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Extensive time-series encoding the position of particles such as viruses, vesicles, or individual proteins are routinely garnered in single-particle tracking experiments or supercomputing studies. They contain vital clues on how viruses…

Extending deterministic compartments pharmacokinetic models as diffusions seems not realistic on biological side because paths of these stochastic processes are not smooth enough. In order to extend one compartment intra-veinous bolus…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-16 Nicolas Marie

In this paper, we focus on multiple sampling problems for the estimation of the fractional Brownian motion when the maximum number of samples is limited, extending existing results in the literature in a non-Markovian framework. Two classes…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-18 Xiang Cui , Alexandra Chronopoulou

Individual-based models of contagious processes are useful for predicting epidemic trajectories and informing intervention strategies. In such models, the incorporation of contact network information can capture the non-randomness and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-11-09 Maxwell H. Wang , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

We develop a variational Bayes approach for dynamic variable selection in high-dimensional regression models with time-varying parameters and predictors that exhibit a predefined group structure. Through comprehensive simulation studies, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-16 Nicolas Bianco , Mauro Bernardi , Daniele Bianchi

This paper gives a brief introduction to some important fractional and multifractional Gaussian processes commonly used in modelling natural phenomena and man-made systems. The processes include fractional Brownian motion (both standard and…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2014-07-01 S. C. Lim , C. H. Eab

Computer simulations have become an important tool across the biomedical sciences and beyond. For many important problems several different models or hypotheses exist and choosing which one best describes reality or observed data is not…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2010-01-20 Tina Toni , Michael P. H. Stumpf

We investigate the Local Asymptotic Property for fractional Brownian models based on discrete observations contaminated by a Gaussian moving average process. We consider both situations of low and high-frequency observations in a unified…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-01 Grégoire Szymanski , Tetsuya Takabatake

Bayesian model selection provides a powerful and mathematically transparent framework to tackle hypothesis testing, such as detection tests of gravitational waves emitted during the coalescence of binary systems using ground-based laser…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2009-11-13 John Veitch , Alberto Vecchio

This paper presents a structure-preserving Bayesian approach for learning nonseparable Hamiltonian systems using stochastic dynamic models allowing for statistically-dependent, vector-valued additive and multiplicative measurement noise.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-23 Nicholas Galioto , Harsh Sharma , Boris Kramer , Alex Arkady Gorodetsky

Circular Dyson Brownian motion describes the Brownian dynamics of particles on a circle (periodic boundary conditions), interacting through a logarithmic, long-range two-body potential. Within the log-gas picture of random matrix theory, it…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-06-11 Wouter Buijsman

Fractional Brownian motion, a stochastic process with long-time correlations between its increments, is a prototypical model for anomalous diffusion. We analyze fractional Brownian motion in the presence of a reflecting wall by means of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-02-21 Alexander H. O. Wada , Thomas Vojta

In this paper, we focus on the estimation of historical volatility of asset prices from high-frequency data. Stochastic volatility models pose a major statistical challenge: since in reality historical volatility is not observable, its…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-27 Camilla Damian , Rüdiger Frey

This paper considers a bearings-only tracking problem using noisy measurements of unknown noise statistics from a passive sensor. It is assumed that the process and measurement noise follows the Gaussian distribution where the measurement…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-16 Shreya Das , Kundan Kumar , Shovan Bhaumik

This article introduces a novel construction of the two-dimensional fractional Brownian motion (2D fBm) with dependent components. Unlike similar models discussed in the literature, our approach uniquely accommodates the full range of model…

Astronomers are often confronted with funky populations and distributions of objects: brighter objects are more likely to be detected; targets are selected based on colour cuts; imperfect classification yields impure samples. Failing to…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2017-06-21 Samuel R. Hinton , Alex Kim , Tamara M. Davis

This work presents the estimation of the parameters of an experimental setup, which is modeled as a system with three degrees of freedom, composed by a shaft, two rotors, and a DC motor, that emulates a drilling process. A Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-29 Mario Germán Sandoval , Americo Cunha , Rubens Sampaio

We focus on the biological problem of tracking organelles as they move through cells. In the past, most intracellular movements were recorded manually, however, the results are too incomplete to capture the full complexity of organelle…

Applications · Statistics 2015-09-17 Vasileios Maroulas , Andreas Nebenführ

Bayesian calibration of black-box computer models offers an established framework to obtain a posterior distribution over model parameters. Traditional Bayesian calibration involves the emulation of the computer model and an additive model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-30 Sébastien Marmin , Maurizio Filippone

In this note we introduce and solve a soft classification version of the famous Bayesian sequential testing problem for a Brownian motion's drift. We establish that the value function is the unique non-trivial solution to a free boundary…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-22 Steven Campbell , Yuchong Zhang