S_n)$ with typical step distributed according to some fixed law and a fixed parameter $p \in (0,1)$, the associated positively step-reinforced random walk is a discrete-time process which performs at each step, with…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-19 Marco Bertenghi , Alejandro Rosales-Ortiz

Extreme weather events epitomize high cost: to society through their physical impacts, and to computer servers that simulate them to assess risk and advance physical understanding. It costs hundreds of simulation years to sample a few…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-14 Justin Finkel , Paul A. O'Gorman

We study the large-time asymptotic of renewal-reward processes with a heavy-tailed waiting time distribution. It is known that the heavy tail of the distribution produces an extremely slow dynamics, resulting in a singular large deviation…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2022-01-05 Hiroshi Horii , Raphael Lefevere , Takahiro Nemoto

We analyse circumstances in which bifurcation-driven jumps in AI systems are associated with emergent heavy-tailed outcome distributions. By analysing how a control parameter's random fluctuations near a catastrophic threshold generate…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-03-27 Elija Perrier

We establish a strong law of large numbers for one-dimensional continuous-time random walks in dynamic random environments under two main assumptions: the environment is required to satisfy a decoupling inequality that can be interpreted as…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-22 Weberson S. Arcanjo , Rangel Baldasso , Marcelo R. Hilário , Renato S. dos Santos