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We consider a multi-period stochastic control problem where the multivariate driving stochastic factor of the system has known marginal distributions but uncertain dependence structure. To solve the problem, we propose to implement the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-13 Erhan Bayraktar , Tao Chen

We present a new strategy for filtering high-dimensional multiscale systems characterized by high-order non-Gaussian statistics using observations from leading-order moments. A closed stochastic-statistical modeling framework suitable for…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2024-07-09 Di Qi , Jian-Guo Liu

This work studies the linear approximation of high-dimensional dynamical systems using low-rank dynamic mode decomposition (DMD). Searching this approximation in a data-driven approach is formalised as attempting to solve a low-rank…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-08-23 Patrick Héas , Cédric Herzet

We propose a new adequacy test and a graphical evaluation tool for nonlinear dynamic models. The proposed techniques can be applied in any setup where parametric conditional distribution of the data is specified, in particular to models…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-02 Igor L. Kheifets

This paper studies the stochastic optimal control problem for systems with unknown dynamics. A novel decoupled data based control (D2C) approach is proposed, which solves the problem in a decoupled "open loop-closed loop" fashion that is…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-09-11 Dan Yu , Mohammandhussen Rafieisakhaei , Suman Chakravorty

Recently a path integral formalism has been proposed by the author which gives the time evolution of moments of slow variables in a Hamiltonian statistical system. This closure relies on evaluating the informational discrepancy of a time…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-10-23 Richard Kleeman

The goal of this paper is to solve a class of stochastic optimal control problems numerically, in which the state process is governed by an It\^o type stochastic differential equation with control process entering both in the drift and the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-06-05 Richard Archibald , Feng Bao , Jiongmin Yong , Tao Zhou

A new framework is developed for control of constrained nonlinear systems with structured parametric uncertainties. Forward invariance of a safe set is achieved through online parameter adaptation and data-driven model estimation. The new…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-01 Brett T. Lopez , Jean-Jacques E. Slotine , Jonathan P. How

In this paper we propose a data-driven distributionally robust Model Predictive Control framework for constrained stochastic systems with unbounded additive disturbances. Recursive feasibility is ensured by optimizing over an linearly…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-07 Christoph Mark , Steven Liu

The dynamics of many-body systems can often be captured in terms of only a few relevant variables. Mathematical and numerical approaches exist to identify these variables by exploiting a separation of time scales between slow relevant and…

We propose a multiscale approach for predicting quantities in dynamical systems which is explicitly structured to extract information in both fine-to-coarse and coarse-to-fine directions. We envision this method being generally applicable…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-30 Karl Otness , Laure Zanna , Joan Bruna

While existing mathematical descriptions can accurately account for phenomena at microscopic scales (e.g. molecular dynamics), these are often high-dimensional, stochastic and their applicability over macroscopic time scales of physical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-08 P. S. Koutsourelakis , Elias Bilionis

An alternative data-driven modeling approach has been proposed and employed to gain fundamental insights into robot motion interaction with granular terrain at certain length scales. The approach is based on an integration of dimension…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-06-13 Guanjin Wang , Xiangxue Zhao , Shapour Azarm , Balakumar Balachandran

A general method for deriving closed reduced models of Hamiltonian dynamical systems is developed using techniques from optimization and statistical estimation. As in standard projection operator methods, a set of resolved variables is…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-10-05 Bruce Turkington

Recovering dynamical equations from observed noisy data is the central challenge of system identification. We develop a statistical mechanics approach to analyze sparse equation discovery algorithms, which typically balance data fit and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-09-16 Andrei A. Klishin , Joseph Bakarji , J. Nathan Kutz , Krithika Manohar

The optimization of composition and processing to obtain materials that exhibit desirable characteristics has historically relied on a combination of scientist intuition, trial and error, and luck. We propose a methodology that can…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-20 Julia Ling , Max Hutchinson , Erin Antono , Sean Paradiso , Bryce Meredig

Despite broad interest in self-organizing systems, there are few quantitative, experimentally-applicable criteria for self-organization. The existing criteria all give counter-intuitive results for important cases. In this Letter, we…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2011-11-10 Cosma Rohilla Shalizi , Kristina Lisa Shalizi , Robert Haslinger

This paper considers optimal control of dynamical systems which are represented by nonlinear stochastic differential equations. It is well-known that the optimal control policy for this problem can be obtained as a function of a value…

Robotics · Computer Science 2014-05-30 Oktay Arslan , Evangelos Theodorou , Panagiotis Tsiotras

We propose a data-driven method to learn the time-dependent probability density of a multivariate stochastic process from sample paths, assuming that the initial probability density is known and can be evaluated. Our method uses a novel…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-19 Agnimitra Dasgupta , Javier Murgoitio-Esandi , Ali Fardisi , Assad A Oberai

We establish data-driven versions of the System Level Synthesis (SLS) parameterization of achievable closed-loop system responses for a linear-time-invariant system over a finite-horizon. Inspired by recent work in data-driven control that…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-09 Anton Xue , Nikolai Matni
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